July 2026

[bluewave]

On 7/7/2026 at 9:48 AM, SnoSki14 said:

That thing is massive 

Yeah, this is going to be a very impressive ridge for that part of North America. MPX has a shot at a new all-time 500 mb height record. The previous record is less than three years old. 
 

 

 

 

 

[forkyfork]

22 hours ago, forkyfork said:

the last one trended east and this one has started edging 

 

[Prue11]

It doesn’t look like much of any measurable precip the next 10-14 days 

[NEG NAO]

1 hour ago, Prue11 said:

It doesn’t look like much of any measurable precip the next 10-14 days 

what about the heavy T- storms tomorrow and Friday with possible flooding downpours  ?

[Stormlover74]

88...above forecast 

[donsutherland1]

Tomorrow will feature high temperatures in the lower to perhaps middle 80s and the Friday could see highs in the upper 80s. A few of the hot spots could approach or reach 90°. Showers or thundershowers are possible on both days. 

The weekend will turn somewhat cooler with highs mainly in the lower 80s. No excessive heat appears likely through mid-month. However, some of the guidance has grown hotter near mid-month so that situation will bear watching.

The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +3.4°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +1.8°C for the week centered around July 1. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +2.80°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +1.52°C. The ongoing El Niño will continue to strengthen through the summer.

The SOI is not available due to data feed issues. This could be an extended issue.

The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +0.987 today. 

Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied near 62% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal July (1991-2020 normal). July will likely finish with a mean temperature near 78.8° (1.3° above normal). 

Supplemental Information: The projected mean would be 2.3° above the 1981-2010 normal monthly value. 

 

[SACRUS]

Today's Highs:
 

 

EWR: 89
TEB: 88 
New BrnswcK: 87
LGA: 87
PHL: 86
BLM: 85
NYC: 85 
TTN: 84
ACY: 84
JFK: 81
ISP: 80

[bluewave]

First time that Harrison,NJ away from the sea breeze reached 20 days of 90° or greater by July 8th. The station is in 3rd place for 95° days at 8. They are in 1st place with 4 days reaching 100°.

The New Brunswick COOP is 2nd only to 2010 for the warmest average summer high temperature through June 8th. This matches the entire region which has numerous top 5 for average maximum temperature so far.
 

Time Series Summary for HARRISON, NJ Most 90° days by July 8th
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.

1	2026-07-08	20	0
-	2010-07-08	20	17
2	2018-07-08	18	0
3	2024-07-08	17	0
-	2021-07-08	17	0
-	2002-07-08	17	5

 

Time Series Summary for HARRISON, NJ Most 95° days by July 8th
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.

1	2012-07-08	11	19
2	2021-07-08	9	0
3	2026-07-08	8	0
-	2010-07-08	8	17

 

 

Time Series Summary for HARRISON, NJ
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.

1	2026-07-08	4	0
2	2025-07-08	3	0
-	2010-07-08	3	17
3	2021-07-08	2	0
-	2012-07-08	2	19
-	1999-07-08	2	1

 

Time Series Summary for NEW BRUNSWICK 3 SE, NJ Highest average  maximum temperature June 1 to July 8
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.

1	2010-07-08	87.2	0
2	2026-07-08	86.3	0
3	2024-07-08	86.1	0
4	1999-07-08	84.8	0
5	2008-07-08	84.7	0

 

[SACRUS]

76 / 68 partly - mostly cloudy with some showers and storms isolated into E PA and southern areas.  In / out of the clouds - warm mid 80s with some scattered storms in the pm and evening.   Similar but warmer Friday and with enough clearing, 90 i the hottest locals.  The weekend looks mainly dry but still some isolated storms possible Sat.  The western ridge is building the the NE trough lifts out - heat pushes east towards the 14th and beyond with overall warm - hot in the period, and next shot at widespread strong (95+) heat 7/14 - 7/16.

