mackerel_sky

Warm nose is always an issue!

Check the 925 warm nose! Rates might overcome, but not over CR’s house, it’s a sleet fest!

Don’t forget Brad P! The G.O.A.T

Remember Sandy!?? And that dumpster fire of a winter! And the Nov 1st CAE mauler!? Another dumpster fire

It can snow in any part of the world in October, snowcover in Eurasia can be 10’ deep, just as long as it don’t snow outside the mountains in NC/SC, or no monster east coast storm, or our winter is toast! I don’t care what analogs you pull out your wazoo!

Minimum 64 “ rates will overcome “ comments, per winter month! (D,J,F)

3.66 inches of rain. Wind very unimpressive, max gust probably 25 mph

With its current NE movement and increasing forward speed, I don’t think it can get that far Notth, but who knows.

It’s been over land for like 4 hours and is still a Cat 2-3! That’s amazing!!

One day his conservative nature is going to bite him in the butt! Maybe not with Michael, but one day he’s going to look really stupid! But I guess if you forecast as it’s happening, you can’t go wrong!?

Since most of the models grossly underestimated pressure on Michael, like 20-40mb, except for HRMON and a few others, and a lot of wind forecast maps were based of a cat 2 or 3 at landfall, and the wind maps forecast inland, and since it basically came onshore as basically a cat 5, the wind forecasts inland , could be on the low side?? Thoughts

So how are the 12z models looking on track? Havnt seen any mentioned

That’s scary, because our highest gust in Florence was only 31 mph, and only got an inch of rain!

GFS is a little West! Probably taking out some trees in CLT, on that path!

The latest cv3 - GFS run, would be a different look for you!?