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6 minutes ago, golfer67 said:

12z NAM brings basically zero rain north of central NJ on Saturday. GFS still has some rain but doesn't seem as wet or North as previous runs. Hoping it at least holds out til night.

shouldn't be totally relying on a Mesoscale model 72 hours out the 12Z GFS is further north with the precip

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59 minutes ago, Superstorm said:

How does that compare to normal.

The maps haven’t updated yet to include the wildfires in Ontario that started on July 13th. 
 

 

Analysis of 2026 Canada #wildfire emissions up to 9 July with the #CopernicusAtmosphere GFAS dataset shows more typical onset and magnitude following the previous three extreme years. Fires have been burning across the country from NWT to Newfoundland. @copernicusecmwf.bsky.social @ecmwf.int
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10:19 AM · Jul 10, 2026
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Total estimated wildfire emissions from NWT are currently similar to 2023 (&2014) so far with half of the summer still to come. Although at much smaller scale in terms of emissions, fires in southern regions of Nunavut are already at the highest level for the territory in the 24-year GFAS dataset.
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5 minutes ago, MANDA said:

Agreed.  Until I see smoke drifting through my neighborhood this is not close to 2023, so far.

Same agreed! 2023 was extreme. I think NYC had a AQI of over 400 in 2023 and the sky was bright orange on June 23rd 2023. I remember painting a house outside and in the morning the sky was blue but by the noon a thick haze settled over which then I had to put a mask on because it was very hard to breathe in it and by 2pm I said screw this and went home! 

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1 minute ago, OrangeCTWX said:

Got noticeably worse here the last few hours.  Think you guys in NYC area aren’t in the full brunt of it yet. 

Short range models have it getting worse here late this afternoon/evening. Makes sense with the cold front sagging south. And it's already very noticeable.

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1 minute ago, jm1220 said:

Short range models have it getting worse here late this afternoon/evening. Makes sense with the cold front sagging south. And it's already very noticeable.

Yes the worse of it is approaching the NYC metro area. Thinking tomorrow will be even worse too.

IMG_2848.png

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8 minutes ago, OrangeCTWX said:

Got noticeably worse here the last few hours.  Think you guys in NYC area aren’t in the full brunt of it yet. 

I checked my weather station. The heavy smoke came in around 1:00, temp dropped from 89.6 at 1:00 to 85 by 1:30. 

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