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Just an insane presentation still. Even looks like there may be a rain wrapped tornado

Got this message from work. NYC Emergency Management has implemented their flash flood emergency plan due to thunderstorms. I don't see any thunderstorms in the forecast for NYC today or tomorrow and a 20% chance on Wednesday.

This thing is still chugging along through the forests of Minnesota. HRRR says Canada denies it entry, but would be cool to see this thing survive and arrive tomorrow morning.

Agree...it will also be well above in the mean because were aren't getting cold of that magnitude, nor as protracted later in the season. I am NOT trying to imply that this year will be like the colder basin-wide seasons like 2002 when I call it basin-wide.

DCA: 95, 100, 101, 97 BWI: 95, 100, 101, 97 IAD: 95, 100, 101, 97 SBY: 91, 98, 98, 98 RIC: 95, 98, 99, 99 Total Rain: 1.34"

*forgets sunburn won't be a thing*

My front lawn is on a small hill facing north under a tree. Trees line the curb on the other side of the sidewalk. I would love turf to keep the leaves from settling in between blades and creating bare spots. In addition to the moss that takes over because of the north facing lawn with low sunlight. I thought about putting fake grass down. lol

I dunno man, the thermometer at Westside pool in Staunton's west end had frequent 100+ readings back in the 1990s!

12z GFS not backing off the heat for Thursday and Friday. 104 in Central Park for Thursday, with some 106 readings near Newark, and 105 in Central Park on Friday, with some 106 readings in northern Manhattan/Hudson County. At least humidity will be minimal.

With a chance that some locations could see a 100-degree day later this week I went back and analyzed 30 temperature stations across the area to see just how rare such a day has become. A 100-degree day is a rare occurrence across most spots across the County. With the potential being even more rare across the relatively higher ridge stations above 595 ft. In fact the last time any ridge location station saw a 100-degree reading was 15 years ago back on July 22, 2011. Of the 18 current stations across the area that report temperatures 9 of these have never recorded such a day. Our lowest elevation stations at Phoenixville and nearby Spring City both recorded a 100+ day last June. To illustrate how different the temperature elevation impact can be on June 26, 2025 while Spring City (256 ft ASL) was hitting the century mark....not too far away at Glenmoore DEOS (620 FT ASL) but 400 feet higher the high was 10 degrees cooler at "only" 90.6

With a chance that some locations could see a 100-degree day later this week I went back and analyzed 30 temperature stations across the area to see just how rare such a day has become. A 100-degree day is a rare occurrence across most spots across the County. With the potential being even more rare across the relatively higher ridge stations above 595 ft. In fact the last time any ridge location station saw a 100-degree reading was 15 years ago back on July 22, 2011. Of the 18 current stations across the area that report temperatures 9 of these have never recorded such a day. Our lowest elevation stations at Phoenixville and nearby Spring City both recorded a 100+ day last June. To illustrate how different the temperature elevation impact can be on June 26, 2025 while Spring City (256 ft ASL) was hitting the century mark....not too far away at Glenmoore DEOS (620 FT ASL) but 400 feet higher the high was 10 degrees cooler at "only" 90.6

he said noisy, not nosey

ridge roller season getting into full swing this week, looking forward to the axis sinking south as we head into july latest euro selling a classic look

Up to 87 quickly today

Pattern change heralding derecho around 7/10? GFS has had the idea for a few runs now

Yea he hates the Knicks.

Short term forecast was mainly cloudy this aft, I know not what the pops % were but it was pretty low. Gets dark at noon, find light to mod rain coming fast outta nowhere. This is the 2nd worst short term peg this year. The aft is cooked. My 7 day is changing wildly run to run so any precip is a pure guess.

You mean die, not suffer.

So if we hit it twice, does this mean you will watch it 4 times?

One thing I’m very, very confident in as far as winter, is a much warmer than normal to “torch” December this year because of what myself, @GaWx and you already discussed….the very strong correlation over the last 46 years (since 1980) of +QBO/El Nino (regardless of strength) Decembers being a slam dunk signal for warmth…literally 6 out of the last 6 were warm….

DPs over IL/IN/MI 75 to 80 55-60 locally. That air mass out there is heading this way. I don't know how exactly the that air mass entangles with the Lakes and then tumbles over terrain for us... but I could see there being some convection on the leading rim of that as it nears.

Apparently the ole temp sensor in the backyard station needs some work. It’s warm, but 90/81/108 at 10:55am seems a touch extreme

The latest estimates I have seen is 2.19C-2.26C (3.9F-4.1F): European land temperatures have increased even faster over the same period by 2.19 to 2.26°C, depending on the dataset used. https://www.eea.europa.eu/en/analysis/indicators/global-and-european-temperatures