[SACRUS]

Records:

Highs: 

EWR: 104 (1993)
NYC: 106 (1936)
LGA: 98 (1993)
JFK: 101 (1993)
 

Lows: 

EWR: 56 (1963)
NYC: 54 (1963)
NYC: 57 (1963)
JFK: 55 (1963)
 

Historical:

1860 - A hot blast of air in the middle of a sweltering summer pushed the mercury up to 115 degrees at Fort Scott and Lawrence, KS. (David Ludlum)

1876: The minimum temperature of 80° or above on the 9th and 10th were the warmest two consecutive nights ever in Washington, DC.(Ref. Washington Weather Records - KDCA)

1882 - Ice formed on the streets of Cheyenne, WY, during a rare summer freeze. (David Ludlum)

1936 - The temperature hit an all-time record high of 106 degrees at the Central Park Observatory in New York City, a record which lasted until LaGuardia Airport hit 107 degrees on July 3rd in 1966. (The Weather Channel)

1938: A deadly, estimated F4 tornado moved east-southeast across the eastern edge of Andover, SD to north of Bristol, SD. 17 buildings were destroyed at Andover, and at least one home was completely swept away. An elderly person was killed at the western edge of Andover and a couple died in a home at the southern edge of town. About two hours later, another estimated F4 tornado moved east-northeast from two miles northeast of White, South Dakota in Brookings County to Hendricks, MN. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)

1968 - Columbus, MS received 15.68 inches of rain in 24 hours to establish a record for the state. (The Weather Channel)

 

1979: Hurricane Bob was born in the Gulf of Mexico, becoming the first Atlantic Hurricane to be given a male name.

1982: Wind shear caused the crash of Pam Am flight 759 after takeoff from New Orleans International Airport in Louisiana. 145 people on the plane and 8 people on the ground were killed. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)

1987 - Thunderstorms produced severe weather in Michigan. A tornado near Munising, MI, destroyed part of a commercial dog kennel, and one of the missing dogs was later found unharmed in a tree top half a mile away. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

1988 - Twenty-three cities in the eastern U.S. reported record high temperatures for the date. Alpena, MI, and Buffalo, NY, suffered through their sixth straight day of record heat. The percentage of total area in the country in the grips of severe to extreme drought reached 43 percent, the fourth highest total of record. The record of 61 percent occurred during the summer of 1934. (The National Weather Summary)

1989 - Morning thunderstorms produced very heavy rain in southern Lower Michigan and northern Indiana. Up to 5.6 inches of rain was reported in Berrien County, MI. Sioux Falls SD reported a record high of 108 degrees. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

1992: Severe thunderstorms produced a swath of very large and damaging hail and damaging winds. Golf ball-size hail and 60 mph winds were reported on the west side of Decatur, IL with numerous roofs and automobiles damaged by the hail. Hail grew to nearly the size of baseballs by the time the storms reached the Charleston/Mattoon areas. Total damage from the storms was estimated around $5 million dollars.  (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)

1993: One of the strongest and most long-lived wind events of recorded history in the Midwest pounded portions of Nebraska and Iowa. The wind event, called a Derecho, actually started near Goodland, KS and raced across southern Nebraska and into Iowa traveling at 60 mph. In the Omaha metro area, tree and property damage was heavy as 70 to 100 mph winds caused $7 million dollars in damage. Also in Nebraska, power line damage alone totaled $30 million dollars and total property damage was estimated near $100 million dollars. This wind storm even spawned a tornado in the city of Lincoln, NE causing damage to the north end of town. As the derecho moved into southwest Iowa, 13 high-tension power line poles were downed on the east side of Council Bluffs. Winds continued in the 85 mph range as far as east as Fremont County, Iowa before finally subsiding in the central part of the Hawkeye State. 11 inches of rain fell overnight in Scranton, IA. Much of the downtown of Davenport, IA was under water as the Great Flood of 1993 raged on.

