December Medium/Long Range Discussion

[Interstate]

7 minutes ago, SnowenOutThere said:

18z Icon was somehow worse than 12z

It looks like a foot kicking the snow away or getting ready to stomp on us.

[TSSN+]

7 minutes ago, SnowenOutThere said:

18z Icon was somehow worse than 12z

That’s it, it’s over… the icon has spoken 

[notvirga!]

45 minutes ago, stormy said:

There has been some talk about a torch leading up to Christmas.

The White Christmas fans would have loved Christmas 1969 in Augusta County.

I recorded 12 inches of snow with a high of 24 and low of 14. 

Lets do it....................................

I believe that 1969 was Xmas snow storm in DC as well. 

[pazzo83]

24 minutes ago, TSSN+ said:

That’s it, it’s over… the icon has spoken 

"was it over when the germans bombed pearl harbor?!?!"

[SomeguyfromTakomaPark]

Need a Randy pbp 

[WxUSAF]

Happy hour smashes a bottle over Maryland’s head

[SnowenOutThere]

GFS is further west and a bit south

[Maestrobjwa]

3 minutes ago, SomeguyfromTakomaPark said:

Need a Randy pbp 

No need...no happy hour with this one, unfortunately

[Chris78]

Just now, WxUSAF said:

Happy hour smashes a bottle over Maryland’s head

When's the warm up? Lol

[NorthArlington101]

If the GFS is right and it’s a 30mi strip or so that’s gonna get the snow, we won’t know for a few days. Wouldn’t get hung up on where it is. Just nice to have something in the area. 

[bncho]

WeatherBELL just doesn't seem to want to work today. pivotal map down below

[stormtracker]

1 minute ago, NorthArlington101 said:

If the GFS is right and it’s a 30mi strip or so that’s gonna get the snow, we won’t know for a few days. Wouldn’t get hung up on where it is. Just nice to have something in the area. 

Yup.  We’re in windshield wiper mode now. 

[aldie 22]

2 minutes ago, bncho said:

WeatherBELL just doesn't seem to want to work today. pivotal map down below

Man ain't that some shit

[SnowenOutThere]

2 minutes ago, bncho said:

WeatherBELL just doesn't seem to want to work today. pivotal map down below

Another classic Charlottesville W 

[baltosquid]

It all comes down to the TPV piece. You can see early on in NW Canada on the 18z GFS that it is tracking increasingly to the east. That only gets magnified over the course of the run. By game time it’s already scooting out through New England/Ontario/Quebec. It was more around the lakes last run. We can win if that is, as has been mentioned, more SW. I’d guess preferably it sticks around WI/MI, digging south. But there’s no shot while it’s so far east as in this run. Not for most of us.

[Solution Man]

6 minutes ago, SnowenOutThere said:

Another classic Charlottesville W 

[H2O]

Fringed 

[H2O]

For being too far north. Dang

[Weather Will]

17 minutes ago, bncho said:

WeatherBELL just doesn't seem to want to work today. pivotal map down below

Agreed, WB needs to get its act together....several times over the last week it keeps freezing up....guess not missing anything this GFS run...

[87storms]

We will accept our downsloping snow shower in Frederick and we will like it.

[SomeguyfromTakomaPark]

14 minutes ago, Weather Will said:

Agreed, WB needs to get its act together....several times over the last week it keeps freezing up....guess not missing anything this GFS run...

Weatherbell needs to get its act together but @Weather Willis on point!!

[Interstate]

Just like normal... it will be in Richmond before we know it

[CAPE]

6 minutes ago, Interstate said:

Just like normal... it will be in Richmond before we know it

HH GEFS kinds likes it lol

[CAPE]

^Actually not bad for a good portion of the region.

[ravensrule]

4 minutes ago, CAPE said:

^Actually not bad for a good portion of the region.

Not the most important part of the region though. 

[BristowWx]

Not hating the Christmas miracle storm either.  

[stormy]

1 hour ago, notvirga! said:

I believe that 1969 was Xmas snow storm in DC as well. 

AI says that D.C. received 5 - 7 inches of snow from that storm.

https://search.yahoo.com/search?p=1969+christmas+snow+in+D.C.&fr=yfp-t&fr2=p%3Afp%2Cm%3Asb&fp=1

[Weather Will]

3 minutes ago, BristowWx said:

Not hating the Christmas miracle storm either.  

WB GFS Fantasy range Christmas Eve snow....well at least no torch this run!!!! I know this is supposed to be in the digital snow thread but I'm tired of the endless dusting snow maps.

[BristowWx]

1 minute ago, Weather Will said:

WB GFS Fantasy range Christmas Eve snow....well at least no torch this run!!!! I know this is supposed to be in the digital snow thread but I'm tired of the endless dusting snow maps.

If it’s Christmas it’s ok.  Cold chasing precip is a winning formula around here.  

[SnowenOutThere]

18z Euro is worse for most as its drier