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"Don’t do it" 2026 Blizzard obs, updates and pictures.


Ginx snewx
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1 minute ago, HIPPYVALLEY said:

What is your total there so far? 

Maybe five inches .... terrible snow growth almost all night except one late night burst which out down half of what we have

I wish I could be more optimistic like Wiz and Ineedsnow but considering yet another missed opportunity ....it just blows. That thing is beautiful but its way offshore. We have to hope for some good banding just to get to the low end or just below the low end of what's forecast 

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Best I can tell is 12” new in the area I cleared at 12:30am. That gives 19.8” total so far.

Multiple measurements of 18” NEW depth in the big field. 24.5” total depth including the old pack.

Power went out as I was typing this up on the computer.


.

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Meso Discussion from a few hours ago:

   Mesoscale Discussion 0117
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0413 AM CST Mon Feb 23 2026

   Areas affected...parts of the Northeast and southern New England

   Concerning...Blizzard 

   Valid 231013Z - 231515Z

   SUMMARY...Very heavy snowfall rates of 2-3 inches per hour and
   widespread blizzard conditions should persist across Long Island and
   southern New England through 10 AM EST.

   DISCUSSION...Classic bomb cyclone/nor'easter off the Northeast coast
   will slow its deepening over the next few hours as it tracks
   northeastward off the southern New England coast through midday. As
   this occurs, multiple bands of very heavy snow from NJ to southeast
   MA should consolidate into one primary band across Long Island to
   eastern MA through mid-morning. Extremely enlarged low-level
   hodographs are indicative of the impressive warm conveyor north of
   the cyclone. In addition, very high KDP values detected within and
   somewhat below the dendritic growth zone amid base reflectivity
   values around 35 dBZ all point to highly prolific snowfall rates of
   2-3 in/hr. From eastern Long Island through eastern MA, this appears
   likely to persist for several hours. Measured severe wind gusts
   should persist in this same region, supporting widespread blizzard
   conditions. 

   The aforementioned slowing of cyclogenesis and northeastward track
   will eventually yield a more progressive tapering of very heavy
   snowfall rates from the southwest towards late morning.

   ..Grams.. 02/23/2026

mcd0117.png.34f6a6ce87f5a8ece02b73d11fbb660d.png

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2 minutes ago, wilton_wx said:

Still concerned. I think the subsidence is getting worse

I am in it with still moderate snow. Are you still getting snow in it? The HRRR has the western band over us in a bit although a little weaker.

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4 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

I’m not sure where my snow is blowing in from but it’s moderate to heavy now 

We have like 60 knots rolling in at 850-900 from the northeast so your drift at that point away from radar beam with those velocities is prob like 15+ miles.

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5 minutes ago, wxsniss said:

Meso Discussion from a few hours ago:

   Mesoscale Discussion 0117
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0413 AM CST Mon Feb 23 2026

   Areas affected...parts of the Northeast and southern New England

   Concerning...Blizzard 

   Valid 231013Z - 231515Z

   SUMMARY...Very heavy snowfall rates of 2-3 inches per hour and
   widespread blizzard conditions should persist across Long Island and
   southern New England through 10 AM EST.

   DISCUSSION...Classic bomb cyclone/nor'easter off the Northeast coast
   will slow its deepening over the next few hours as it tracks
   northeastward off the southern New England coast through midday. As
   this occurs, multiple bands of very heavy snow from NJ to southeast
   MA should consolidate into one primary band across Long Island to
   eastern MA through mid-morning. Extremely enlarged low-level
   hodographs are indicative of the impressive warm conveyor north of
   the cyclone. In addition, very high KDP values detected within and
   somewhat below the dendritic growth zone amid base reflectivity
   values around 35 dBZ all point to highly prolific snowfall rates of
   2-3 in/hr. From eastern Long Island through eastern MA, this appears
   likely to persist for several hours. Measured severe wind gusts
   should persist in this same region, supporting widespread blizzard
   conditions. 

   The aforementioned slowing of cyclogenesis and northeastward track
   will eventually yield a more progressive tapering of very heavy
   snowfall rates from the southwest towards late morning.

   ..Grams.. 02/23/2026

y

Ten am lol...two hours and it hasn't started yet

Probably just a stat padder. Hopefully we get a little more after this one and we will at least make average for the year.

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3 minutes ago, wxsniss said:

Meso Discussion from a few hours ago:

   Mesoscale Discussion 0117
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0413 AM CST Mon Feb 23 2026

   Areas affected...parts of the Northeast and southern New England

   Concerning...Blizzard 

   Valid 231013Z - 231515Z

   SUMMARY...Very heavy snowfall rates of 2-3 inches per hour and
   widespread blizzard conditions should persist across Long Island and
   southern New England through 10 AM EST.

   DISCUSSION...Classic bomb cyclone/nor'easter off the Northeast coast
   will slow its deepening over the next few hours as it tracks
   northeastward off the southern New England coast through midday. As
   this occurs, multiple bands of very heavy snow from NJ to southeast
   MA should consolidate into one primary band across Long Island to
   eastern MA through mid-morning. Extremely enlarged low-level
   hodographs are indicative of the impressive warm conveyor north of
   the cyclone. In addition, very high KDP values detected within and
   somewhat below the dendritic growth zone amid base reflectivity
   values around 35 dBZ all point to highly prolific snowfall rates of
   2-3 in/hr. From eastern Long Island through eastern MA, this appears
   likely to persist for several hours. Measured severe wind gusts
   should persist in this same region, supporting widespread blizzard
   conditions. 

   The aforementioned slowing of cyclogenesis and northeastward track
   will eventually yield a more progressive tapering of very heavy
   snowfall rates from the southwest towards late morning.

   ..Grams.. 02/23/2026

mcd0117.png.34f6a6ce87f5a8ece02b73d11fbb660d.png

Notice I am in this zone but without an active blizzard warning 

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Mesoscale snow band starting to pivot as it becomes oriented
more NE-SW across RI and SE MA. Impressive mid level
frontogenesis producing 2-3 inches/hr snowfall rates. Expect
these snowfall rates to continue within this band across RI and
SE MA through the morning before rates start diminishing this
afternoon. Given snowfall amounts of 10-17 inches in this area
as of 12z, expecting total storm snowfall of 20-30 inches
across RI and SE MA, and woudn`t be surprised to see a few
reports exceeding 30 inches here.

my call looking good. 20-30” over this area.

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3 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

We have like 60 knots rolling in at 850-900 from the northeast so your drift at that point away from radar beam with those velocities is prob like 15+ miles.

Not as prolific as it sounds like it is for Kev but we're probably doing a little better than we otherwise would due to that. 

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2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

That’s insane . Makes sense . I’ve seen that in some of these big storms over the years . Fascinating 

There’s some “green” bands making it around MetHerb. You can’t be getting anything like they are further east, but that’s probably your trajectory right now…from the NNE

IMG_5531.png

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