Median to above confidence for moderate (major?) impact event, midweek

[ORH_wxman]

1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

I never knew that...wow.

 

Just now, Typhoon Tip said:

 Wow that is really cool dude I love those kind of under the radar sneaky little anomalies like that they just get lost in time and obscurity of smaller scale's 

Yeah totally cool....its so rare mostly because it's hard to get that type of razor's edge to stay stationary during a coastal like that...esp in a marginal airmass....but it did. It just basically straddled about a 2-town wide zone for 6-8 hours. We were out picking up my cousins to stay out our house the next day since they were powerlss and I couldn't believe the amount of ice there.

[EastonSN+]

Just now, tavwtby said:

It was like 6"/hr stuff

Sweet. Kind of thought it was heavy rain to snow 

[OrangeCTWX]

2 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

I cant get rgem soundings, not sure if they have them. But it is damn cold at 850 and 925 so I’d guess huge parachutes with ice nuclei covering the entire sky. You won’t see more than 50ft in front of you. 

Where are you finding 925 temps for the RGEM?

[CT Rain]

Just now, OceanStWx said:

Don't joke. November 2005 map below produce two tornadoes NE of PWM.

Decent dmaage too from those

[Ginx snewx]

3 minutes ago, snowdazed said:

I work in Johnston, live in Coventry.  Basically, my commute is a straight shot down 295/95.

Higher end of Coventry near West Greenwich will get smoked 

[ORH_wxman]

Just now, Sn0waddict said:

Where are you finding 925 temps for the RGEM?

Pivotal weather

[powderfreak]

NYC going big on REGGIE.

[moneypitmike]

2 minutes ago, EastonSN+ said:

Check out the snow map

 

A Big Apple Basher.

[snowdazed]

Just now, Ginx snewx said:

Higher end of Coventry near West Greenwich will get smoked 

Oh, that's not good....  

Of course, the local mets are saying 1-3"....

[MBRI]

6 minutes ago, snowdazed said:

I work in Johnston, live in Coventry.  Basically, my commute is a straight shot down 295/95.

howdy neighbor

 

[40/70 Benchmark]

Man, RGEM really blows the load down near the tri state.....doesn't really redevelop up here.

Sucks.

Flag for going widespread >12".

[snowdazed]

Just now, MBRI said:

howdy neighbor

 

*waves*

Sounds like tomorrow will be a half-day sort of thing.  I hope I gauge the timing right... I don't really enjoy driving right into the paste.

[OceanStWx]

4 minutes ago, CT Rain said:

Decent dmaage too from those

Ripping +SN in AUG while tornadoes are ripping by IWI.

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

5 minutes ago, Sn0waddict said:

Where are you finding 925 temps for the RGEM?

Pivotal

[CT Rain]

GFS is SE

[ORH_wxman]

1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Man, RGEM really blows the load down near the tri state.....doesn't really redevelop up here.

Sucks.

Flag for going widespread >12".

It's counting some of your qpf as rain on the clown maps....erroneously IMHO. You still have a lot of qpf.

[ineedsnow]

Gfs wont budge with the warmth

[Hoth]

7 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

I cant get rgem soundings, not sure if they have them. But it is damn cold at 850 and 925 so I’d guess huge parachutes with ice nuclei covering the entire sky. You won’t see more than 50ft in front of you. 

That Reggie was fun. That's like a Jan 27, 2011, or Feb 2013 style look.

[wxsniss]

3 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

NAM and GFS were NW today at 22Z , Euro dead nutz,that's when I locked the Euro in here.

Yeah I posted earlier today... I've been sweating because I told my boss and my entire group 6-10 for Boston... I got amused looks

I gave Euro weight for being relatively consistent, but I was nervous this would capture early and blow it's load on Philly/NYC northwest like lots of other guidance showed

We'll see... still want to see more support that trough shoots out more east. Gonna be fun to track real-time H5 over OH valley and surface pressure obs down south. 

[40/70 Benchmark]

Just now, ORH_wxman said:

It's counting some of your qpf as rain on the clown maps....erroneously IMHO. You still have a lot of qpf.

Even over ORH county.....not a wide area over 12".

[ORH_wxman]

Just now, CT Rain said:

GFS is SE

Colts run defense in the goal line stand against 1993 Emmitt Smith.

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

Just now, CT Rain said:

GFS is SE

Will you take em up so we can take em off?

[Buddy1987]

Man I’m finally just switching with the wife now. Been through moderate snow from Maryland to now near Allentown PA. Radar is in a hurry to start dumping quicker than what I thought. 

[CT Valley Snowman]

Just now, ineedsnow said:

Gfs wont budge

Looked to move east at a further south location at 24.  

 

[Thunderblizzard]

Just now, ineedsnow said:

Gfs wont budge

Huh? It's pretty far SE of the last few runs.

[Stash]

4 minutes ago, powderfreak said:

NYC going big on REGGIE.

Yikes, big cutback over ALY area from KALB on north where they currently have 12-18 forecasted.  

[WintersComing]

Ya GFS much further SE

[weathafella]

GFS takes it aver ACK.

[40/70 Benchmark]

1 minute ago, Buddy1987 said:

Man I’m finally just switching with the wife now. Been through moderate snow from Maryland to now near Allentown PA. Radar is in a hurry to start dumping quicker than what I thought. 

You on top for once?

[Hoth]

GFS way SE.