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Lookout

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About Lookout

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    It is inevitable

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    Athens, Ga

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  1. Lookout

    Hurricane Michael

    Sounds like they went to the glenn burns school of crappy forecasting. If they claim today/tomorrow that either "no models predicted this" or that they actually accurately forecasted it, then you know for sure they are all graduates.
  2. Lookout

    Hurricane Michael

    damage sounds quite extensive...i'm guessing a lot of people are going to be without power for quite a while. up to 578,572 (as of 645)
  3. Lookout

    Hurricane Michael

    up to 450,000 now. ...up 50,000 just in the past half hour or so.
  4. Lookout

    Hurricane Michael

    Sounds pretty bad. Someone yesterday was asking what the big deal was over 40 to 55mph winds....well considering 400,000 are without power in north carolina so far and these winds have not reached rdu and points eastward yet, i think says it all.
  5. Lookout

    Hurricane Michael

    62mph gust at mathews https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/mesowest/timeseries.php?sid=F2338&num=72&banner=gmap&raw=0&w=325
  6. Lookout

    Major Hurricane Michael

    I have to agree....i've seen many absurd comments over the years and it's hard to be surprised anymore that people say some dumb things but even i was pretty amazed at some of the idiotic comments last night. The idea anyone could possibly argue that a 919mb hurricane is cat 2 or that the damage wasn't that bad is some next level foolishness...to put it mildly. At any rate, sad to see such destruction.
  7. Lookout

    Hurricane Michael

    I'd be surprised too...but as others have noted, even a conservative 10 to 20% reduction is still significant. Almost on cue, winds are increasing also in rabun county...clayton is sustained at 24g37 and tallulah is gusting to 40. Right where and when the hrrr shows it starting. zirconia now 23 g to 44. travelers rest up to 35.
  8. Lookout

    Hurricane Michael

    HRRR gets the winds going first within the next hour and indeed we are seeing 40mph gusts now at the nc/sc border. zirconia had a 42mph gust a few minutes ago https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/mesowest/timeseries.php?sid=D1971&num=72&banner=gmap&raw=0&w=325
  9. Lookout

    Hurricane Michael

    it seems Michael isn't the only disaster today. dude, get real. you are lucky you aren't getting a time out but if you keep up this nonsense you will.
  10. Lookout

    Major Hurricane Michael

    good god...wtf is going on.....knock off the arguing and BS.. NOW.
  11. Lookout

    Hurricane Michael

    NHC has it just below hurricane force just southeast of macon now...hope the poster who asked what to expect a while back made preparations to be without power for a while.
  12. Lookout

    Hurricane Michael

    Michael will enter georgia as a cat 3 hurricane....125mph.... absolutely incredible.
  13. Lookout

    Hurricane Michael

    18z 3km nam showing 50 plus knot gusts moving right up along 85.
  14. Lookout

    Hurricane Michael

    This hrrr map is one of the more unique maps i've seen...going to be a wall of high winds crossing the carolinas. Showing as high as 75 knots in places. crazy. Saw quite a bit of sun here this afternoon..so tornado threat has certainly increased. Going to have to watch these storms over ga closely.
  15. Lookout

    Hurricane Michael

    There is excellent model agreement now. Every model has shown these winds increasing over nc/sc, including the wrf/hmon. The shear amount of real estate that could see 50 to 70mph wind gusts is incredible. Right now, it seems likely to get 45 to 55 based on the hrrr/3km nam....but as downeast says, this forecasts are based on models that don't have a good handle on just how deep/strong michael is currently so it could be a bit higher but i hope not. HRRR is showing gusts of 70 to 80mph all the way into sc alone and based on the storm being 967mb now I really don't want the power to go out because if it does, it could be out a while.
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