“Cory’s in LA! Let’s MECS!” Jan. 24-26 Disco

[Go Kart Mozart]

Does anyone have AI maps that show p-type?  The freebies that I can see don't, but I do see our thickness never exceeding 546.

One would think the AIs would excel at something like this...lots of history upon which to refer...

[ineedsnow]

when is the last time we seen something like this

 

[Damage In Tolland]

Just now, ineedsnow said:

when is the last time we seen something like this

 

Morch 93

[weatherwiz]

Just now, ineedsnow said:

when is the last time we seen something like this

 

earlier this decade 

[SeanInWayland]

1 hour ago, JKEisMan said:

Please tell me that's a 10:1 from the QPF and I'll be a happy man

[mahk_webstah]

10 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

EPS 

At least up here that seems to have bumped it up a couple more tenths

[SouthCoastMA]

15 minutes ago, dryslot said:

No it’s all good out fishing and it’s pretty nice out actually with the wood stove ripping in the shack lol

Is this where they filmed Grumpy Old Men?

[bristolri_wx]

24 minutes ago, weatherwiz said:

That's why I am not a fan of the snow maps, all they do is just take forecast QPF and multiply that by a snow ratio. There is no factoring in of lift, snow growth, RH of the DGZ and RH with respect to ice crystals in the DGZ. What separates the Kuchera from 10:1 (besides the obvious being 10:1 maps are constant) is it factors in the average temperature of the llvls to compute a snow ratio. 

The Kuchera method I also believe was designed to be a tool for snowfall depth. There are a few moduels on MetEd which go into some depth on these maps. When it comes to verifying Kuchera versus what occurred, the results were/are not particularly great. 

This page seems to discuss how NWS offices/mets are to create operational snowfall forecasts, and how not to, based on model output:

https://vlab.noaa.gov/web/forecast-guide/nwp-snow-accumulation-products

[bristolri_wx]

13 minutes ago, SeanInWayland said:

Please tell me that's a 10:1 from the QPF and I'll be a happy man

Quote

"Uses WPC forecast snow-to-liquid ratio (SLR) when available, or 10:1 SLR otherwise."

 

[moneypitmike]

21 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

 

Can a brother get a NNE map?  Tia

[weathafella]

To quote a friend…”I’m just sitting back smiling”

[CoastalWx]

41 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

This gives me intense wood...jives with EURO....visions of 1/7/24.

No

[40/70 Benchmark]

3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

No

I mean for my area, not region-wide. Dry your tears.

[78Blizzard]

The town finally picked up the Christmas trees yesterday.  I had sent them an email 2 days ago warning them that the trees could become a hidden hazard under the snow, and that all the snow and ice would only make the trees heavier for pickup.  I guess they got the message.  Usually they pick up the trees the week following New Year's Day.

[40/70 Benchmark]

NAM Kutchie 2' here....aggressive.

[tavwtby]

what's Boston's 24-hour snow record? and any chance it gets broken?

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

NAM Kutchie 2' here....aggressive.

Pretty reasonable imo. You 20”+ congrats.

[Baroclinic Zone]

BOX also throws out possibility of t-snow.

[CoastalWx]

6 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

I mean for my area, not region-wide. Dry your tears.

Not enough tissue to dry tears from that one.

[ROOSTA]

Found this surfing...
URL: DESI

[mreaves]

BTV has been pretty steady for a while now. 

[40/70 Benchmark]

1 minute ago, CoastalWx said:

Not enough tissue to dry tears from that one.

Everyone will do great...wasn't implying that at all.

[40/70 Benchmark]

4 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said:

BOX also throws out possibility of t-snow.

I'm just sprawled out nude and drooling....just completely and utterly vulnerable to mother nature.

[weatherwiz]

Forgot about the GFS 

Here's 12z GFS bufkit for BDL. Even a bit more intense than the NAM.

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

I'm just sprawled out nude and drooling....just completely and utterly vulnerable to mother nature.

Will there be a basketball team creates 9 months later?

[Layman]

29 minutes ago, moneypitmike said:

Can a brother get a NNE map?  Tia

[Typhoon Tip]

heh... just thinkn'       

the history of this season and the annulled whining and bitching about low snow this and that relative to this and that, when considering all this cold and on and on with it.   

Can you imagine this working out?   the irony being, if somehow the 30/01/02 system were to then punch through obscurity and actually strike... we go from ^ to a snow removal problem at a regional scope and scale.  

there's also a vague non-zero potential emerging for the 6/7/8, too.  

[dendrite]

Wow

18z NAM AI with sleet to dryslot

[CarverWX]

New Box map

[moneypitmike]

1 hour ago, dryslot said:

No it’s all good out fishing and it’s pretty nice out actually with the wood stove ripping in the shack lol

 

where is that Jeff?  How thick is the ice?