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Discuss the Blizz of 2010 - Part II


Baroclinic Zone

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Nice nugget from Mt. Holly:

THE STORY OF THIS STORM IS THE BANDING...MAKING STORM TOTAL

SNOWFALL FORECASTS DIFFICULT. OVERALL...THE STORM TOTALS HAVE BEEN

SCALED BACK OUTSIDE OF THE BANDS...AND BEEFED UP IN THE BANDS.

THIS WILL BE AN ONGOING PROCESS...AND THE WARNING SCENARIO MAY

HAVE TO BE REEVALUATED FOR PORTIONS OF THE AREA LATE THIS EVENING.

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Once again a case where using the mid level circulations and highlighting the best forcing locations in model world, and adjusting northwest of model, works again. It's going to sound really picky of me, but I am bitter bc I could have been at my place in NYC where reports are over a foot already with sick dendrites and deformation. And instead I am in this more cellular convective forced precip with crappy dendritic growth in central CT.

Certainly am impressive storm for me, and now over yet, but I think when all said and done the wind will be my headline here.

I thought the models really hit the banding potential well with the low down in NYC area.

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Nice nugget from Mt. Holly:

THE STORY OF THIS STORM IS THE BANDING...MAKING STORM TOTAL

SNOWFALL FORECASTS DIFFICULT. OVERALL...THE STORM TOTALS HAVE BEEN

SCALED BACK OUTSIDE OF THE BANDS...AND BEEFED UP IN THE BANDS.

THIS WILL BE AN ONGOING PROCESS...AND THE WARNING SCENARIO MAY

HAVE TO BE REEVALUATED FOR PORTIONS OF THE AREA LATE THIS EVENING.

I said that this afternoon...it's always about the bands, baby.

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I said that this afternoon...it's always about the bands, baby.

Well this case is a bit different...usually with these storms you have one or two areas where intense banding will occur, however, with this storm, given it's intensity and low central pressure the entire storms is mainly constructed of bands...it's basically like a tropical system. Had this been less in the way of just bands after bands and one major shield of precip we all might be doing so much better right now.

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Noyes thinking someone just SW of the city gets 30" out of this. Quite bullish indeed!

Had 6" an hour ago...probably closer to 7-8" now. But I'm not going back out until tomorrow AM.

Yea, it's clear I missed on the larger scale because H5 got too far west, and I'm going to miss on a mesoscale level because the best banding will be to my s.

This will probably be on par with Feb 2006 for me.

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