October Comes Early: Late September Multi-Hazard Hybrid Storm

[WxWatcher007]

2 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

I like to compare 12z to 00z, Gfs is a good bit east of 00z and less impactful, but well west of the 6z east outlier.  All options still on the table. 

It’s in the envelope of possibilities, but man, it’s really on an island right now. 

[HIPPYVALLEY]

38 minutes ago, Prismshine Productions said:

Nothing but heavy rain here in Townshend off that, not even strong winds

Sent from my SM-S176V using Tapatalk
 

Do you really want strong winds?  
I like having power on.

My location is pretty windproof outside of sever weather anyway.  

[Masswx]

47 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Phones off at school 

Too bad

[Prismshine Productions]

Do you really want strong winds?  
I like having power on.
My location is pretty windproof outside of sever weather anyway.  

Fuck no buddy, considering going from downtown Brattleboro to now surrounded by trees on Rt30?

[OrangeCTWX]

CMC and GFS looks pretty similar.  Euro is the only model showing this south of SNE at the moment no? 

[WinterWolf]

1 minute ago, OrangeCTWX said:

CMC and GFS looks pretty similar.  Euro is the only model showing this south of SNE at the moment no? 

I think all the AI’s are south too….

[WxWatcher007]

2 minutes ago, OrangeCTWX said:

CMC and GFS looks pretty similar.  Euro is the only model showing this south of SNE at the moment no? 

Euro and EPS. AI Euro and its ensembles. GDM and its ensembles. That’s a pretty good consensus but far from a slam dunk at this stage. 

[OrangeCTWX]

4 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said:

Euro and EPS. AI Euro and its ensembles. GDM and its ensembles. That’s a pretty good consensus but far from a slam dunk at this stage. 

Was referring to the EURO products when I said EURO, sorry for the confusion. 

[WxWatcher007]

2 minutes ago, OrangeCTWX said:

Was referring to the EURO products when I said EURO, sorry for the confusion. 

Ah, all good. 

[OrangeCTWX]

Ukie is way east.  But it probably can be discarded as it’s an outlier 

[WinterWolf]

5 minutes ago, OrangeCTWX said:

Ukie is way east.  But it probably can be discarded as it’s an outlier 

And that it sucks bad too. 

[vortex95]

3 hours ago, weatherwiz said:

Yeah we can't ignore the rainfall aspect of this. This is a setup in which models (even the more aggressive models) could underplay rainfall totals. As impressive as the Euro is with rainfall totals, it could still be underdone (taking verbatim). That is a continuous fetch of moisture off the Atlantic and the system takes its sweet time occluding. There could be a swath of some substantial rainfall totals. 

In one fell swoop, @CoastalWx could get rid of his "imagined" Weymouth drought!  LOL. 

[WxWatcher007]

I mean, we do want our weenie models to show big hits. Drunken runs of 970mb lows ripping down all the vegetation from the cape to the Hudson valley.

[kdxken]

What are the Super Intelligence models showing?

[WinterWolf]

3 minutes ago, kdxken said:

What are the Super Intelligence model showing?

A Super Storm…..

[WinterWolf]

8 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said:

I mean, we do want our weenie models to show big hits. Drunken runs of 970mb lows ripping down all the vegetation from the cape to the Hudson valley.

Yup, Just a total wipeout of all trees over six feet tall. 

[MJO812]

Euro AI

[CoastalWx]

Euro AI maximizes well south through. Meh.

[CoastalWx]

Looks like we have to toss euro AI

[MJO812]

Euro coming west this run ?

[MJO812]

Courtesy of another forum

Jeez much further west

[Brian5671]

2 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

Courtesy of another forum

Jeez much further west

Another SW CT jack lol

[CoastalWx]

AI ensembles still south of ACK stalled at hr 120. Not much agreement. 

[WxWatcher007]

lol if this coastal became a DC hit people would lose it.

[Damage In Tolland]

One thing for certain.  The GFS and Canadian will be wrong again. 

[Masswx]

Euro too west

[Cyclone-68]

If anyone wishes to chime in, I have a friend flying back from Colorado this Sunday. She should be ok getting in around 7pm. The worst should be over by then, no? Edit: maybe not 

[WxWatcher007]

4 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

AI ensembles still south of ACK stalled at hr 120. Not much agreement. 

Yep. Still a long way to go with this one. 

[Bostonseminole]

euro is a crawl

[Bostonseminole]

drops 6-8 in boston metro.. cars underwater at storrow dr.