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I love summer but like having variety. I want some periods of heat/humidity to increase the chance of storms, but it's also nice to have some days with temps in the low 80s with low humidity. This summer has been nice since the dry period ended in late June. We've had plenty of storms but also some very nice airmasses with low humidity mixed in. 

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6 minutes ago, winterwx21 said:

I love summer but like having variety. I want some periods of heat/humidity to increase the chance of storms, but it's also nice to have some days with temps in the low 80s with low humidity. This summer has been nice since the dry period ended in late June. We've had plenty of storms but also some very nice airmasses with low humidity mixed in. 

Only complaint is the bugs are relentless 

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49 minutes ago, jm1220 said:

Was in Long Beach for the overnight storm. Lots of vivid lightning and torrential rain, not much wind. From that and some other showers about 1” yesterday. 

My peak gust was 26mph. Seems like the big thing with last night storms was the thunder and lightning. Heavy rain that moved thru fairly quickly and some gusty winds but not anything to severe.

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1 hour ago, forkyfork said:

it's nice to have someone else here who actually likes summer 

I love summer too, but I am not enjoying measuring the rain by feet instead of inches. That part has not been fun up here. A 20 minute thunderstorm is great. A 90 minute deluge that removes my mulch and new grass, not so much!

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18 minutes ago, psv88 said:

Bugs aren’t as bad out here since it’s been drier. Barely any mosquitoes. Yellow jackets are out in full force though 

My son was stung by one of those bastards when we were eating outside. This fall is going to be full on war with diners. I don't think we will win that war at this point. 

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20 minutes ago, forkyfork said:

bring it

qpf_acc-imp.us_ne.png

@Rjay@forkyforkyet another “non event” for the island. Just like this morning, which amazingly caused modest tree damage in the VOB. Weird right? Oh please stop by the house for a barbecue later. I’ll be serving crow, just as soon as I’m able to get my head out of my ass

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From OKX (Twitter (X) feed): 

Did you get woken up from the storms last night/early this am? Below is a summary of lightning data courtesy of @EarthNetworks  (in cloud & cloud to ground) every hour beginning 8 pm Sat & ending 9 am Sunday. About 25,000 strikes occurred during that time, 14,000 from 2 am to 9 am.

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4 minutes ago, weathermedic said:

From OKX (Twitter (X) feed): 

Did you get woken up from the storms last night/early this am? Below is a summary of lightning data courtesy of @EarthNetworks  (in cloud & cloud to ground) every hour beginning 8 pm Sat & ending 9 am Sunday. About 25,000 strikes occurred during that time, 14,000 from 2 am to 9 am.

Best light show in a decade. It’s so rare to get that continuous lighting on the island. Memorable 

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Tomorrow through Tuesday will see readings near or somewhat above normal before a cold front brings briefly cooler readings.

Overall, the August 14-21 period looks to be warmer than normal. Abnormal heat could persist across the southern U.S. into the fourth week of August. Afterward, the intensity of the heat could fade even as the heat expands in geographic scope.

In the Pacific Northwest, an extreme heat event is developing. Already at 3 pm PDT, Portland and Salem had reached 100°. At the height of the heat tomorrow, Portland could see its August high temperature record of 107° challenged. Salem could also challenge its August mark of 108°.

The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +3.4°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +1.1°C for the week centered around August 2. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +3.25°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +1.07°C. El Niño conditions have developed and will likely continue to strengthen through at least the summer. The probability of an East-based El Niño event has increased.

The SOI was +5.16 today.

The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was -1.272 today.

On August 12 the MJO was in Phase 1 at an amplitude of 1.226 (RMM). The August 11-adjusted amplitude was 1.215 (RMM).

Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied 51% probability that New York City will have a cooler than normal August (1991-2020 normal). August will likely finish with a mean temperature near 76.0° (0.1° below normal).

 

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