Feb 22nd/23rd "There's no way..." Obs Thread

[EB89]

Full transition happening quickly

[87storms]

2 minutes ago, EastCoast NPZ said:

Just the absolute worst timing possible.  If it was night we'd have been alright.

I still prefer daytime snow. It’s just more fun.

[87storms]

Nam is a monster at thermals, no question about it.

[JakkelWx]

gusting 25-30 now

[Herb@MAWS]

Slightly better, more wet flakes mixing in with rain at the moment.
 

Temp fell 0.1° past 1/2 hour after slightly rising earlier. 36.4°

[mappy]

All snow now. Starting to dust the grass

[Eskimo Joe]

Montgomery to Baltimore deathband setting up.

[nesussxwx1]

39/35. Moderate to heavy rain. Gusting to 30-35 MPH.

Cape May/ACY corridor.

[rjvanals]

Just now, Eskimo Joe said:

Montgomery to Baltimore deathband setting up.

It’s still just rain unfortunately 

[Fozz]

8 minutes ago, Fozz said:

I told my parents last night it might snow earlier than the forecasts are saying and they might not see much rain, and then they sent me a video a few minutes ago showing me the snow getting started.

I also told them to expect 6-10” even while they were thinking 2-6” - and now LWX has them at 5-10” with more to the east.

Now I know it’s still mixing and going back and forth in many spots, but I imagine those at higher elevations will be at an advantage before the evening.

Also temps in the area seem to be 33-34 with banding setting up. If the column can cool and if there’s nothing to bring in more warmth then things will be looking very good.

I can see today potentially resembling an elevation storm from early December 2009 that I remember.

[baltosquid]

Seeing the lighter returns just to Baltimore’s immediate south doesn’t inspire confidence; some wunder stations are starting to drop now but a break might undo that 
 

Not hard to see how we bust really low here. Hoping for a death band somewhere in there…

[weatherCCB]

37/35

rain

0.15”

[Jebman]

NWS. This is a very polite respectful request. I know all I am, is an overexcited snow weenie. No chops. Just way too much emotion. It's wrecked my life. But all I ask, is for a Winter Storm Warning for southeastern Prince William County, and maybe all the other counties around it. Please. This is an extraordinary storm. You know it. I know it. Let's just do it. They ARE going to get 5 inches of snow with this.

 

[dailylurker]

I made it up to Gambrills Park. It's full on winter up here. My truck is reading 34 at about 1200'. There's about 2" otg and snowing lightly. The roads are also covered up here. I'm headed up even higher. I'll report back.

[ge0]

35.2

back to snow

[mitchnick]

1 minute ago, baltosquid said:

Seeing the lighter returns just to Baltimore’s immediate south doesn’t inspire confidence; some wunder stations are starting to drop now but a break might undo that 
 

Not hard to see how we bust really low here. Hoping for a death band somewhere in there…

Really rate dependent at this point outside of higher elevations. That should change by noon-1, hopefully sooner.

[bncho]

  35/34, but i'm in a dry slot

[WVsnowlover]

Disappointing to see the IVT pulling east on most guidance now. We were really relying on that feature out here in the Winchester area. Starting to get the feeling we'll be lucky to see a couple inches of slush on the grass at this point. 

[snowfan]

3 minutes ago, baltosquid said:

Seeing the lighter returns just to Baltimore’s immediate south doesn’t inspire confidence; some wunder stations are starting to drop now but a break might undo that 
 

Not hard to see how we bust really low here. Hoping for a death band somewhere in there…

You’re still many hours from anything accumulating. Nothing has changed.

[clskinsfan]

Coming down pretty good out here now. Took a nice Jebwalk in it. But unfortunately it is just too warm to stick at this point. 

[Scuddz]

Mixing flakes now in Columbia. Watching the gold medal game at reckless Shepherd.

[Climate175]

28 minutes ago, WxUSAF said:

First mangled flakes in Columbia 

I missed them lol. Still raining in Columbia area. 37F. 

[clskinsfan]

The Norlum position is not set yet. I think 3-6 is probably a decent call for our area. 

 

4 minutes ago, WVsnowlover said:

Disappointing to see the IVT pulling east on most guidance now. We were really relying on that feature out here in the Winchester area. Starting to get the feeling we'll be lucky to see a couple inches of slush on the grass at this point. 

[ifindppl]

Flakes intermittently mixing in - temp down to 36.9 - Olney

[aldie 22]

Man this is heavy at the moment 33.6

[SomeguyfromTakomaPark]

Im happy to have some subsisdence now when it wasn’t gonna accumulate anyway.  Hopefully death band later 

[midatlanticweather]

rain and snow mixed. 35.5 degrees. Lowest we had was 34.9 degrees a few hours ago.

 

[aldie 22]

Just now, clskinsfan said:

The Norlum position is not set yet. I think 3-6 is probably a decent call for our area. 

 

We are close enough to it to keep paying attention 

[Climate175]

Just now, ifindppl said:

Flakes intermittently mixing in - temp down to 36.9 - Olney

It’s only a matter of time until it goes full snow…

[Terpeast]

Preface by noting two different forecast time stamps. We should know where the norlun is setting up by 22z-00z (5-7 pm est) based on radar sigs from the CAMs:

 

My guess is we will know by 5-6 pm