Logan11 Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 The guy who is in Hunter chasing is doing great no doubt, but as it turns out he should have planted himself 30 miles northwest in that extreme enhanced band...where totals are now approaching 36" in Schoharie County. You never know exactly where these things will set up. 22" here in continued moderate snow, 30F. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 Raining at Berkshire East. They got 3" earlier but raining since 9am there. That means probably rain at MPM's house. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 Modeling had the low level spike. It also had a pretty quick crash. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 1 minute ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: Raining at Berkshire East. They got 3" earlier but raining since 9am there. That means probably rain at MPM's house. Yikes really?! I thought they'd have 10" by now. Pete probably has 8-10" right? lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 2, 2018 Author Share Posted March 2, 2018 Just now, sbos_wx said: Modeling had the low level spike. It also had a pretty quick crash. Right...it was supposed to spike mid to late morning into the early PM...between now and 7pm is when things should change quickly. Certainly a positive bust is looking less likely, though...we'll see what happens. If I'm still raining in 4 hours, my forecast is probably toast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sugarloaf1989 Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 6 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: Massive flakes probably the biggest I've seen!!!! Wow Neat battle here between rain and snow, 36.7F. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wolf Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 Big fat rain drops in Marlborough. Occasional sloppy flake mixed in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: Right...it was supposed to spike mid to late morning into the early PM...between now and 7pm is when things should change quickly. Certainly a positive bust is looking less likely, though...we'll see what happens. If I'm still raining in 4 hours, my forecast is probably toast. Seems to be struggling advancing east. I’m a little worried about the prospects of accumulating snow here. Well see where we are at around 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 So 18z has passed.... seemed the flash over should be happening. Next two hours should be telling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 2.71” Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 1 minute ago, powderfreak said: Yikes really?! I thought they'd have 10" by now. Pete probably has 8-10" right? lol Yeah, I don't get it. 15mi W up in Savoy they are probably approaching a foot best on Rick's post earlier. I was really hoping they cashed in since I have Monday off. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 Look at what the 18z HRRR had for forecast hour 2...TWO...near ORH especially. Compared to actual. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sugarloaf1989 Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 5 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: Raining at Berkshire East. They got 3" earlier but raining since 9am there. That means probably rain at MPM's house. That sucks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
scoob40 Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 13 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: Do you shop at the Big Y in Ware? I've been to the Walmart there. It has a beer and wine license. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 Snow may not be a positive bust, but the wind sure is in my book. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ma blizzard Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 might be a situation where a lot of people flash over to snow at once? idk the low lvl temps still being in the MU 30s is pretty discouraging but as others have brought up - modeled low lvl temps crash around 21z .. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 2 minutes ago, Sugarloaf1989 said: Neat battle here between rain and snow, 36.7F. Very light rain atm, we have not had nearly the qpf of most other areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 5 minutes ago, JC-CT said: HRRR has really struggled this one. Pretty bad in the short range, good deal too far east with the precip shield. New 18z NAM looks way further north this evening with the firehose. I'm not that surprised if it ends up north because the whole circulation has been expanding. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 3 minutes ago, powderfreak said: Yikes really?! I thought they'd have 10" by now. Pete probably has 8-10" right? lol He's on a ski slope in Northern ID or BC now so he doesn't care. But maybe his wife will measure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 3 minutes ago, powderfreak said: Yikes really?! I thought they'd have 10" by now. Pete probably has 8-10" right? lol Tough telling when he is out in Northern Idaho..................... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 2, 2018 Author Share Posted March 2, 2018 1 minute ago, Hoth said: Snow may not be a positive bust, but the wind sure is in my book. I saw a small tree down in burlington on the rt 128 off ramp. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: New 18z NAM looks way further north this evening with the firehose. I'm not that surprised if it ends up north because the whole circulation has been expanding. That means we would see better fronto remain longer? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sugarloaf1989 Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 1 minute ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: Very light rain atm, we have not had nearly the qpf of most other areas. 1.15" of rain so far since midnight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ariof Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 The band over Scoharie County is just insane. 35dbz all day. No wonder. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 1 minute ago, Sugarloaf1989 said: That sucks. I am not happy right now. I was expecting nothing here but was assuming they would get rocked. Hopefully they flip soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
backedgeapproaching Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 7 minutes ago, Logan11 said: The guy who is in Hunter chasing is doing great no doubt, but as it turns out he should have planted himself 30 miles northwest in that extreme enhanced band...where totals are now approaching 36" in Schoharie County. You never know exactly where these things will set up. 22" here in continued moderate snow, 30F. Yea, and they are still rotting under that deform band too. Might end up around 4ft. Crazy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 CC on dual pol is now making some good advance in Middlesex county MA where it had been stalled for a while. Should see things collapse pretty quick...the magic time on a lot of guidance was 21z...so within an hour or so after that, you'd like to see a lot of snow obs come in from the interior east of ORH if it's going to be a solid warning event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 We rip Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 Looks like the 18z NAM gives Kevin 15'' lol. I HATE snowfall maps but looking at latest model ones just b/c Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 2, 2018 Share Posted March 2, 2018 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I saw a small tree down in burlington on the rt 128 off ramp. Were you safe? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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