Ju-ply 2026 Obs and Disco - Kicking it off with heat, humidity, and ... severe?

[CoastalWx]

7 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

2 severe warnings back to back days 

.03

.07

While Freak loses forests, gets 4” of rain , Sturbridge to RI get historic rains , and WOR washes away 

He moves in mysterious ways.

[Cyclone-68]

Zero back this way. Just a couple of middle of the night lightning alerts 

[dendrite]

16 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

2 severe warnings back to back days 

.03

.07

While Freak loses forests, gets 4” of rain , Sturbridge to RI get historic rains , and WOR washes away 

That’s a dry stretch for VT too

[Damage In Tolland]

2 minutes ago, dendrite said:

That’s a dry stretch for VT too

You mean 4” of rain?

[CT Valley Snowman]

Already above 80.  It's gonna be a special one. 

[HoarfrostHubb]

31 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

You mean 4” of rain?

Think of how many years mountainsides and whole villages are washed away during some of these events. 

[weatherwiz]

Should be another loud night for some tomorrow night

[tamarack]

14 hours ago, VivaManchVegas said:

This is going to be unpopular, but cutting down trees to make room for solar panels should be outlawed.  Unless they are impeding on your house and possible storm damage.  I drive through Maine and see acres of clear cuts for panels.  Its gross. On top of commercial buildings, land fills, desert or other wastelands, fine.  

Edit.. I will add open hayfields to the ban. 

Our home has trees 70-80 feet tall within 10 yards on 3 sides - 4th side same tree heights but 30 yards from the house.  To make solar feasible we'd need to cut about a 3-year supply of firewood (5 cd/yr) and buy a new roof.  No thanks.

2nd straight evening with all the action sliding to our south.  Not even a flicker.

[Lava Rock]

11 minutes ago, weatherwiz said:

Should be another loud night for some tomorrow night

Beans and franks?

[Typhoon Tip]

Saturday afternoon with frontal sag ..

[Sey-Mour Snow]

84/79 already 

[Typhoon Tip]

Not rising as fast as one might expect for the advertisement -

"90 by 9 am" is reasonable index finger method, and we're not going to make that.  some 82's around but most sites are just 79 - with only 20 minutes of cooking time, it doesn't seem 90 as average site temperature by 9 am is very realistic.

There is another adage that works statistically, though.  "10 by 10" ...  so we'll see where we are at that time.  This could be a situation where that outflow stuff overnight swept through and processed out our launch pad - so we may just need the extra hour of process time to "catch up" to where we would have been if that did not take place. 

It's hard to run a historic high jump heat dunk day when the night before gets it's legs kicked out. 

It's going to be mid 90s T/ 70billion DP one way or the other so it's really all just for show beyond that combination of hell, anyway.  Hell, tomorrow could end up being the winner in this stretch - that is, if high suppressing ridge heights do what they are physically supposed to do this time and actually not allow that kind of thing from timing that way.   I did think that sweep through was a bit of anomaly for where we were with those +d(g)'s ...but, it might also be why that thing weakened pretty dramatically as it tried to get into a lower latitude- on the edge.   But enough to cripple the morning T rise by that much. 

Tonight we are probably doing the 80+ in urbania.   So we'll have the launch pad preserved. Even though some metrics are actually easing off by tomorrow, that better non-Markovian set up could offset and maybe we find ourselves with more of Levitra result.

[rimetree]

.17 last night with a few gusts and thunder. Seemed like we were about to get nailed but didn't amount to much.

[Typhoon Tip]

There's some mid 80s dappled around but most sites are just 80..81 now...  still not good enough for 90 by 90.

Logan's 88 though.   

The interior ... the more I look at this, they were hobbled by a wet outflow overnight and will need to work extra hard over the next hour

[weatherwiz]

1 minute ago, Typhoon Tip said:

There's some mid 80s dappled around but most sites are 80 now...  still not good enough for 90 by 90.

Logan's 88 though.   

The interior ... the more I look at this, they were hobbled by a wet outflow overnight and will need to work extra hard over the next hour

A lot of evaporation going on too with the rain that moved through. When I went outside with the dog earlier it was like a sauna with the steam rising. 

[dendrite]

I always thought 90@9 was too aggressive. MHT did 19 after 9 yesterday.

It probably works better for a place that stays very mixed overnight like BOS or ORH. 

[CT Valley Snowman]

Just a sprinkle here last night and we are off to the races at 86 .

[Typhoon Tip]

11 minutes ago, dendrite said:

I always thought 90@9 was too aggressive. MHT did 19 after 9 yesterday.

It probably works better for a place that stays very mixed overnight like BOS or ORH. 

Valid point ... 

the 9 by 9 was a Boston market thing at WHDH with Harv' ..but I heard Dick Albert over on ABC/Channel 5 Boston and Barry on Channel 4 also use that expression in the early 1990s   - jesus... you wonder if all adages older than 300,000 years need to be re-evaluated, which come think about it ... maybe that's true due to CC anyway. 

Anyway, that fits what you suspect there, about the HFD-BOS region.  Y'all up there's more of a pseudo alpine climo anyway.

10 after 10's up next.

By the way... I noticed a lot of sites were struggling in the 91 range yesterday, and unilaterally ... many of them leaped to 95 to even few 97's at around 3pm, all at once.   So yeah..there's no rule that these things have to be very linear.  The purpose of today's tedious Asperger obsession is to test these adages. 

[bristolri_wx]

Good morning from Colt State Park in Bristol, a hazy 79 degrees with  light breeze.

 

[ineedsnow]

Not here but I think we're going to hear alot about this Typhoon in the coming days

[Typhoon Tip]

Bit of a bounce as we approach 9:30 ... 85's  common.

88 downtown ORH matches Logan, which I believe will breach 90 by 10 as they've been sitting under this rising saline torch of a sun bathed in an ideal WNW light wind for the last half hour...  

Still some lingering upper 70s in the deep outflow tainted interior though. 

[Typhoon Tip]

86 at Sanford ME's impressive for 9:15

[Typhoon Tip]

Okay, so as expected, ...90 at Logan per 9:30 ob  ...well, 9:20 to be precise.  

Westborough ob leaped to 89.  

**86 now at FIT is a 10 minute 4 deg improvement - do that a couple more times and that becomes an event...  (EDIT:  they had a 50 minute outage so never mind)

May see 90 at downtown ORH and FIT by 10; given the last hours d(T)/dt and assuming that continues. 

[Typhoon Tip]

Those a bit more familiar with far NNE climo ... is 82 at 8:50 am impressive for CAR, ME.  I'm assuming so.. but how much.   

[CT Valley Snowman]

90 BDL

[Psychguy]

41 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

Not here but I think we're going to hear alot about this Typhoon in the coming days

Are typhoons in the Pacific linked to increased subtropical jet stream activity… ie. more rain in the South and East?

[WxWatcher007]

10am

85.3/76 at WXW1

91/70 at HFD

 

78/67 at SLK

75.0/70 at WXW2

[Typhoon Tip]

18 minutes ago, CT Valley Snowman said:

90 BDL

90 at Shirley right next door, but 88/73 here at 10am.

Some 90 .. 91 sprinkled in a sea of 87 to 89s

Solid recovery out of the overnight outflow wash

[weatherwiz]

Tomorrow night could be really fun, could even be more fun if that EML wasn't shunting to our southwest 

[MJO812]

95 here

Stay cool