Baum

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About Baum

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  • Four Letter Airport Code For Weather Obs (Such as KDCA)
    KDPA
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  • Location:
    Glen Ellyn,ILL

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  1. Generalizations such as this serve no purpose and our devoid of fact. I pretty much stay out of the fray here, but this type of blanket idiocy needs to be called out. I have seen numerous posts here, many without specific examples and facts to back up assertions thrown out willy nilly. When you state "everyone is for themselves" you discredit teachers,grocery store clerks, medical personel, and many others including common everyday citizens who have sacrificed. Are there idiots? Of course, it's call humanity. But to post this is a disservice and actually provides ammo for those that choose to sidestep the necessary precautions.
  2. good call. sneaky win from your statement last week Monday or so we could hit 50's this week.
  3. B. It was a good winter but another complete December shut out is tough to take. Let's face it, it was pretty much a D- until January 25th or so. A hoar frost event during a 12 day period of 36 and cloudy from Jan.2-15th isn't going to win a lot of kudos.
  4. I have not encountered one individual not wearing a mask in a grocery store/ enclosed setting since at least last April 1. Dupage county 20 miles west of downtown Chicago. Never really saw the controversy. People, by and large follow common sense and do what's in the best interest of their fellow citizen. Just my personal encounters for right or wrong. Should add I'm in a grocery store 5 days a week, and was not even aware there was a national mandate I was consumed with tracking snow events.
  5. dream scenario. 30 days of intense winter gives way to mild/warm spring with only a few days of north east flow.
  6. yes. unfortunately, the path to real consistent spring weather is never easy and it will be a grind. I'd be good with 50's and 60's by mid march and nary another snowflake or below freezing day. Pipe dream, of course.
  7. shorts and t-shirt weather finally.
  8. big wet flakes. not bad.
  9. for those watching: WE'RE KEEPING AN EYE ON FOR PRECIPITATION CHANCES THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. A SHIELD OF PRECIPITATION COVERING MOST OF THE STATE OF IOWA WILL CONTINUE TO SHIFT OFF TO THE EAST-NORTHEAST ALONG WITH THE SURFACE LOW THAT'S CURRENTLY OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN PART OF THE STATE. SNOWFALL RATES HAVE BEEN PRETTY IMPRESSIVE OUT OVER WESTERN IOWA AND EASTERN NEBRASKA WITH AROUND 6-7+" OF SNOW REPORTED IN THE OMAHA AREA OVER A SIX HOUR PERIOD! WE WON'T QUITE REALIZE THOSE SNOW TOTALS OR SNOWFALL RATES, BUT THE LAPSE RATES OVER THIS REGION (GENERALLY 7-8 C/KM THROUGH AND ABOVE THE DGZ) WILL SHIFT INTO NORTHERN ILLINOIS LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING, AND WILL LEAD TO THE POTENTIAL FOR AT LEAST BRIEFLY HEAVY SNOW RATES NORTH OF I-80, ESPECIALLY ACROSS FAR NORTH-CENTRAL AND NORTHWEST ILLINOIS. THE MAIN ITEM OF CONCERN FOR THE GOING FORECAST IS A MID-LEVEL DRY SLOT PIERCING THROUGH NORTHERN MISSOURI INTO SOUTHEASTERN IOWA. MODELS HAVEN'T HAD THE BEST HANDLE ON ITS PLACEMENT AND EVOLUTION WITH MOST GUIDANCE SUGGESTING THAT THERE SHOULD HAVE BEEN PRECIPITATION OVER NORTHERN MISSOURI BY NOW WHICH IS NOT QUITE THE CASE. IF THE DRY SLOT CAN HOLD ITS OWN OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS, THEN THAT COULD CUT INTO OUR SNOW TOTALS A BIT, BUT OBSERVATIONAL TRENDS ARE SUGGESTING THAT THE DRY SLOT IS CONTRACTING AND WON'T HAVE A MAJOR IMPACT ON SNOW TOTALS BY THE TIME IT WOULD CROSS INTO OUR AREA.
  10. nice of you t nice of you to throw him some wet table scraps.
  11. yup, a 1"-3" wet snow on a warm front is grounds for disappointment. how fast things change.
  12. well, it was a good 4 day run for the chicago pics to own top billing.
  13. been consistent for 3-4 days out. Hope for 3" with some convective type periods. Ending as drizzle. It was a good run.
  14. Sounds exciting per LOT PM AFD: HOWEVER, ONCE THE WEDGE OF DRY MID-LEVEL AIR HAS BEEN ERODED VIA MOISTURE TRANSPORT AND DYNAMIC COOLING. THIS WILL COINCIDE WITH THE ARRIVAL OF BETTER FORCING FOR ASCENT AS THE SHORTWAVE BEGINS TO MOVE OVERHEAD AND THE THETA-E RIDGE AXIS SHIFTS ACROSS THE AREA. THE PRESENCE OF 7-8 C/KM LAPSE RATES ATOP THE DENDRITIC GROWTH ZONE LENDS ITSELF TO SUGGEST THAT THERE WILL AT LEAST BE POTENTIAL FOR HEAVIER BURSTS OF SNOW WITHIN THE BROADER SHIELD OF LIGHTER, BUT STILL STEADILY-FALLING SNOW THAT IS EXPECTED TO OCCUR THROUGH THE LATE EVENING HOURS. OVERALL THINKING REGARDING SNOW TOTALS WITH THIS SYSTEM HASN'T CHANGED MUCH FROM THE PREVIOUS FORECAST WITH GENERALLY 2-3" EXPECTED NORTH OF I-80 (WITH POTENTIAL FOR LOCALIZED TOTALS UP TO AROUND 4"), 1-3" ALONG AND JUST SOUTH OF I-80, AND AROUND 1" WELL SOUTH OF I-80. WARMER LOW-LEVEL TEMPERATURES NEAR FREEZING AND A NOT QUITE AS DEEP DGZ SUGGEST THAT 7:1 TO 10:1 SNOW RATIOS WILL BE FAVORED SOUTH OF I- 80 AND 9:1 TO 12:1 RATIOS WILL BE FAVORED NORTH OF I-80 AT SOME POINT DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON AND EVENING WHICH WILL EAT INTO OVERALL SNOW TOTALS THERE) AND IF ANY SUPPORT FOR F-GEN BANDING MATERIALIZES, WHICH COULD LOCALLY ENHANCE SNOWFALL OVER A NARROW REGION BY UP TO AN INCH OR TWO.