Damage In Tolland Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 Will or Mets.. what would wind speeds be with this away from coast if it verifies in the 940’s at our latitude? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 Pbp of that run gets a fat F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersComing Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 1 minute ago, weathafella said: Not much change for the queens but Big changes upstairs. It’s coming. Can definitely see a better upper air setup. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 1 minute ago, jbenedet said: About the same. I'm not buying that panel from hr 48 to 54. Everything was west. The difference was H5 opened back up at that time frame versus 6z. Comparing apples to apples, this run would have been well east with H5 opening up like that if we didnt have the other improvements... I agree it's much better aloft vs. 6z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
klw Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 More snow for all on this run, esp E Mass but less than NAH Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 yeah, I like the H5 look and QPF expanded.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Greg Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 GFS Probably won't really catch up until 36 hours before go time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 GGEM looks better at H5 to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 Navgem - the ridge axis moved west as well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 it was west where it mattered. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxBlue Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 Blending GFS/Euro with RGEM/NAM seems ideal for the first call map. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 3 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Will or Mets.. what would wind speeds be with this away from coast if it verifies in the 940’s at our latitude? It depends on how close the low tracks...if it gets inside the BM, we could have gusts well over 50mph. But if it stays a little bit east, then the higher winds will be confined to the immediate coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 49 minutes ago, JC-CT said: I have decided that it is going to snow. You called it first since it was in my outlook, remember? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 CMC does that occluded thingy again Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rnaude241 Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 Are we really going to have P-Type issues down here just north of the canal? After all this brutal cold all I want is a moderate amount of snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 GGEM still has a vestigial lean left early on before it all consolidates. Not sure if it will work like that, but not bad over all. 40/68 and juicier. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bboughton Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 Ensembles should be more interesting this time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 Just now, bboughton said: Ensembles should be more interesting this time. Too close for the ensembles Go with the mesos in these events with convection. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 6 minutes ago, Greg said: GFS Probably won't really catch up until 36 hours before go time. It starts snowing tomorrow night Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 2 minutes ago, Snow88 said: Too close for the ensembles Go with the mesos in these events with convection. Ensembles are still useful here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 5 minutes ago, Snow88 said: Too close for the ensembles Go with the mesos in these events with convection. Ensembles are fine still Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 2 minutes ago, Snow88 said: Too close for the ensembles Go with the mesos in these events with convection. Ensembles are still useful here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 UKMET is west Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 Just now, SnowGoose69 said: UKMET is west Writing is on the wall Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 Just now, SnowGoose69 said: UKMET is west Tell more. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 still yet another philosophy in how to look at this ... if that NAM/RGEM solution is correct ... er ...that would have to be a pretty substantial bust for the ECMWF folks. I mean, it wouldn't fairly be a catastrophic bust because the Euro hasn't been a noshow either... But, you're talking 3-6" pedestrian amts with some annoying wind, versus high impact short duration blizzard with more than a foot ... I was also just looking more at Maine and wow does the NAM spare no one up there... That's like 15 straight hours of 3"/hr rates on average in that synoptic look up that way. so,... the NAM is 15 to 30" from S-N through NE ... E of the Tollan... interesting Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Greg Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 9 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: It starts snowing tomorrow night Sorry, I meant to say the day of the storm. Just like the Christmas day snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 NAM bufkit numbers BAF 14.8,ORH 17.1, BED 21.0 ,BDL 16.4 ,CON 20.2 ,Bos 23.4, GYX 22.3 ,MPV 9.0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 Was following GFS at 500 as it trickled in....when the hour 45 panel showed up my thought was "It's coming." The orientation was better, the heights out front were better, etc. Then by hour 51/54 it just gets kicked east and the result is the same. Glancing blow. Very frustrating. But still a step in the right direction. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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