The return of the elusive Nor'easter. Drought buster or bust?

[JenkinsJinkies]

6 minutes ago, peribonca said:

Watch it trend back to a nice hit in the next few runs

It's too late for a comeback.

[wxdude64]

1 minute ago, JenkinsJinkies said:

It's too late for a comeback.

Never give up, never surrender!

[midatlanticweather]

23 minutes ago, wxdude64 said:

Never give up, never surrender!

About time for the Animal House quoting

[WEATHER53]

Rain mass is west of Rocky  Mount and still moving wnw and that’s a historical reference to me for rain mass making it thoroughly over DC 

[87storms]

The weather has been a miracle in Frederick so far today.  Got a couple of hoops sessions in and some errands done in between.  Much more sun than anticipated, though clouds seem to have increased a bit.  Looks like this will be a pretty lame event out here with basically a NS kicker incoming...though the beaches will have fun.

[mappy]

1 hour ago, 87storms said:

The weather has been a miracle in Frederick so far today.  Got a couple of hoops sessions in and some errands done in between.  Much more sun than anticipated, though clouds seem to have increased a bit.  Looks like this will be a pretty lame event out here with basically a NS kicker incoming...though the beaches will have fun.

Agreed, sun came out quite a bit in Hampstead. Never rained. 

[Ji]

3 hours ago, WEATHER53 said:

Rain mass is west of Ricky  Mount and still moving wnw and that’s a historical reference to me for rain mass making it thoroughly over DC 

if the models dont have it..its not happening. Start hugging models

[Ji]

11 hours ago, snowfan said:

6Z HRRR and NAM still drop a general .5 to 1”+ for much of the area east of 15. 

hows that going for you

[Ji]

7 hours ago, WxUSAF said:

#TeamNAMRideOrDie

#asusualdie

[JenkinsJinkies]

Post mortem when?

[MN Transplant]

Sprinkles

[CAPE]

1 hour ago, Ji said:

hows that going for you

 

1 hour ago, Ji said:

#asusualdie

There is no digital snow potential with this one lol. Why are you here trolling?

I have to admit I did like your reply to Howard's post.

[Jebman]

Nor'easter is on the way, bringing badly needed rains to the sub and this thread is LIT !

[Weather Will]

Note to Self: ICON and EURO combo is something to bank on for coastal tracks.

[nj2va]

Light rain

[WxUSAF]

.01”! Forecast verified!

[ravensrule]

It’s moist and wet here. .02”.

[MillvilleWx]

Increasing consensus that this will be mainly a light to moderate rain chance on the western shore with a heavier footprint on the eastern shore, but still likely to miss out on the worst. The trend the past few nights when doing the QPF was to bring down totals across the Central Mid Atlantic as the evolution would be a detriment to a widespread rainfall as the 5H pattern leads to a disconnect over our area. There will be some rain and some breezy winds, but the heavier precip and stronger wind field forecast from a few days ago has vanished with consensus now in the short term suite. I would imagine it'll still be kind of raw overall, but it won't be a total wash out at this juncture. The only way it could is if the occlusion of the secondary low to the northeast leads to a pinwheel back overhead and gets part of the forum before diminishing and fading out to see on the end of the SLP lifecycle. 

Tough break, but it'll at least moisten things up a little bit without getting fully skunked. 

[clskinsfan]

Left OC around 11 this morning to head back to Winchester for the winter. Was pretty dreary in OC over the past couple of days. Got back to the Shenandoah Valley with sunshine and temps in the low 70's was a beautiful afternoon. Nice to be back home for the winter. Now if we can just keep the Nor'easters rolling for the next few months we will all be happy. 

[ravensrule]

1 hour ago, MillvilleWx said:

Increasing consensus that this will be mainly a light to moderate rain chance on the western shore with a heavier footprint on the eastern shore, but still likely to miss out on the worst. The trend the past few nights when doing the QPF was to bring down totals across the Central Mid Atlantic as the evolution would be a detriment to a widespread rainfall as the 5H pattern leads to a disconnect over our area. There will be some rain and some breezy winds, but the heavier precip and stronger wind field forecast from a few days ago has vanished with consensus now in the short term suite. I would imagine it'll still be kind of raw overall, but it won't be a total wash out at this juncture. The only way it could is if the occlusion of the secondary low to the northeast leads to a pinwheel back overhead and gets part of the forum before diminishing and fading out to see on the end of the SLP lifecycle. 

Tough break, but it'll at least moisten things up a little bit without getting fully skunked. 

Please just give us heavier rain and stronger winds between 1-4 pm tomorrow in downtown. 

[87storms]

More than sprinkles rn though it’s a pretty isolated batch.  Feels and looks like Fall out there.

[RevWarReenactor]

All this over a busted rainstorm- Its as if we don't get enough of these rug pulls with snow in the winter so we wanted to experience it with rain too. 

[WxUSAF]

0.05” overnight. 0.06” storm total lol

[WVclimo]

Drizzle and 58°.  Winds picking up now. N 13 G 18.

[dailylurker]

I'm in an Airbnb at 1000' elevation on the western side of South Mountain. It's been pretty rainy here since last evening around 11 when the rain ran us inside and put out our fire. Rainy dreary morning here. It looks pretty dry everywhere else. 

[BlizzardNole]

1 hour ago, RevWarReenactor said:

All this over a busted rainstorm- Its as if we don't get enough of these rug pulls with snow in the winter so we wanted to experience it with rain too. 

Pretty much!  But hey we get to practice our base state of clouds, drizzle and wind that we'll be treated to for five months starting soon

[PrinceFrederickWx]

Two day total of 0.13" so far...

[Weather Will]

NWS should decommission the NAMs early.  They are an embarrassment.

[mappy]

lol what happened? Thought it was going to be a rainy Sunday? 

[dailylurker]

It's clearing up out here alone the Blue Ridge. It might be a nice day out this way. Good job NAM lol