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coolio

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    S. Arlington, VA

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  1. coolio

    December Discobs Thread 2018

    I had the same amount in S. Arlington: 1.08! System slightly underperformed (for me) because they were calling from 1.5 to 2.5 (most models). Temp never got close to 60 as they had also called. My high was 51.
  2. coolio

    December Discobs Thread 2018

    Rain seems to be lighter and widespread. When a yellow spot pops up, it quickly goes away. Early models had a lot of training that were on or parallel to 95. Does not seem to be doing that thus far.
  3. coolio

    December Discobs Thread 2018

    Rainfall totals have been trimmed down a little bit. Eastern shore of MD/VA looking to get more of the precip: .SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/... Powerful storm system still on track to impact the region Thursday night into Saturday bringing with it a variety of hazards. Strong low-level jet of nearly 60kt at 850 mb will transport rich air moisture into the area Thursday night with PWATs climbing over 1.5 inches which is around 400% of normal or +4 STDs. Rain will arrive after 12Z Thu and become moderate to heavy after 00Z Fri. Many GFES and EPS members show high likelihood of forced squall line moving through eastern VA and likely reaching Spotsylvania Co and southern MD and potentially reaching as far north as northeast MD around midnight Thu night. This squall line will bring intense rainfall rates and potential for winds to gust well over 40 mph and possibly as high as 60 mph depending on the strenght of the convection. Model guidance has trended somewhat quicker in punching mid-level dry slot into the area shortly after daybreak Fri potentially cutting down somewhat on rainfall totals. This is especially true for western areas where many EPS members do not show significant rainfall. Model trends also shown significantly higher totals for the eastern shore of MD/VA. There could be a brief lull in precip Fri morning before actual cold front crosses the area Fri evening. Models have also trended a little deeper with sfc and upper system Fri evening and are now showing deeper convection moving through Fri afternoon and Fri evening with some risk of charge separation and increased threat for t-storms. Cold air will also start filtering in across the west Fri night with rain showers turning into snow showers over the mtns Fri night. By Sat, trough axis and sfc low would have shifted northeast of the area with precip shutting off east of the mtns. Gust NW post- frontal winds will remain possible through Sat before conditions begin to improve Sat night. 3:08pm discussion.
  4. coolio

    December Discobs Thread 2018

    I'll wait closer to Thurs. night to check the Euro. But the NAM had the last system clocked.
  5. coolio

    December Discobs Thread 2018

    System exiting so I'm gonna say that we got 3.48" for this event. Overperformed for sure.
  6. coolio

    December Discobs Thread 2018

    3.42" and still going. Keep in mind that we average around 3" in some of our wettest months (april, may).
  7. coolio

    December Discobs Thread 2018

    Also, this event has given me 3.08" thus far.
  8. coolio

    December Discobs Thread 2018

    I don't know about the past 3 months but I heard or saw that 29 of this year's Saturdays have had rain. I would assume that we have roughly 52 Saturdays.
  9. coolio

    December Discobs Thread 2018

    NM. Couldn't figure out how to quote.
  10. coolio

    December Discobs Thread 2018

    1.90 so far in S. Arlington. Radar indicated that it was gonna clear from the South around noon to 1. So, I did some xmas shopping. Never happened. Steady to light rain all throughout. It started churning right around the DC metro. I think one of the mets said another system was gonna come around next weekend. That'll be bad for the retailers, I guess.
  11. coolio

    November Discobs Thread

    Final total was 1.54" as that last whip around exits. DCA is in the top 5 or 10 of rainiest years. You gotta think Baltimore is #1 already bc they've gotten more than us I'm sure. Edit: I see that donald sutherland has us at #4.
  12. coolio

    November Discobs Thread

    This system overperformed. I've got 1.30" in my rain gauge and still going. I checked this am and they were calling for .75. Also, before this system, DCA was at 5.69" for the month. Maybe hitting 7" for Nov. with this one. Any thoughts of rain totals falling with the winter months were illusory.
  13. coolio

    September Discobs Thread

    1.5 from yesterday and this am. 11.3" for me for the month of Sept.
  14. coolio

    September Discobs Thread

    I've fallen for that one b4. I usually check my nws forecast. This past spring summer the setup is always been: forecast sunny next 5 days. Then you get 1 maybe 2 nice days, then the it's all showers/rain (5-7 day forecast). Usually going into the weekend! My conspiracy theory is that the interns are running the models in the weekend and, when the Monday crew comes in, all forecasts are revised.
  15. coolio

    September Discobs Thread

    Last sunday/monday rain was 1.68". In before this line of storms hit
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