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ctsnowstorm628

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by ctsnowstorm628

  1. ctsnowstorm628

    August pattern discussion

    And FWIW, think the takeaway from this is that risk increases significantly post 8/15 or so. Think transient troughiness is likely in the east, but with ongoing drought, not sure how temps behave. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
  2. ctsnowstorm628

    August pattern discussion

    Lol. Tip- with respect to how this re-curve impacts the downstream pattern, being as far east as SNE is, it may not influence quite as much, but this should pump up heights fairly significantly in the PNA region. Given shorter wave length this time of year, it's probably an in and out pattern both warm and cool through much of Aug IMO.
  3. ctsnowstorm628

    Wild Weekend Weather- Disco 04/02-/04/03

    I like this frontogenesis progged early tomorrow. If anything, should see some big bomber flakes as rain ---> snow.
  4. ctsnowstorm628

    Wild Weekend Weather- Disco 04/02-/04/03

    Yeah from TropicalTidbits, accumulations overnight bode well for legit impacts if this were to come to fruition.
  5. ctsnowstorm628

    April Pattern Disco -2016

    Yeah, certainly warmer than wks 1-2, but not the warmth I was honestly expecting for April. Do think warmth builds in the Plains wks 3-4. Question is does it slingshot east closer to 5/1 or get knocked back with lower heights in Quebec?
  6. ctsnowstorm628

    April Pattern Disco -2016

    Hey Steve! I have been told to not post "premium" ECMWF data on social media so I obliged w/ 24h maps from TropicalTidbits (which doesn't have free EPS 2mT anoms). Whole different topic for a different day... They were different, but the point I was making was that the EPS was less amped and quicker to pivot out the cool down versus GEFS yesterday. 140 characters sucks sometimes.
  7. ctsnowstorm628

    April Pattern Disco -2016

    But in all seriousness, I'm not on here much anymore (though apparently my tweets get talked about ocassionally?) Twitter's 140 characters certainly make the tweets lose their value sometimes- tough to talk LR wx with that much room. Anyways, does look like once that -EPO recovers, looks like the bigger key to end the month is western ridging and h5 shenanigans up near AK and the Aleutians. Despite ECMWF weeklies pointing warm, seeing ridging in western Canada doesn't exactly make me excited for extreme warmth... Guess overall I like normal or above post 4/15.
  8. ctsnowstorm628

    April Pattern Disco -2016

    Don't even get me started. Sigh. I'll just sit in my energy corner and watch...
  9. ctsnowstorm628

    April Pattern Disco -2016

    I would've said "lobe of the tropospheric PV" but that wouldn't sit well with anyone in that dept. (that I'm not in...)
  10. ctsnowstorm628

    April Pattern Disco -2016

    Heh, I know that guy...
  11. ctsnowstorm628

    America's Next Weather Caster

    Yeah, she is telling me it's quite fishy and not what she expected. She dropped out of the taping for a multitude of reasons stemming from that
  12. ctsnowstorm628

    America's Next Weather Caster

    It's happening. My friend got selected and she leaves for LA tomorrow....
  13. ctsnowstorm628

    February 17-18 Event

    This will trend a bit north I think. Given the vort max track over CVG-HGR-NYC, I'd expect light snow across SNE. Heavier stuff down in NYC/PHL/DCA. Not much blocking, so this thing is in and out quick. Probably a widespread 3-6"/4-8" event in the Mid-Atl.
  14. ctsnowstorm628

    February 17-18 Event

    What!? Lol, who?
  15. ctsnowstorm628

    12/20 Pre Grinch Mood Snows

    A couple notes from the 0z suite that I saw during my shift. 1. Ridging in the west was definitely dampened this run. Game ender? Absolutely not. 2. That high in the Great Lakes was noticeably stronger versus previous runs (Euro ENS in particular). 3. Euro ENS members are still literally all over the place. By Sunday morning, members range from Harrisburg, PA to 250 miles east of Hatteras. Writing this thing off 120 hours out is just silly. Give it time.
  16. ctsnowstorm628

    Thanksgiving Weekend Weather (Wed-Sun)

    Wish I was at LSC for this one. Hell, the Euro gets 6-10" back to me in State College....haha
  17. ctsnowstorm628

    Thanksgiving Weekend Weather (Wed-Sun)

    Ridging amplified in the west, which in turn sharpened the trough in the east. Also, the front gets hung up off the coast a bit longer. Even with this solution, it would rip in interior SNE for a time. And when I say rip, I mean rip. VV's off the charts.
  18. ctsnowstorm628

    Thanksgiving Weekend Weather (Wed-Sun)

    Day off tomorrow so I sleep normally haha. And looks warmer so far. Only out to 78
  19. ctsnowstorm628

    Thanksgiving Weekend Weather (Wed-Sun)

    Def west of 0z through 78
  20. ctsnowstorm628

    Thanksgiving Weekend Weather (Wed-Sun)

    New Euro trough looks sharper. Slightly west through 66h
  21. ctsnowstorm628

    Thanksgiving Weekend Weather (Wed-Sun)

    I guess my "coastal plain" is rather vague. I think outside of 128 down to Foxborough and northern Rhode Island would do just fine in this set up. Climo never fails to define that BOS-TAN-HVN coastal front in early season, (relatively) marginal events.
  22. ctsnowstorm628

    Thanksgiving Weekend Weather (Wed-Sun)

    I like a Euro Ensemble/GFS type solution here. Kicker is fast enough and Western US ridging is flat enough that this probably won't be west of 0z Euro solution, and likely east. Also, really having a hard time imagining the coastal plain seeing more than slop here. Any easterly component, plus a weak 1024mb high to the north with an initially "meh" antecedent air mass smells like trouble to me. Hudson Valley into SW ME may do well though.
  23. ctsnowstorm628

    August Discussion

    Yup, agreed. For someone who now does it for a living, God I cannot wait for winter. (Of course then I'll hate it after I'm super busy, haha)
  24. ctsnowstorm628

    August Discussion

    Same with me out in PA. I mean, I've been dumb and run my AC at night for comfort when I shouldn't have within the last month, sure. Cost me when the power bill came in. Lesson learned, haha. But seriously, we've been below average every day this freakin' month out this way.
  25. ctsnowstorm628

    August Discussion

    Long time no talk, guys! Been busy getting acclimated with my overnight shifts at Accuweather. Hope all of you guys are doing well! Don't see any sustainable warmth in the near future...enjoy the low electricity bills!
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