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The big temperature swings pattern continues. We saw something like this with the record warmth and hard freeze earlier this spring. Now it looks like afternoon temperatures will be the upper 40s to low 50s on Saturday following the upper 90s a few days ago. 
 

IMG_6409.thumb.gif.554be85179d65073fbe5e56c0bf9fb0e.gif

IMG_6410.thumb.png.6fc7ec03db1d41f78309aa5fef84aabf.png

 

 

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2 hours ago, bluewave said:

The big temperature swings pattern continues. We saw something like this with the record warmth and hard freeze earlier this spring. Now it looks like afternoon temperatures will be the upper 40s to low 50s on Saturday following the upper 90s a few days ago. 
 

IMG_6409.thumb.gif.554be85179d65073fbe5e56c0bf9fb0e.gif

IMG_6410.thumb.png.6fc7ec03db1d41f78309aa5fef84aabf.png

 

 

Hideous. 

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Big Temperature swings this spring

 

2026-03-10 83 40 61.5 19.9 3 0 0.00 0.0 0
2026-03-11 83 52 67.5 25.6 0 3 0.02 0.0 0
2026-03-12 69 35 52.0 9.8 13 0 0.16 T 0
2026-03-13 49 31 40.0 -2.5 25 0 0.00 0.0 0

 

2026-03-31 81 62 71.5 22.9 0 7 0.00 0.0 0
2026-04-01 84 58 71.0 22.0 0 6 0.47 0.0 0
2026-04-02 58 43 50.5 1.1 14 0 0.13 0.0 0
2026-04-03 71 44 57.5 7.7 7 0 T 0.0 0
2026-04-04 84 48 66.0 15.9 0 1 0.00 0.0 0
2026-04-05 73 48 60.5 10.0 4 0 0.41 0.0 0
2026-04-06 59 43 51.0 0.1 14 0 T 0.0 0
2026-04-07 56 38 47.0 -4.3 18 0 T 0.0 0
2026-04-08 55 31 43.0 -8.7 22 0 0.00 0.0 0

 

2026-04-15 91 62 76.5 22.1 0 12 T 0.0 0
2026-04-16 91 65 78.0 23.2 0 13 0.00 0.0 0
2026-04-17 83 67 75.0 19.8 0 10 0.00 0.0 0
2026-04-18 78 53 65.5 10.0 0 1 0.00 0.0 0
2026-04-19 57 44 50.5 -5.4 14 0 0.01 0.0 0
2026-04-20 55 40 47.5 -8.8 17 0 T 0.0 0
2026-04-21 58 34 46.0 -10.6 19 0 0.00 0.0 0

 

2026-05-18 96 65 80.5 15.7 0 16 0.00 0.0 0
2026-05-19 98 71 84.5 19.4 0 20 0.04 0.0 0
2026-05-20 95 69 82.0 16.6 0 17 0.21 0.0 0

Saturday's high projected to be only in the 50s.

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3 minutes ago, PhiEaglesfan712 said:

Big Temperature swings this spring

 

2026-03-10 83 40 61.5 19.9 3 0 0.00 0.0 0
2026-03-11 83 52 67.5 25.6 0 3 0.02 0.0 0
2026-03-12 69 35 52.0 9.8 13 0 0.16 T 0
2026-03-13 49 31 40.0 -2.5 25 0 0.00 0.0 0

 

2026-03-31 81 62 71.5 22.9 0 7 0.00 0.0 0
2026-04-01 84 58 71.0 22.0 0 6 0.47 0.0 0
2026-04-02 58 43 50.5 1.1 14 0 0.13 0.0 0
2026-04-03 71 44 57.5 7.7 7 0 T 0.0 0
2026-04-04 84 48 66.0 15.9 0 1 0.00 0.0 0
2026-04-05 73 48 60.5 10.0 4 0 0.41 0.0 0
2026-04-06 59 43 51.0 0.1 14 0 T 0.0 0
2026-04-07 56 38 47.0 -4.3 18 0 T 0.0 0
2026-04-08 55 31 43.0 -8.7 22 0 0.00 0.0 0

 

