Go Kart Mozart Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 Does anyone have AI maps that show p-type? The freebies that I can see don't, but I do see our thickness never exceeding 546. One would think the AIs would excel at something like this...lots of history upon which to refer... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 when is the last time we seen something like this 10 1 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 Just now, ineedsnow said: when is the last time we seen something like this Morch 93 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 Just now, ineedsnow said: when is the last time we seen something like this earlier this decade Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SeanInWayland Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 1 hour ago, JKEisMan said: Please tell me that's a 10:1 from the QPF and I'll be a happy man 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 10 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: EPS At least up here that seems to have bumped it up a couple more tenths Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 15 minutes ago, dryslot said: No it’s all good out fishing and it’s pretty nice out actually with the wood stove ripping in the shack lol Is this where they filmed Grumpy Old Men? 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bristolri_wx Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 24 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: That's why I am not a fan of the snow maps, all they do is just take forecast QPF and multiply that by a snow ratio. There is no factoring in of lift, snow growth, RH of the DGZ and RH with respect to ice crystals in the DGZ. What separates the Kuchera from 10:1 (besides the obvious being 10:1 maps are constant) is it factors in the average temperature of the llvls to compute a snow ratio. The Kuchera method I also believe was designed to be a tool for snowfall depth. There are a few moduels on MetEd which go into some depth on these maps. When it comes to verifying Kuchera versus what occurred, the results were/are not particularly great. This page seems to discuss how NWS offices/mets are to create operational snowfall forecasts, and how not to, based on model output:https://vlab.noaa.gov/web/forecast-guide/nwp-snow-accumulation-products 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bristolri_wx Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 13 minutes ago, SeanInWayland said: Please tell me that's a 10:1 from the QPF and I'll be a happy man Quote "Uses WPC forecast snow-to-liquid ratio (SLR) when available, or 10:1 SLR otherwise." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 21 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Can a brother get a NNE map? Tia Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 To quote a friend…”I’m just sitting back smiling” 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 41 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: This gives me intense wood...jives with EURO....visions of 1/7/24. No Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: No I mean for my area, not region-wide. Dry your tears. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 The town finally picked up the Christmas trees yesterday. I had sent them an email 2 days ago warning them that the trees could become a hidden hazard under the snow, and that all the snow and ice would only make the trees heavier for pickup. I guess they got the message. Usually they pick up the trees the week following New Year's Day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 NAM Kutchie 2' here....aggressive. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tavwtby Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 what's Boston's 24-hour snow record? and any chance it gets broken? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: NAM Kutchie 2' here....aggressive. Pretty reasonable imo. You 20”+ congrats. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 BOX also throws out possibility of t-snow. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 6 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I mean for my area, not region-wide. Dry your tears. Not enough tissue to dry tears from that one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ROOSTA Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 Found this surfing... URL: DESI 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 BTV has been pretty steady for a while now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: Not enough tissue to dry tears from that one. Everyone will do great...wasn't implying that at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 4 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: BOX also throws out possibility of t-snow. I'm just sprawled out nude and drooling....just completely and utterly vulnerable to mother nature. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 Forgot about the GFS Here's 12z GFS bufkit for BDL. Even a bit more intense than the NAM. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I'm just sprawled out nude and drooling....just completely and utterly vulnerable to mother nature. Will there be a basketball team creates 9 months later? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Layman Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 29 minutes ago, moneypitmike said: Can a brother get a NNE map? Tia 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 heh... just thinkn' the history of this season and the annulled whining and bitching about low snow this and that relative to this and that, when considering all this cold and on and on with it. Can you imagine this working out? the irony being, if somehow the 30/01/02 system were to then punch through obscurity and actually strike... we go from ^ to a snow removal problem at a regional scope and scale. there's also a vague non-zero potential emerging for the 6/7/8, too. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 Wow 18z NAM AI with sleet to dryslot 3 1 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarverWX Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 New Box map Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 24 Share Posted January 24 1 hour ago, dryslot said: No it’s all good out fishing and it’s pretty nice out actually with the wood stove ripping in the shack lol where is that Jeff? How thick is the ice? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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