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Orangeburgwx

December 8-10, 2018 Winter Storm

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2 hours ago, downeastnc said:

   The FV3, ICON and HRRR all have something similar to lesser degrees....temps will be a problem and overall it probably wont be a big deal but some models do put down a few inches....

Our Local NWS has this too say..

I think as this Storm   overperformed the UUL will also?

Quote

Highs Monday should only reach the upper 30s
west of I-95 with 42-45 expected along the coast. Gradual and
nearly continuous cold advection should eventually make the
atmospheric column cold enough for a little light snow or sleet
to mix in with the rain along the back edge of the precipitation
shield Monday night as the warm nose aloft between 2000-6000
feet above ground level finally erodes away. No accumulations are expected,
but I wouldn't be surprised along the I-95 corridor or across
interior southeast North Carolina to see light mixed precipitation for
the final hour or two of the event.

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So, I'm sitting at my table looking out at 14 inches of snowfall, and then I just see this updated WSW for my area:

Quote
...MAJOR WINTER STORM WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT THE REGION INTO
MONDAY...

.Cold high pressure along the East Coast is interacting with a
moist low pressure system transitioning to the southeast coast
today. Precipitation rates will steadily diminish from the
southwest today, but with many locations receiving additional
mixed, wintry precipitation. While a brief lull is expected
through late afternoon into the evening hours, precipitation will
break out once again overnight. Additional snow will redevelop
from the northwest, and freezing rain and sleet may mix in once
again into Monday morning. Temperatures will be near or below
freezing in many areas.

NCZ033-035>037-049-050-056-501>506-100000-
/O.CON.KGSP.WS.W.0006.000000T0000Z-181210T1700Z/
Avery-Alexander-Iredell-Davie-Yancey-Mitchell-Catawba-
Caldwell Mountains-Greater Caldwell-Burke Mountains-Greater Burke-
McDowell Mountains-Eastern McDowell-
Including the cities of Ingalls, Banner Elk, Newland, Bethlehem,
Ellendale, Millersville, Taylorsville, Hiddenite, Stony Point,
Statesville, Mooresville, Farmington, Fork Church, Mocksville,
Advance, Swiss, Burnsville, Celo, Micaville, Ramseytown, Busick,
Spruce Pine, Poplar, Hickory, Newton, St. Stephens, Patterson,
Kings Creek, Lenoir, Sawmills, Granite Falls, Jonas Ridge,
Morganton, Pleasant Grove, Valdese, Ashford, Sugar Hill,
Woodlawn, Old Fort, Marion, Nebo, Dysartsville, Fero,
and Glenwood
1113 AM EST Sun Dec 9 2018

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST MONDAY...

* WHAT...Heavy mixed precipitation. Snow and sleet will continue
  through late day. After an early evening lull, snow showers will
  redevelop overnight. Some freezing rain or freezing drizzle,
  could mix in at times. Additional snow and sleet accumulations
  of 3 to 6 inches, and ice accumulations of around one tenth of
  an inch, are expected. Winds may gust to 30 mph at times.

* WHERE...The northern mountains and foothills, and the northwest
  Piedmont of North Carolina.

* WHEN...Until noon EST Monday.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Heavy wet snow and gusty winds will result
  in numerous power outages. Travel could be nearly impossible.
  The hazardous conditions could impact the morning commute on
  Monday.

We're getting more tonight?!  And amounts that would normally be a fantastic storm for this area are just massive icing on the cake!  I'm totally geeking out here.

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8 minutes ago, calculus1 said:

So, I'm sitting at my table looking out at 14 inches of snowfall, and then I just see this updated WSW for my area:

We're getting more tonight?!  And amounts that would normally be a fantastic storm for this area are just massive icing on the cake!  I'm totally geeking out here.

Same here - minus the 14" and 3-6'. But looking out at 6" plus sleet and maybe 1-3" more :)

Awesome!

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37 minutes ago, NCSNOW said:

Greensboro airport for the second time in recorded history has officially hit double digits in December.

Wow!  One for the books...does anyone know where I could find snow records for our state?

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1 minute ago, NCSNOW said:

This stuff is pure concrete now. Itll be days before it melts. Gonna be nice getting 2 to 3 fresh on top latter tonight.

I got about 14 still coming down mod. looks to taper off in a couple hours. Then looks like it may skip the foothills tonight per RGEM been a great storm no doubt!!

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8 minutes ago, BIG FROSTY said:

I got about 14 still coming down mod. looks to taper off in a couple hours. Then looks like it may skip the foothills tonight per RGEM been a great storm no doubt!!

Yes and the models did a great job. How bout the FV3 from 7 plus days out. Gonna be a fun winter when it starts in 2 weeks lol.

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13 minutes ago, WidreMann said:

New Euro shows snow over central NC. Can't tell how much though.

EDIT: maybe 1-3" based on liquid accumulation in that period.

Has a convective look on the HRRR

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9 minutes ago, NCSNOW said:

Yes and the models did a great job. How bout the FV3 from 7 plus days out. Gonna be a fun winter when it starts in 2 weeks lol.

And the HRRR nailed the snow line damn near 36 hours out. Outstanding.

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Just now, Queencitywx said:

And the HRRR nailed the snow line damn near 36 hours out. Outstanding.

It was just a hair too far south to save me from two fewer hours of snow. Still, waking up to 7" on the ground in early December is amazing. That puts at I believe third snowiest December for RDU.

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Euro looks like another 3-4" tomorrow for Chapel Hill and Durham like @WidreMann mentioned. if it can manage to be pure snow, maybe 2-3" down around Charlotte and points S/E of the city. 

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20 minutes ago, NCSNOW said:

Yes and the models did a great job. How bout the FV3 from 7 plus days out. Gonna be a fun winter when it starts in 2 weeks lol.

 

10 minutes ago, Queencitywx said:

And the HRRR nailed the snow line damn near 36 hours out. Outstanding.

Yes, those two did the best with the long and short range.

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Out at the beach...

As of 1245 PM Sun...Updated to increase winds later today and
esp this evening, as low pres now centered near Charleston races
NE and up the NC coast this evening. The low will quickly
deepen as it feeds off the warm Gulf Stream waters, with most
models indicating 15mb per 12hr pres falls as it exits off the
OBX. Have upgraded OBX zones to a high wind warning as could see
some gusts to 60 mph this evening. Otherwise, breezy and wet
conditions across E NC with large area of stratiform rain
continuing to move through the region.
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30 minutes ago, NCSNOW said:

Yes and the models did a great job. How bout the FV3 from 7 plus days out. Gonna be a fun winter when it starts in 2 weeks lol.

2

It's good to hear you say that.  That's when our betting contest we set up in the "Winter 2018-2019" Speculation thread begins. It seems a shame to waste such a good storm in autumn but nature does what nature does.

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1 minute ago, BIG FROSTY said:

Yeah boy!! It did a great job!! looking forward to winter! lol Biggest fall snow ever had. 

It's already meteorological winter my dude.

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20 minutes ago, Queencitywx said:

Euro looks like another 3-4" tomorrow for Chapel Hill and Durham like @WidreMann mentioned. if it can manage to be pure snow, maybe 2-3" down around Charlotte and points S/E of the city. 

Map?

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