ORH_wxman Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 I think next week has an ice signal for the interior too if that storm ends up trying to go west...but obviously its much snowier if things go further south like the 12z models showed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 First week of February may be tough we will see. When I made the joke about the Lego movie being the most exciting part..... At the very least the pattern is at least presenting more frequent storms. based on the 12-15 the Euro and GFS throw across most of SNE? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 EURO snow maps screw PF, have to give persistence a nod here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 I think next week has an ice signal for the interior too if that storm ends up trying to go west...but obviously its much snowier if things go further south like the 12z models showed.Possibly Saturday too. Strong feeling that trends south tonight . Too much HP to amp it like Euro has Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 Possibly Saturday too. Strong feeling that trends south tonight . Too much HP to amp it like Euro has HP has nothing to do with it. It's the 500mb pattern. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 HP has nothing to do with it. It's the 500mb pattern.I was thinking the stringer the confluence the more it forced things south and sheared Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 OT but when was the last time the Gulf Coast / SE had such an extensive area with WSW's? 90's? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 Possibly Saturday too. Strong feeling that trends south tonight . Too much HP to amp it like Euro has I don't like Saturday. I could see it trending south, but there's not nearly the CAD signal that next week has. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 EURO snow maps screw PF, have to give persistence a nod here.Leon Leon Leon and epicosity incoming Euro snow maps go out 10 days? Holy shiat Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 I don't like Saturday. I could see it trending south, but there's not nearly the CAD signal that next week has.What do you see that could potentially trend it south? I don't think SNE can stay all snow but I was thinking 1-3 then change to light zr or something along those lines Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 What do you see that could potentially trend it south? I don't think SNE can stay all snow but I was thinking 1-3 then change to light zr or something along those lines There's two shortwaves involved in saturday, one of them is diving down from the northern plains into the TN valley...and another coming onshore along the west coast that moves east and meets up with the first shortwave as it approaches the TN valley...the Euro does a full on phase of these just about...so the thing becomes extremely amplified. Other guidance tends to sort of only eject pieces of the energy and the whole system is flatter. The latter scenario is how we'd stay colder, but that is not the best way to hope for a colder solution. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 I was thinking the stringer the confluence the more it forced things south and sheared For Saturday? It looks like a mess. Not much CAD. There isn't any good confluence anywhere and we never get a fresh supply of cold air. I don't hope for that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 I think next week has an ice signal for the interior too if that storm ends up trying to go west...but obviously its much snowier if things go further south like the 12z models showed.Yeah that has a much more SWFE appeal to it as it stands right now....vs the Saturday system. All the models seem to start that one in the lower Ohio Valley and track NE towards us, which would probably try to pop a secondary as long as it doesn't end up over BUF or something. The last few GFS runs try to take that one across some portion of SNE, but the mid level flow is SW so likely some good low level damming under the inversion in any of those solutions for spots south of the 850 0C line. That could very well keep coming south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 activity, for sure. those who didn't get in on the arctic snows should feel borderline giddy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 Leon Leon Leon and epicosity incoming Euro snow maps go out 10 days? Holy shiat maybe you will get a warning event in May, then again you have ten inches OTG and are still bitching Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 Powderfreak is setting up to get some solid synoptic snows , wonder how much stowe racks up between jan 31 and feb 28 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 Interesting little development with the SB system. We have a bit of a kink in the trough as the system pulls away and a low develops down in NC as a response. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 Nice hit on the 0z GFS here on sunday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 As disappointed as I've been in January's snow output (not horrible but disappointing) it's still been constant snow cover in my yard since Dec 1st thanks to some great CAD during the torches. One thing I've noticed is some great ice build up on the Ct River and it's local tributaries. There is still some decent cold modeled in the long range. If we can get some snow pack to build here and north over the next 6 weeks watch out for torching spring cutters because the ice damming and subsequent flooding will be big. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 I hope Saturday rides n so that I can at least get a nice day out of it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 I hope Saturday rides n so that I can at least get a nice day out of it. Gfs seems to be going that way but I doubt it's a nice day. I may torch again and it could get warm up to boston. Interesting year. Without the blocking pattern keeps flying and so does the weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 Gfs seems to be going that way but I doubt it's a nice day. I may torch again and it could get warm up to boston. Interesting year. Without the blocking pattern keeps flying and so does the weather. 40's is a nice day. If I'm not getting 6+, go west, young man....go west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
thomasnh Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 Will, how does my area look for Sat in Amherst, NH? Are we looking at snow changing to rain? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 Big change euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 maybe you will get a warning event in May, then again you have ten inches OTG and are still bitching I'm not bitching, haha. We all may not be as content as you Ginxy I'm just looking for a solid 7+ event. I'm with 40/70 in that by Feb and March you start looking for something bigger tha nickel and dime. This pattern has that potential and we still have some ground to make up on climo, let's do it in Feb. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 Nice euro run. SB eve system that cuts west of us has its torchiness minimalized. 2/3 system hits SNE with a light event which is a good spot for it right now. And then the 2/6 system is still on. Ens came in quite a bit colder too and have the 2/10 threat. Potentially active times. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jamesnichols1989 Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 Active pattern ahead, but warm for the coastal plain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 Active pattern ahead, but warm for the coastal plain. Not necessarily. Active times Coming. Salt on Ray's Celica. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 Active pattern ahead, but warm for the coastal plain. Not what the guidance says after Sunday James. A lot of snow for the cp and everywhere else. Of course the cp always flirts with taint. But well below normal temps widespread as far as the eyes can see once past Super Bowl. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 28, 2014 Share Posted January 28, 2014 I don't like the GFS bringing the surface over SNE but still keeping it relatively cool. I'd think that either the track is screwy or the temps. If it played out as it shows, it looks like GC would be in a fairly decent spot with a lot of taint to the E and SE. Fun times from that for Dendrite, PF et al. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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