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Looks like a fairly active pattern for cold fronts moving through from time to time. Main trough looks to be centered over the Great Lakes.

It may continue to be the case that the NW winds behind the lows are more impressive than the actual rainfall totals. We’ll see…

Perhaps as we approach late May the ridge out West can push into the Great Lakes and Northeast. But we would want to lose that 50/50 low to have a shot at some extended warmth like we had in March and April. 
 

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69 / 55 clouds / showers approaching from EPA.  Looking like a general 0.25 or more for the area.  Cooler Thu / Fri and perhaps a similar cloudy - showerish Saturday ahead of a one day Mothers Day warmup.  Next week continues to look near / below normal with showers/rain on several days Mon - Fri.  Still think we push towards a moderation by / after mid month with any shot at heat in the 5/17 - 5/24 window.

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Records:

Highs:

EWR: 93 (1949)
NYC: 92 (1986)
LGA: 93 (1949)
JFK: 88 (1986)


Lows:

EWR: 40 (1967)
NYC: 32 (1891)
LGA: 41 (1967)
JFK: 37 (1992)

 


Historical:


1840: The second deadliest tornado in U.S. history struck Natchez and Natchez Landing, MS, killing 317 people. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)

1876: A tornado, estimated at F3 intensity, tracked four miles across Chicago, Illinois. The damaged buildings included a candy factory, a hospital, a freight depot, and a church. The tornado moved out over Lake Michigan and was observed to have multiple vortices by a reporter. Further south in Illinois, a tornado blew a moving passenger train off the tracks near Neoga, injuring all 19 people aboard. 


1900: “The Day of the Cyclones”. A tornado moved south, passing five miles west of Jetmore, KS picking up a small home and smashing it to the ground, killing a woman. Cattle were carried 200 yards. At least 15, perhaps over 25, tornadoes touched down in Kansas this day. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)

1911 : Record Minimum temperature for Washington, DC for the date is 37 °F.

 

1917: Amarillo, TX had its latest snowfall on record with 9.1 inches falling.

1933 - Charleston, SC, was deluged with 10.57 inches of rain, an all- time 24 hour record for that location. (The Weather Channel)

1937: The German passenger airship LZ 129 Hindenburg caught fire and was destroyed during its attempt to dock with its mooring mast at Naval Air Station Lakehurst in Manchester Township, New Jersey, United States. Of the 97 people on board (36 passengers and 61 crewmen), there were 35 fatalities (13 passengers and 22 crewmen). One worker on the ground was also killed, making a total of 36 deaths. The Hindenburg was delayed two hours from docking due to thunderstorms in the area.

1967: It was a busy Saturday night at the GES Department store near the Alabama State Fairgrounds in the West End section of Birmingham. The store was filled with shoppers about 7 PM when a store manager saw a tornado approaching. He yelled for customers to get down seconds before the twister struck the store. One woman was killed nearby when she was struck by a board from a nearby lumber yard as she watched the tornado from her daughter's front porch. 25 people were injured along the F2 tornado's four mile path. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)

1975 - A massive tornado hit Omaha, NE, killing three persons, injuring 133 others, and causing 150 million dollars damage. The tornado struck during the late afternoon moving northeastward through the industrial and residential areas of west central Omaha, and lifting over the northern section of the city. The twister, which cut a swath ten miles long and as much as a quarter of a mile wide, was the mostly costly in U.S. history up til that time. (David Ludlum)

1978: Estes Park, County recorded 32 inches of snow, Boulder had 25 inches, 20 inches piled up at Colorado Springs, and Denver checked in with 14 inches for their greatest May snowstorm on record. Cheyenne, WY received 11.1 inches of snow and a total storm total of 18.3 inches; their greatest May snowstorm on record. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)
 

1987 - Eighteen cities in California and Oregon reported record high temperatures for the date. Highs of 91 degrees at Portland OR, 101 degrees at Medford OR, and 104 degrees at Sacramento CA, were the warmest of record for so early in the season. (The National Weather Summary)

