February 22-23 Storm Thread/OBS

[Hurricane Agnes]

Just now, MGorse said:

Well, I have been called into work tomorrow. Good times to be had! 

Cot time. 

[ChescoWx]

Just now, MGorse said:

Well, I have been called into work tomorrow. Good times to be had! 

Sorry to hear that Mike - but we do thank you for your service!!

[CoolHandMike]

3 minutes ago, MGorse said:

Well, I have been called into work tomorrow. Good times to be had! 

Super thanks to you and all the other mets who contribute here!

[coastal front]

Ukie is tuckeddddd

[Newman]

Ukie looks good, coming into alignment here. This would honestly be my "base" snow map as far as spatial coverage of heaviest snows

[PhiEaglesfan712]

A cross between 12/26/2010 and 1/28-29/2022 seems the most likely solution.

[Redryan5]

26 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said:

That guy on FB you linked isnt hurricane Schwartz BTW thats noreaster nick 

Hurricane Schwartz was live on Nick's feed. They are off now (I may have accidentally linked to the page instead of the video).

[wasnow215]

7 minutes ago, Redryan5 said:

Hurricane Schwartz was live on Nick's feed. They are off now (I may have accidentally linked to the page instead of the video).

Checked in on my old stomping grounds up here last night and I saw a hurricane Schwartz didn't buy into high totals. Is that still true?

[wkd]

Probably time to start concentrating on the mesos. The globals aren't going to add much at this point.

[Ralph Wiggum]

Didnt see the hrrr posted. Still snowing after this fwiw 

[Duca892]

At this point I’m confident with 4-8in in the Lehigh Valley and 8-14in+ from Bucks to Philly

[Redryan5]

15 minutes ago, wasnow215 said:

Checked in on my old stomping grounds up here last night and I saw a hurricane Schwartz didn't buy into high totals. Is that still true?

On the livestream, he said 8-12" for I-95, higher toward the coast. Seems like he's onboard that this could be a big one but called it a very tricky storm to predict.

[PhiEaglesfan712]

13 minutes ago, Duca892 said:

At this point I’m confident with 4-8in in the Lehigh Valley and 8-14in+ from Bucks to Philly

Sounds about right, but of course this isn't the popular opinion on this board. It seems like everyone wants to hear 10+ throughout the region.

[The Iceman]

2 minutes ago, PhiEaglesfan712 said:

Sounds about right, but of course this isn't the popular opinion on this board.

Where has anyone posted that 8-14” for Philly/burbs being unreasonable? Don’t be salty because you got called out on your debbing

[Lady Di]

Getting breaks of sun currently @ 46F. 
Crazy considering what’s coming. 

[Hurricane Agnes]

1 minute ago, Lady Di said:

Getting breaks of sun currently @ 46F. 
Crazy considering what’s coming. 

46 here in NW Philly too and am staring at a car cover (and the instructions) that I just pulled out of a box, that I was gonna try to put on my SUV. 

[JTA66]

Other than the kid who most of us have on ignore, who’s Debbing? Most of us have been around long enough to know, as Paul likes to say, we don’t shovel digital snow.

[ChescoWx]

NBM is a bit snowy in spots....

[ChescoWx]

[PhiEaglesfan712]

4 minutes ago, JTA66 said:

Other than the kid who most of us have on ignore, who’s Debbing? Most of us have been around long enough to know, as Paul likes to say, we don’t shovel digital snow.

He's trying to say I was debbing, but there is no proof of it.

I said this looks a coastal storm, with those on the coast getting the most accumulation. I don't know why @The Iceman is disagreeing.

[LVblizzard]

34 minutes ago, Duca892 said:

At this point I’m confident with 4-8in in the Lehigh Valley and 8-14in+ from Bucks to Philly

I’d up it to 6-12” for the LV. I think we get into the heavy banding for at least a few hours tomorrow night. I don’t buy the models that completely miss us with it.

[JTA66]

5 minutes ago, PhiEaglesfan712 said:

He's trying to say I was debbing, but there is no proof of it.

I said this looks a coastal storm, with those on the coast getting the most accumulation. I don't know why @The Iceman is disagreeing.

If I misunderstood your post, apologies. I read it to mean most of us are whining because not everyone is forecasting a foot or more of snow in our backyards.

But I think most of us appreciate the delicate set up and realize there is bust potential.

 

[The Iceman]

7 minutes ago, PhiEaglesfan712 said:

He's trying to say I was debbing, but there is no proof of it.

I said this looks a coastal storm, with those on the coast getting the most accumulation. I don't know why @The Iceman is disagreeing.

Don’t play dumb, you posted a snow map earlier for a storm that is synoptically different but it was a coastal scraper so you insisted it makes it an analog. I asked for the 500 mb comparison and you went silent so that right there tells me you know what you’re doing, you know just enough to be dangerous, but it doesn’t change the fact you are always on the side of less snow no matter what. 

[Heisy]

Euro joined the party.

[PhiEaglesfan712]

Just now, JTA66 said:

If I misunderstood your post, apologies. I read it to mean most of us are whining because not everyone is forecasting a foot or more of snow in our backyards.

But I think most of us appreciate the delicate set up and realize there is bust potential.

 

Can definitely understand. Until there is actually snow on the ground, there is always bust potential. (March 2001 should have taught us that.)

I just learned over time to be grateful for all types of weather as they come to you because you just never know when that's going to come again.

Sorry if I do come across the wrong way. I kind of feel like an outsider, if anything, as I'm not a meteorologist or anything. I hold a full time job, and do this just for a hobby/interest. I don't get anything extra if my forecast verifies.

[MJO812]

Euro further west 

[Prairie Dog]

2 hours ago, Ralph Wiggum said:

Does anyone know if hurricane Schwartz still thinks this is basically a non-event west of i95 or did he finally cave?

He just put out a new video.  He surrendered.     Now states it will tilt negative and will be a prolonged event  Yesterday he stated quick mover and no negative tilt.  Surprised he was so far off yesterday  He just about doubled his totals for our area

[rcostell]

5 minutes ago, Heisy said:

Euro joined the party.

Tucked in?  Your thoughts on I-295 corridor conditions in SJ now that the majors have congealed? (at least for the moment)  Winds/a foot plus? Obliged for youyr opinion. 

[LVblizzard]

Just about a full cave on the Euro. 8-12” region-wide with some areas of 16” near the shore.

[ChescoWx]