January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

34 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Day 6? It’s coming in Thursday morning 

And she comes until saturday?

[Go Kart Mozart]

ICON with a helluva storm...over Binghamton.

[ineedsnow]

if only this were snow 

[SouthCoastMA]

What's up with this. I don't like how it's forcing the storm out

[ineedsnow]

after posting I looked out and my car has slush on it.. must of started as a brief period of snow?

[Baroclinic Zone]

I’d argue the 18z Euro looked better at 5h than the 12z run.

[brooklynwx99]

Just now, Baroclinic Zone said:

I’d argue the 18z Euro looked better at 5h than the 12z run.

yeah, stronger and more neg tilted 

[brooklynwx99]

it really unreal how this isn’t a MECS at first glance. that vort is insane 

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

6 minutes ago, brooklynwx99 said:

it really unreal how this isn’t a MECS at first glance. that vort is insane 

Feel like we’ve been dumbfounded by how looks don’t produce a lot over the last 5 years. Feels like we’re headed there again 

[Baroclinic Zone]

It pretty damn near close. I feel where gonna see some big solutions popping up in the next 24-36hrs.

[brooklynwx99]

i mean, tick it more amped and you curl the PVA back west. it’s close

[Baroclinic Zone]

15 minutes ago, SouthCoastMA said:

What's up with this. I don't like how it's forcing the storm out

That is definitely going to have some play in all this. What I liked out of the 18z Euro run was that feature was gaining less longitude allowing our potential storm more room to phase sooner.

[dendrite]

30 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

if only this were snow 

The yellows and oranges are all brightbanding. Maybe some paws made it down to the sfc. 

[Torch Tiger]

APATT

[moneypitmike]

4 hours ago, DavisStraight said:

42 here, 95% of Maine is under a WWA, I live in the 5%.

I'm in the WWA and sitting at 33.6, down from 47.

[Snowcrazed71]

22 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

Feel like we’ve been dumbfounded by how looks don’t produce a lot over the last 5 years. Feels like we’re headed there again 

Yeah, you better get the disappointment out now so you're not disappointed later.

[bristolri_wx]

32 minutes ago, brooklynwx99 said:

it really unreal how this isn’t a MECS at first glance. that vort is insane 

 

That's quite a mickey mouse pattern depicted on the models...

[moneypitmike]

Just don't let whatever happens stall south......that would just suck.

[ORH_wxman]

18 minutes ago, dendrite said:

The yellows and oranges are all brightbanding. Maybe some paws made it down to the sfc. 

Yeah bark is worse than bite here. 

[Torch Tiger]

that 18z gfs op was wintry vibes.  it's been a solid winter tbh lol

[eduggs]

1 hour ago, SouthCoastMA said:

What's up with this. I don't like how it's forcing the storm out

The ULL in interior Quebec is more of an impediment to trof amplification than the shortwave near North Dakota IMO.

 

[Ginx snewx]

Euro still wants to open that 516 up too quickly. Each run though keeps it closed later and later. 

[Torch Tiger]

18z Euro lol.  I can't recall that type of evolution, though I'm not super studied on the specific historic analogs etc.

[wx2fish]

Quite a few catpaws and some sleet. Little slush on the pavement. 

Took the dog behind the house today, about 90% snow covered still and found a tick. Things would survive a nuclear winter.

[Great Snow 1717]

A mix of rain ,sleet, and snow in Rainthuen...

[kdxken]

7 minutes ago, Great Snow 1717 said:

A mix of rain ,sleet, and snow in Rainthuen...

That's next to Raindover isn't it? South of Peltham.

[40/70 Benchmark]

1 hour ago, brooklynwx99 said:

it really unreal how this isn’t a MECS at first glance. that vort is insane 

Nothing surprises me after the past 8 years.

[40/70 Benchmark]

2 hours ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

Right. Still think people need to treat this with extreme caution. Likely will be not much 

Lot more drinking this Kool aid than I thought would. 

[40/70 Benchmark]

7 hours ago, Ginx snewx said:

Ray stole them he was so pissed off.

I don't want the keys to a bus headed for a cliff.

[Great Snow 1717]

17 minutes ago, kdxken said:

That's next to Raindover isn't it? South of Peltham.

An A+ for you on your knowledge of the Rainthuen area....play your cards right and I may be able to secure you a seat in the lead car in the 2026 Rainthuen Christmas Parade...