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80 Degrees to Ripping Snow: March 12th


SnowenOutThere
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4 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said:

EURO quietly had it's best run of the storm this morning. We'll see - even a slushy .1" at DCA would be a win. Good luck!

1773352800-u6nEXilmDm8.png

It must be ripping snow for at least a few hours on the Euro for the snow depth change to be over an inch in the metros

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Highs for the day at IAD and DCA are 76-77. Any accumulating snow would be impressive. That fact that it is very likely going to snow for a few hours, even without accumulation, is also impressive. In my view, that’s the proper benchmark 

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8 hours ago, PhiEaglesfan712 said:

Sometimes, you have to use common sense and not rely on the models. How many times have you seen snow immediately following 80 degree days? I can't think of any.

If I happen to be wrong, I will personally come back here and apologize to you all. However, I know it's not going to happen, so I'm done posting on this thread because it's really unnecessary. Good night to everyone. 

Live by the models, die by the models.  At least that used to be the war cry 40 years ago.  However, I have seen major snow storms with temps near 70 the day or so before (just can't remember specifics)...

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8 hours ago, PhiEaglesfan712 said:

Sometimes, you have to use common sense and not rely on the models. How many times have you seen snow immediately following 80 degree days? I can't think of any.

If I happen to be wrong, I will personally come back here and apologize to you all. However, I know it's not going to happen, so I'm done posting on this thread because it's really unnecessary. Good night to everyone. 

Snowing here in Augusta County 2 hours earlier than modeled NW of Staunton.  39 degrees.

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9 hours ago, PhiEaglesfan712 said:

I'm not trolling. I'm being realistic. It doesn't normally snow in DC or Virginia in mid-March, much less following 80-degree days. The sun angle is just too strong.

You need something really special, like the Storm of the Century in 1993, for it to snow at this time of year. We don't have that right now.

Thanks, but we don’t need some Philly interloper coming into our forum before almost every event to troll us about whatever.   We can see, read models and understand our climo without the need for some shit ass poster 100+ miles from here telling us about our own sub forum’s weather.  

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1 minute ago, paulythegun said:

IAD sounding, 12z. warm later above a very shallow cold layer at 900mb or so. Subtract a few degrees across the board and it's a sleet sounding

12zsounding.thumb.png.5b3e0626da420048f63e163b889ad2fa.pngupports some sleet mixing in

Will the sleet help cool the pavement faster?

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13 minutes ago, paulythegun said:

Today, the atmosphere is dumping a cooler full of ice onto the hot pavement

I actually felt the blacktop stress in front of my house. It was still warm to the touch. We might get a steamy road look. I agree. Seeing flakes today will be as weird as that late Oct snow burst we had like 15 years ago. 

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