Winter Storm Threat Feb 22-24th

[WeatherGeek2025]

[weatherpruf]

4 minutes ago, CPcantmeasuresnow said:

But not 35 inches like the GFS is showing.

oh way less maybe a foot or so. long island did better. but not that much.

[MJO812]

Gefs caving

[CentralNJSnowman]

5 minutes ago, CPcantmeasuresnow said:

But not 35 inches like the GFS is showing.

Not sure that it being late February is the main impediment to getting a 35” storm on the Delmarva.  

[weatherpruf]

22 minutes ago, WeatherGeek2025 said:

 

Look i get it im annoyingly optimistic but ive let things go on certain storms that didnt hit either, im very optimistic about this one and i think we essentially tuck and blizzard everybody across the board. Also i did say it was a huge hit cause it is its better than 12z and 6z its trending in the right direction! Give me a little credit here. piece of advice to you, never give up!

 

never give up? dude, the weather is an uncontrollable variable. it's gonna do what its gonna do. if you ever were at sea, you'd find that out in a hurry....but i don't mind your posts. they are kind of funny imo. 

[WeatherGeek2025]

Canadian 18z

 

84 hours

 

 

[weatherpruf]

2 minutes ago, CentralNJSnowman said:

Not sure that it being late February is the main impediment to getting a 35” storm on the Delmarva.  

no, but climate suggests its really unlikely. it would be rare, heck that much snow is rare any time.

[MJO812]

[NEG NAO]

1 minute ago, CentralNJSnowman said:

Not sure that it being late February is the main impediment to getting a 35” storm on the Delmarva.  

I would be concerned that the frozen amount is overdone and in reality some of that is a mix or rain - to get 100 % snow down there any time of the year is rare

[SnoSki14]

2 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

Best one yet but we need consistency and big moves tonight and tomorrow otherwise it's either a grazer or a whiff. 

[Nibor]

8 minutes ago, weatherpruf said:

no, but climate suggests its really unlikely. it would be rare, heck that much snow is rare any time.

It’s not worth over analyzing but I’d say it’s more likely than Pensacola recording 9 inches of snow last year. 

[nycsnow]

Big shift west 

[North and West]

Status remains flaccid.


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[LovintheWhiteFluff]

52 minutes ago, snowman19 said:

No it’s not. For the love of God, stop this

With all due respect, this forum also includes south of NYC, all the way down into Ocean County, NJ. 

[Jt17]

Status remains flaccid.


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If a 970 low just outside the benchmark doesn't make you feel something, you may need to see a doctor.


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[BxEngine]

Anyone else wanna complain about tonys shitty posts cluttering the thread while cluttering the thread with complaints? Move on. Please. 

[nycsnow]

18z euro rolling, would love to see big trend west 

[wthrmn654]

46 minutes ago, WeatherGeek2025 said:

You're posting the same map on every sub forum in here... why? Are you trying to get the entire east coast to hate you? 

 

But it does look pretty if only it could verify

[Brian5671]

3 minutes ago, nycsnow said:

18z euro rolling, would love to see big trend west 

let's see it show a storm-12z was an open wave at best

[MJO812]

Euro AI further east

[Nibor]

Out to hr 69 the euro has a less amplified ridge but more spacing between the Saturday energy and our storm. Heights rising a bit more because of it. We'll see where it ends up.

[Nibor]

Euro's gonna be west but still a miss. Saw some positives at 500 mb though.

[MJO812]

Just now, Nibor said:

Euro's gonna be west but still a miss. Saw some positives at 500 mb though.

Yep big shift west 

[Roger Smith]

Have to say, seeing a near-perfect evolution running one degree south of optimal track at 96h is not really something to complain about by any means. 

[nycsnow]

12 minutes ago, Nibor said:

Euro's gonna be west but still a miss. Saw some positives at 500 mb though.

[Wxbear25]

Again, we can work with that look at 500mb

the big verbatim hits are fun and give that dopamine rush, but at this lead time all we need is for the pieces to be in play

[MJO812]

Eps and euro op are quite similiar. Both made a big west shift.

[Jt17]

Weathergeek - how do we feel about euro AI your favorite looking terrible still, while every other model improved? Wondering how you are handling this emotionally.


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[RU848789]

25 minutes ago, Nibor said:

Euro's gonna be west but still a miss. Saw some positives at 500 mb though.

Bad call.  Major improvement vs. 12Z, both in surface low being over 100 miles NW and actually getting 1-3" along 95 and 3-4" towards the NJ coast, vs nada at 12Z.  Looks similar to 6Z which people were gushing over.  

 

[EasternLI]

Yeah, euro had a much better evolution than it's been showing previously. Keep getting those little adjustments at 00z...