2026-04-15 91 62 76.5 22.1 0 12 T 0.0 0
2026-04-16 91 65 78.0 23.2 0 13 0.00 0.0 0
2026-04-17 83 67 75.0 19.8 0 10 0.00 0.0 0
2026-04-18 78 53 65.5 10.0 0 1 0.00 0.0 0
2026-04-19 57 44 50.5 -5.4 14 0 0.01 0.0 0
2026-04-20 55 40 47.5 -8.8 17 0 T 0.0 0
2026-04-21 58 34 46.0 -10.6 19 0 0.00 0.0 0

 

2026-05-18 96 65 80.5 15.7 0 16 0.00 0.0 0
2026-05-19 98 71 84.5 19.4 0 20 0.04 0.0 0
2026-05-20 95 69 82.0 16.6 0 17 0.21 0.0 0

Saturday's high projected to be only in the 50s.

Funny how things kind of even out

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Steady light to sometimes moderate rain ongoing.  Very chilly and damp with temperature currently at 54 degrees.   Had an overnight low of 50.

As of 8am had received .12".  Ongoing rains will moisten the soil so that the upcoming weekend rains will be more able to soak in instead of just initially running off.  Going to put some fertilizer down tomorrow.  Been waiting for some decent rains to apply it.

Totals as of 8am this morning.  Some places did really well. Click to zoom.

Screenshot 2026-05-21 at 11.28.06 AM.jpg

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3 hours ago, MANDA said:

Steady light to sometimes moderate rain ongoing.  Very chilly and damp with temperature currently at 54 degrees.   Had an overnight low of 50.

As of 8am had received .12".  Ongoing rains will moisten the soil so that the upcoming weekend rains will be more able to soak in instead of just initially running off.  Going to put some fertilizer down tomorrow.  Been waiting for some decent rains to apply it.

Totals as of 8am this morning.  Some places did really well. Click to zoom.

Screenshot 2026-05-21 at 11.28.06 AM.jpg

Nice, I see they got my report in time.  I was a little late putting it in.  I'm the .35 near the H in Hillsborough in Somerset Co.  

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2 hours ago, forkyfork said:

monthly record highs were set with the heat wave. any monthly record lows on the horizon?

The average for the month is slightly above here even with the heat and will be below average by Tuesday.  Anything else to add dummy?  Guessing one of your rocks while you were talking to it fell on your head.

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What drought? I am genuinely confused at drought talk. Last few months:

May ; 3.36" - more to come

April: 2.93"

March: 5:04

Feb: 2.44 ( i dont melt down snow, so i missed some im sure). 

This year has not been dry at all. Last June and July were drier, but the fall was normal to above (5" in October). 

 

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36 minutes ago, psv88 said:

What drought? I am genuinely confused at drought talk. Last few months:

May ; 3.36" - more to come

April: 2.93"

March: 5:04

Feb: 2.44 ( i dont melt down snow, so i missed some im sure). 

This year has not been dry at all. Last June and July were drier, but the fall was normal to above (5" in October). 

 

Even looking at the drought map, most of the area is barely in a drought. Yes, down south its a little worse in areas but not most of us.

Even before the last couple "dry" years, go back a few more years and we were averaging 3-4" more than normal every year for a while.

It all evens out.

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Cooler air has now returned to the region. Tomorrow will be variably cloudy and cool with highs topping out in the lower and middle 60s across the region.

Rain will develop on Saturday and continue into Sunday. A general 0.50"-1.50" rainfall is likely. The temperature will likely remain in the 50s all day on Saturday and struggle to reach the lower 60s on Sunday. The mercury will likely return to the lower 70s on Monday.

The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +1.8°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +0.9°C for the week centered around May 13. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +1.63°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +0.70°C. El Niño conditions are now in place. The ongoing El Niño will continue to strengthen through the summer.

The SOI was -15.07 yesterday. 

The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +0.108 today. 

Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied near 66% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal May (1991-2020 normal). May will likely finish with a mean temperature near 63.8° (0.6° above normal). 

Supplemental Information: The projected mean would be 1.3° above the 1981-2010 normal monthly value. 

 

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4 hours ago, Brian5671 said:

Long duration rainstorm on tap-while it will help the drought the timing is awful.

I'm glad we're going to get much-needed rain Saturday into Sunday morning. At least Monday doesn't look too bad. We'll have to see how long the rain lingers on Sunday -- some models move it out in time for late day and evening for people that want to cook outside. That's uncertain right now, but of course the one thing that is certain is Saturday is shot. 

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