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January 24-26: Miracle or Mirage OBS Thread!


Jebman
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Oh yeah, NAM definitely whiffed the QPF. 
Maybe I don't remember correctly, but didn't GFS have a lot higher totals?
And yeah, Chicago didn't get more snow than most of us, but still actually got snow. 

GFS had me at 11.4 last night 00z. I ended up over 11”. NAM had me at 7.5. NAM had DC at like 3-4”

It busted pretty badly on totals. It got thermals correct but completely missed the initial thump.
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3 minutes ago, cbmclean said:

What exactly did Mr. U say?

His quote was taken out of context. He said at a conference earlier this week that, "I'd rather be in Chicago", meaning he was worried the primary low was going to cut further west and persist longer than the guidance was initially forecasting. Ultimately, he was right.

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46 minutes ago, nj2va said:

I’ve lived here for about 18 years and I don’t remember a storm quite like this - between the snow, heavy sleet, and now freezing rain with temps in the teens/20s.  Very neat.

Very 1994ish 

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1 minute ago, diatae said:

Glacier level unlocked. Everything is iced over now.

Cold smoke/powder... check

Ridiculous rates/amounts of sleet/ice/snow beads... check

Blue snow/sleet... check

ZR/Glacier... check

Super Weather Friends Bonus Level Unlocked.

100,000,000 Weenie Points Awarded.

:weenie:

 

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22 minutes ago, IUsedToHateCold said:

So what did we learn from this?

  • NAM thermals are still king.
  • GFS is a JV model that should just be tossed if it's on an island.
  • Sleet isn't so bad if 4 inches of it falls. 
  • Nina still screws up the northern stream
  • Uccenelli knows what he's talking about 

Who is Uccenelli?

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Holy shit BWI reported 11.1”! 
 
I got my ass kicked by BWI!!:arrowhead:

It looks like a foot outside in annapolis I know it probably is not but we have drifted pricing 2 feet of sleet as many do. Now everything is iced over and it continues


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4 minutes ago, WxUSAF said:

Holy shit BWI reported 11.1”! 
 

I got my ass kicked by BWI!!:arrowhead:

I can believe it. So much sleet. ~7 inches of snow up this way before changeover and then the constant heavy sleet… 4 inches of it doesn’t seem unreasonable depending on their banding. Especially with proper measurements, unlike my deck lol. There is so much sleet on the ground it is nuts.

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1 hour ago, Wxtrix said:

 

i wanted sleet. and i missed out on all of the heavy stuff. oh well.

Yeah. It seemed like moderate to MAYBE bordering heavy for a brief time today with precip, but it mainly remained moderate for an extended time. Still a solid storm for out here. So pretty

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Unconventional double digit storm but I’ll sure as shit take it. Especially since we’ll be able to enjoy it all week. Models have lows falling to near zero 3-4 days this week. Going to be a great week leading up to our storm next weekend (hello 18z euro)

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13 minutes ago, Yeoman said:

posts in an obs thread but doesn't bother adding location

I have put it before and others aren't  stating. 

Magnolia Delaware south of dover by 15 minutes. 

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