CAPE Posted May 9 Share Posted May 9 Rain amounts look paltry for much of the area through Saturday evening on the 6z GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted May 9 Share Posted May 9 1 hour ago, CAPE said: Rain amounts look paltry for much of the area through Saturday evening on the 6z GFS. Yea this forecast has dried up considerably. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted May 9 Share Posted May 9 1 hour ago, Eskimo Joe said: Yea this forecast has dried up considerably. Per usual 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
coolio Posted May 9 Share Posted May 9 Rain clouds moving at a good clip according to radar, but there is no wind to speak of at ground level. It's like the Bermuda triangle out there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jrlg1181 Posted May 9 Share Posted May 9 1 hour ago, EastCoast NPZ said: Per usual We did pick up 1.02 over the weekend into Monday... Only .13 fell Monday when flash flooding was occurring to our north in Harrisonburg and over toward Scottsville... Everything greened up nicely this week... However as expected , with the last 3 months of way below precip -the drought monitor shows abnormally dry conditions rolling up the valley south of Harrisonburg now... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormy Posted May 9 Share Posted May 9 On 5/8/2024 at 4:12 PM, MN Transplant said: 87/88 at DCA. Thanks but sorry. My post was not about DCA, it was about Augusta County where with my high was 78 compared to a predicted high of 89. The NWS and others are often hyping temps. 5-7 degrees above model expectations. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted May 9 Share Posted May 9 Some sporadic showers moving through, but otherwise this week’s forecast can generally be chalked up as a significant bust.I want a 85/68 temp/dp with afternoon storms. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
katabatic Posted May 9 Share Posted May 9 Managed to eek out 0.38" today - anything as things are greening up here in the Boonies helps. Should get some more later. Chilly at 56 currently. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted May 9 Share Posted May 9 Nice little right moving low topped cell approaching Garrett County. Morgantown, WV gusted to M31 mph per PBZ. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted May 10 Share Posted May 10 Rain showers/downpours here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted May 10 Share Posted May 10 A thunderstorm with 4 inch hail, tornadoes and 80 mph gusts is bearing down on Buda TX. It has 75 dbz reflectivity. Just wanted to say, It has been really nice knowing you all. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted May 10 Share Posted May 10 Picked up another 0.00" today. And bright sunshine by this evening. 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted May 10 Share Posted May 10 Nam shows activity moving through overnight. Maybe we can pick up a few tenths. Cells are popping to the west. Water vapor shows the boundary pretty well. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted May 10 Share Posted May 10 Anyone debating an aurora chase tomorrow night? Tempted to go NW to the mountains if the forecast holds. edit: just saw the cloud cover forecast. Hopefully it last through Saturday night lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted May 10 Share Posted May 10 Looks like some electricity with the cells near Hagerstown. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdude64 Posted May 10 Share Posted May 10 5 hours ago, stormy said: Thanks but sorry. My post was not about DCA, it was about Augusta County where with my high was 78 compared to a predicted high of 89. The NWS and others are often hyping temps. 5-7 degrees above model expectations. I've noticed a trend of 'running high' last 6-8 months for my location too. 84 forecasted, 77.8 actual today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted May 10 Share Posted May 10 1 hour ago, 87storms said: Nam shows activity moving through overnight. Maybe we can pick up a few tenths. Cells are popping to the west. Water vapor shows the boundary pretty well. Getting pounded like Jenna Jameson right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdude64 Posted May 10 Share Posted May 10 Nice line of showers and thunderstorms lined up from Cumberland MD to Snowshoe to Beckley WV heading east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherShak Posted May 10 Share Posted May 10 Anyone debating an aurora chase tomorrow night? Tempted to go NW to the mountains if the forecast holds. edit: just saw the cloud cover forecast. Hopefully it last through Saturday night lol Another one just popped! X4 this time!. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted May 10 Share Posted May 10 Picked up 0.35" with a loud storm around 2am. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted May 10 Share Posted May 10 Feels like this spring we’re either wedged in with cool cloudy easterly flow or completely torched. Not much in between. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dailylurker Posted May 10 Share Posted May 10 7 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: Feels like this spring we’re either wedged in with cool cloudy easterly flow or completely torched. Not much in between. I was just saying the same thing. It's our two base states fighting for control. 50 and cloudy for 6 months is fighting with 90 and dry for 6 months. Looks like only .03 last night. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormy Posted May 10 Share Posted May 10 7 hours ago, wxdude64 said: I've noticed a trend of 'running high' last 6-8 months for my location too. 84 forecasted, 77.8 actual today. The latest 6-10 day from the CPC predicts warmer than normal for the tri-state region from May 15 - 19. For the same period, the GFS, ECM and GEM predicts cooler than average!!!! This has been going on with NOAA for a long time.......... I must wonder why?? They always err on the side of warmer than normal, not cooler than normal.......................... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdude64 Posted May 10 Share Posted May 10 7 hours ago, wxdude64 said: Nice line of showers and thunderstorms lined up from Cumberland MD to Snowshoe to Beckley WV heading east. Well, only 0.04 here, but better than nothing lol. Breezy this morning from NW with 57.9/52.7 under PC skies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted May 10 Share Posted May 10 Another one just popped! X4 this time!.Hmmm…https://x.com/forecaster25/status/1788910484231438842?s=46&t=YRAxGyE8QLsoshMtJniktg Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paleocene Posted May 10 Share Posted May 10 Some actual light rain inside the beltway in silver spring now, after a misty morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherShak Posted May 10 Share Posted May 10 Hmmm…https://x.com/forecaster25/status/1788910484231438842?s=46&t=YRAxGyE8QLsoshMtJniktgI’m a bit of a space weather geek and I haven’t seen a forecast that low laterally in a long time. Where’s the closest break in clouds?. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted May 10 Share Posted May 10 I’m a bit of a space weather geek and I haven’t seen a forecast that low laterally in a long time. Where’s the closest break in clouds?.West and a little south seems to look best. Maybe a nowcasting call as the evening progresses. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted May 10 Share Posted May 10 More rain today than the entire week so far. A mist transitioned into a light, steady rain. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted May 10 Share Posted May 10 3 minutes ago, osfan24 said: More rain today than the entire week so far. A mist transitioned into a light, steady rain. Yeah it is miserable out. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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