1993" record daily high temperatures were set at: Newark, NJ: 104°, NYC-Kennedy Airport, NY: 101°, Greensboro, NC: 101°, Atlantic City, NY: 100°, Wallops Island, VA: 100°, Dulles Airport, VA: 99°, NYC-LaGuardia, NY: 98°, Concord, NH: 95° and Islip, NY: 93°. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)

2003: A new July maximum temperature record was set as Anchorage, AK hit 84°. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)

[TheClimateChanger]

21 hours ago, forkyfork said:

 

Decent chance for hottest month on record for the Lower 48, both by pop-weighted CDDs and areal average.

 

[FPizz]

Hopefully can get some rain today.  Last event barely reached 1" of rain here over the 4 days

[doncat]

Little late to the party but rainfall here reached 2.10" with last event. High temp yesterday of 88°.

[NEG NAO]

[TriPol]

Keep the heat away next week. The last thing the electrical grid needs is us back in the 100s.

[Stormlover74]

7 minutes ago, TriPol said:

Keep the heat away next week. The last thing the electrical grid needs is us back in the 100s.

Its coming

[FPizz]

My get grazed by a little rain shortly

[SACRUS]

[winterwarlock]

Getting rained on now with thunder

 

Very dark

[Stormlover74]

That big cell is so close but probably won't make it here 

Lots of thunder for sure

[weathermedic]

Lots of lightning with that cell in central NJ

[Stormlover74]

[FPizz]

26 minutes ago, winterwarlock said:

Getting rained on now with thunder

 

Very dark

This hitting you pretty good?  I'm right on the northern cutoff, so only some light rain, but can hear all of the thunder 

[SnoSki14]

We're getting slammed right now. Might get 2-3" out of this. 

[Cyg]

Can hear a lot of thunder in the distance from that cell over Middlesex county.

[Stormlover74]

8 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said:

We're getting slammed right now. Might get 2-3" out of this. 

Surprised Mt holly hasn't put out anything

Upton has for S.I.

[JonClaw]

The cell is aimed right for me at work in Brooklyn. Hoping it holds!

[winterwx21]

27 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said:

That big cell is so close but probably won't make it here 

Lots of thunder for sure

Yeah I'm right on the northern fringe of it. Low end heavy rain right now. I've been watching the lightning in the southern sky. Slow moving downpours that can cause flooding, but as you said it appears the worst will stay just to our south. Keeping an eye on radar though to see if any of this shifts north. 

[weathermedic]

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Flash Flood Warning
National Weather Service New York NY
119 PM EDT Thu Jul 9 2026

The National Weather Service in Upton has issued a

* Flash Flood Warning for...
  Kings (Brooklyn) County in southeastern New York...
  Richmond (Staten Island) County in southeastern New York...

* Until 415 PM EDT.

* At 119 PM EDT, Doppler radar indicated thunderstorms producing
  heavy rain across the warned area. The expected rainfall rate is
  1.5 to 2.5 inches in 1 hour. Additional rainfall amounts of 1 to 3
  inches are possible in the warned area. Flash flooding is ongoing
  or expected to begin shortly.

  HAZARD...Flash flooding caused by thunderstorms.

  SOURCE...Radar.

  IMPACT...Flash flooding of small creeks and streams, urban
           areas, highways, streets and underpasses as well as
           other poor drainage and low-lying areas.

* Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...
  Flatbush, Coney Island, Todt Hill, Crown Heights, The Verrazano
  Narrows Bridge, Huguenot, Canarsie, Bay Ridge, Port Richmond,
  Tottenville, Tompkinsville, Bensonhurst, Oakwood, Park Slope,
  Sheepshead Bay, Annadale, New Dorp, Grasmere, Heartland Village
  and Greenridge.

[FPizz]

9 minutes ago, winterwx21 said:

Yeah I'm right on the northern fringe of it. Low end heavy rain right now. I've been watching the lightning in the southern sky. Slow moving downpours that can cause flooding, but as you said it appears the worst will stay just to our south. Keeping an eye on radar though to see if any of this shifts north. 

Looks like the batch in central/south somerset co should get pway decently.  Been getting nipped here, 0.10"