bigtenfan

Looking at the 18z GFS snowfall map for the entire northern half of the country I can't ever remember seeing a snowier map this late in the season.

I think that even if the air temp gets above freezing the ground is so cold from the past few days that anything that falls will freeze pretty quickly.

My Guess she is relying on the 12K Nam unless she has early access to the UK or Euro

Excellent write up.

Thank you so much for a very educational( for me anyway) answer.

Hopefully the modeled look is transient like this current 'epic December pattern' looks like it will be. So we have transient/progressive on our side anyway. Is it true that in La Nina years once the pattern flips to unfavorable it is slow to flip back if at all. 1989-1990 comes to mind.

How reliable are the SREF from this far out?

Actually the JMA had its 15 minutes of glory back in Feb 2006 when it was the first to sniff out the HECS that month that set what was at that time the record snowfall for NYC. Just goes to prove that a broken clock is right twice a day.

Actually with our seats right under the over hang of the press box in the last row of sec WG and the wind blowing in the right direction our seats remained relatively dry considering how hard it was raining. It could have been a lot worse. Did you see the rain at the Ohio State game in Columbus?

Thank you so much. My seats are in WG . Last row. I actually spend the game standing with my back leaning on the press box.

Thank you so much. Not as bad as I feared.

Changing the subject for a moment: I am planning on coming to PSU this week end for the Nebraska game. How bad is the rain supposed to be? Thanks in advance

SOLD!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

That is actually not a bad forecast at all. I would sign up for that in a heart beat. What is their track record?

There was one night I believe that it was Wednesday night of last week going between Portland and Bar harbor where the winds had gotten to 60 knots where only 25-35 knots were predicted. To say that the ship was rocking and rolling is a huge understatement. This was a smaller ship about 1200 passengers compared to the 6000 passenger floating cities . The next day the captain said that he was taken by surprise and had personally spent the entire night on the bridge. Other than that one night it was surprisingly calm considering our hurricane surroundings.