1988 - A major storm brought high winds to the western half of the country. A wind gust of 74 mph at Pueblo CO broke their May record established just four days earlier, and winds in the Arapahoe Ski Basin area of Colorado reached 85 mph. In North Dakota, the high winds reduced visibilities to near zero in blowing dust closing many roads. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

1989 - Sixteen cities in the north central U.S. reported record low temperatures for the date. Morning lows of 17 at Bismarck ND and 26 at Minneapolis MN were the coldest of record for so late in the season. A reading of 43 degrees at the start of the Kentucky Derby was the coldest in 115 years of records. Light snow was reported in the Upper Midwest, with an inch reported at Chicago IL. (The National Weather Summary)

1990 - Snow and high winds prevailed behind a Pacific cold front crossing the northwestern U.S. Wind gusts above 50 mph were reported in southeastern Idaho, and heavy snow blanketed the Cascade Mountains of Washington State, with twelve inches reported at Stampede Pass. (The National Weather Summary)

1999: Orlando, Florida: Double record day in Orlando. High temperature reaches 94 °F and late day cloudburst dumps short-period record rainfall of 1.21 inches of rain. (Ref. WxDoctor)

2001: The high temperature in Death Valley National Park, CA reached 100°. This began a record streak of 154 consecutive days with the high temperature reaching 100 degrees or hotter. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)

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4 hours ago, MJO812 said:

Spring and Summer are so boring

Bring on Autumn and Winter

 

2 hours ago, IrishRob17 said:

How are your sweat pores holding up this morning?

There is always the blessed return of beauty in new life. Enjoy breathing in that life and hearing the sounds of the warm season …. At least …. until the first flake lands on your cheek and melts into a tear above your smile. As always …..

 

.

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Just now, Brian5671 said:

yeah HRRR has it falling apart-we will see

Either way it will be nothing like it was modeled to be several days ago....as you said yesterday.  Most of the area was modeled at .75 to 1.25" and now we will struggle to reach .25" in most places.  Does not look overly wet over the coming 1-2 weeks.   Dry periods outdoing the wet periods for better than 18 months now.

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11 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said:

Radar looks good but models suggest we only see about .10"

 

11 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said:

 

Line is shrinking in width and coverage as it moves east and is picking up speed should be east of most of the region by evening - this has been the trend lately and the drought conditions are getting worse - lawns are very dry and not growing as fast as usual this time of Spring

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17 minutes ago, MANDA said:

Either way it will be nothing like it was modeled to be several days ago....as you said yesterday.  Most of the area was modeled at .75 to 1.25" and now we will struggle to reach .25" in most places.  Does not look overly wet over the coming 1-2 weeks.   Dry periods outdoing the wet periods for better than 18 months now.

This time of year when we can still get large synoptic scale events you want to rack up the rain totals. Soon we’ll be relying on daytime convection and 95% of the time that favors inland. 

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2 hours ago, Stormlover74 said:

Radar looks good but models suggest we only see about .10"

Yeah I got only .06" from that round of light rain. Not enough to give the vegetable garden a decent watering. I see the models are showing another round of rain during the overnight hours, so hopefully we'll get more then. 

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7 minutes ago, winterwx21 said:

Yeah I got only .06" from that round of light rain. Not enough to give the vegetable garden a decent watering. I see the models are showing another round of rain during the overnight hours, so hopefully we'll get more then. 

Saturday's also looking wetter unfortunately at least on the euro

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3 hours ago, NEG NAO said:

 

Line is shrinking in width and coverage as it moves east and is picking up speed should be east of most of the region by evening - this has been the trend lately and the drought conditions are getting worse - lawns are very dry and not growing as fast as usual this time of Spring

(Unfortunately) Mine is growing just fine and the weeds are doing even better! A little bit every few days is all it takes. Too bad it doesn't do squat for the drought...

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