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Rise of the Machines: January 18-19 Winter Storm Obs Thread


WxWatcher007
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9 hours ago, CoastalWx said:

Wow what a scene. Might be near 6”

So you got your 6" and that breaks the 6" drought for Weymouth.  Happy dayZZZZZZZZ are here again!?  LOL. 

I don't want to hear it from you anymore. :P  This winter is turning out pretty good now, esp, since we just filled the "snow hole" area in parts of RI and ern MA and given recent winters.  And it will be *preserved* well for the next week being so cold except Thu, but some melting will actually be good b/c it will refreeze *hard* into a glacier block.

Have lemons, make lemonade!

But wishful thinking?  CoastalWx already I bet: "The pseudo-Miller A this weekend will miss SNE and may give Norfolk VA its all-time record snowstorm.  Why can we get that here???!!!"  :weenie::weenie::weenie:

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6 hours ago, ORH_wxman said:

Eyeballing 6” here but will measure in a bit. What a scene. Coming down pretty good in this IVT stuff. 
 

image.gif.39f8367d411a9362f1c982503ea50f33.gif

So the rear squalls verified well.  HRRR did a great job.  Was it bursty like snow squalls?

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Just now, vortex95 said:

So the rear squalls verified well.  HRRR did a great job.  Was it bursty like snow squalls?

Yes it was. You’d go moderate to heavy for a few minutes and back to light and then rinse and repeat a few times. 

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6 hours ago, CoastalWx said:

Man did I need this. This is violently beautiful. Will measure in a bit, but I’d say 5-6”

That's a new modifier concerning snowfall -- "violently" beautiful???  Now everyone knows why I call CoastalWx the super UBER snow weenie!  He makes up phrases to describe his ecstasy!

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3 hours ago, CoastalWx said:

I admit this exceeded my expectations. Did not think the temp would drop that quickly and it came down good.

Perhaps the sfc low deepened a bit more than expected or the more solid NNE gradient occurred earlier as the storm pulled away.  Given the borderline BL temps and no high pressure to the N, small changes to things can make a big difference locally for sensible wx like snowfall.  Non-standard setups can do odd things, and the unexpected, esp. b/c we don't have many or any past events to reference.  And take note how wishy-washy both the global and meso models were leading up to this event, so that suggests a non-standard setup/pattern that the models struggle w/.

Just re-enforces how weird this snow season has been.  But what *should* matter to CoastalWx is the end results.  But noooo, he probably pines still for the Bliz of '05 all over again! :D

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Just now, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

AI models were definitely a little to generous on amount and extent of qpf, but they absolutely smoked the regular OPs in the 2-5 day range. 
 

garbage mid range performance from the traditional models 

Only mid range OP model that did well was the Canadian. It pretty consistently was getting advisory type snowfalls across most of SNE/CNE. 

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18 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Yes it was. You’d go moderate to heavy for a few minutes and back to light and then rinse and repeat a few times. 

Also super fluffy and sitting up

Kind of felt like cheating to add to the totals with the denser stuff we'd received the previous 24 hours, but the ruler said what it said.  And we know the mountains of NNE don't apologize for or qualify their ratios.

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22 minutes ago, radarman said:

Also super fluffy and sitting up

Kind of felt like cheating to add to the totals with the denser stuff we'd received the previous 24 hours, but the ruler said what it said.  And we know the mountains of NNE don't apologize for or qualify their ratios.

Yep. A lot of times that IVT stuff is very fluffy on the back end of a storm. You cool the lower-midlevels enough so that that even the lower level lift below 800mb is in the DGZ.

That was showing up all over the soundings yesterday and the night before. 

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48 minutes ago, vortex95 said:

Perhaps the sfc low deepened a bit more than expected or the more solid NNE gradient occurred earlier as the storm pulled away.  Given the borderline BL temps and no high pressure to the N, small changes to things can make a big difference locally for sensible wx like snowfall.  Non-standard setups can do odd things, and the unexpected, esp. b/c we don't have many or any past events to reference.  And take note how wishy-washy both the global and meso models were leading up to this event, so that suggests a non-standard setup/pattern that the models struggle w/.

Just re-enforces how weird this snow season has been.  But what *should* matter to CoastalWx is the end results.  But noooo, he probably pines still for the Bliz of '05 all over again! :D

I noticed the temp dropped steadily after 4p or so when the better echoes moved in. Once winds went NE and 925 started to drop that’s when it occurred. Definitely good lift in the DGZ as the flakes in the evening were great.

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