Jump to content
  • Member Statistics

    19,050
    Total Members
    49,013
    Most Online
    Damisa
    Newest Member
    Damisa
    Joined

Ju-ply 2026 Obs and Disco - Kicking it off with heat, humidity, and ... severe?


weatherwiz
 Share

Recommended Posts

Just now, Damage In Tolland said:

Euro loves to do this in summer , people get all excited for sister and then it vanishes faster than a plate full of stuffing on Scooter’s Tgiving plate. 

QPF can't be taken at face value during the warm season (unless you're dealing with a clear-cut and well-defined synoptic lift event). When you're dealing with convection, guidance (especially less coarse models) are going to whip up erroneous QPF amounts over a widespread area when the reality is you're looking at convective precip which is going to be more hit and miss. 

 

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 minute ago, weatherwiz said:

QPF can't be taken at face value during the warm season (unless you're dealing with a clear-cut and well-defined synoptic lift event). When you're dealing with convection, guidance (especially less coarse models) are going to whip up erroneous QPF amounts over a widespread area when the reality is you're looking at convective precip which is going to be more hit and miss. 

It's like a weak or decaying upper low and I think it's EuroGW with the convective QPF. But there are hints from both the Euro and GFS that there is a warm advection driven area of lift early next week. That could at least lead to a more cohesive area of rain.

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

High was 96 yesterday and 97 today.  Now 96.  But those GFS maps a day ago were showing 100+ for both days here, Friday, too.  Tomorrow will be similar to today.  Just your normal summer heat wave, nothing abnormal from a climate standpoint. If the Euro is right, Tuesday you might need a sweater or jacket on the golf course.  And an umbrella.  :lol:

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Definitely having brownouts in this area today.  We have window air conditioners in the living room and the bedrooms upstairs, and apparently the living room and one of the bedrooms are on the same electrical circuit as they shut off twice today.  We have lived in this house for over 45 years and never had this happen.  The work around was to find a bedroom outlet not on the same circuit and use the heavy duty extension to keep them both running.

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

3 minutes ago, ChangeofSeasonsWX said:

The media nowadays likes to hype every weather event to the max. Every heat wave is "extreme". This event isn't anything crazy. Although I doubt that many people would notice a big difference between 100F and 105F anyways.

It's going to be tight, but if BOS can go back to back 100s that's not been done since the 40s. This definitely a step up from your low to mid 90s heat wave.

  • Like 4
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.

Sign In Now
 Share

×
×
  • Create New...