uofmiami Posted July 3, 2023 Share Posted July 3, 2023 Muttontown was 89.9 (90) & Syosset 88.0 today for the high. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted July 3, 2023 Share Posted July 3, 2023 44 minutes ago, forkyfork said: we have the most pedantic office in the country Well isn't it the SPC that actually issued the watch? Looking on their site they did not include Union, Essex or Hudson Counties in the STW which makes zero sense to me. That map looks so stupid. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted July 3, 2023 Share Posted July 3, 2023 3 minutes ago, Rtd208 said: Well isn't it the SPC that actually issued the watch? Looking on their site they did not include Union, Essex or Hudson Counties in the STW which makes zero sense to me. That map looks so stupid. I believe the SPC issues the watch box, then it's up to the local offices to determine which counties to include. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted July 3, 2023 Author Share Posted July 3, 2023 Union needs to secede to Mt holly already 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted July 3, 2023 Share Posted July 3, 2023 Just now, Stormlover74 said: Union needs to secede to Mt holly already You are not the first person to say that. All of NJ should be covered by Mt. Holly IMO. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted July 3, 2023 Author Share Posted July 3, 2023 Possible golf ball sized hail with that cell in Fairfield county Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rmine1 Posted July 3, 2023 Share Posted July 3, 2023 Confused, confused Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted July 3, 2023 Share Posted July 3, 2023 picked up 0.90" from a cell earlier today. a few more developing to the west Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
s2sailorlis Posted July 3, 2023 Share Posted July 3, 2023 1.27" from the cell over Fairfield, Easton CT. Seemed it all happened in 20 minutes... wind meter hit 23mph but it's in a somewhat protective red area and only 9' off ground.. seems like 40-50moh winds. Driveway was a river as storm drain could not handle water. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted July 3, 2023 Share Posted July 3, 2023 Up to 2.15” and currently pouring 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted July 3, 2023 Share Posted July 3, 2023 1 hour ago, Rmine1 said: Confused, confused We won’t be getting anything east of the city unless we’re lucky with a sea breeze front or dying MCS. This is just a more humid continuation of what we had last week. Vast majority of the activity will be inland. Expect swampy marine layer until we get a cold frontal passage. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ForestHillWx Posted July 4, 2023 Share Posted July 4, 2023 Seeing the backside of a pretty impressive cell to my east; I’m guessing towards Morristown. The top of it has various shades of color as the sun sets and the storm approaching from my west starts to fill in. Happy 4th! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Will - Rutgers Posted July 4, 2023 Share Posted July 4, 2023 yawn. very nice outside tho Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wannabehippie Posted July 4, 2023 Share Posted July 4, 2023 Getting a decent shower here in Astoria as of 820-830. It missed the Bronx, so the Yankee game continues. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted July 4, 2023 Share Posted July 4, 2023 41 minutes ago, jm1220 said: We won’t be getting anything east of the city unless we’re lucky with a sea breeze front or dying MCS. This is just a more humid continuation of what we had last week. Vast majority of the activity will be inland. Expect swampy marine layer until we get a cold frontal passage. Pretty much. However the water temps have gone up significantly in the last week. That generally helps with convection. Sometimes you will see cells fire once they get 150 miles or so offshore and hit the Gulf Stream. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rmine1 Posted July 4, 2023 Share Posted July 4, 2023 43 minutes ago, jm1220 said: We won’t be getting anything east of the city unless we’re lucky with a sea breeze front or dying MCS. This is just a more humid continuation of what we had last week. Vast majority of the activity will be inland. Expect swampy marine layer until we get a cold frontal passage. Oh I know. Just annoying to see “heavy rain” each day, knowing it ain’t happening Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rmine1 Posted July 4, 2023 Share Posted July 4, 2023 2 minutes ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said: Pretty much. However the water temps have gone up significantly in the last week. That generally helps with convection. Sometimes you will see cells fire once they get 150 miles or so offshore and hit the Gulf Stream. Yeah unfortunately we’re 150 miles away! Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dWave Posted July 4, 2023 Share Posted July 4, 2023 High of 91 here. Now a muggy 85/72. Occasional dark clouds in the distance but no rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ForestHillWx Posted July 4, 2023 Share Posted July 4, 2023 Flood watch posted for Morris/Hunterdon/Sussex Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted July 4, 2023 Share Posted July 4, 2023 It will be steamy and very warm tomorrow through Thursday. Temperatures could reach or exceed 90° in parts of the region through Thursday. Shower and thundershower activity will become more limited. Afterward, near to somewhat above normal readings will likely prevail through mid-month. The hottest weather so far now covers the Desert Southwest. Phoenix reached a near-record 116° today. That was its hottest reading since June 19, 2021 when the mercury also topped out at 116°. Readings will continue to reach or exceed 110° through the remainder of the week. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +2.9°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +0.9°C for the week centered around June 28. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +2.57°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +0.82°C. El Niño conditions have developed and will likely continue to strengthen through at least the summer. The SOI was +6.09 today. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was -0.493 today. On July 1 the MJO was in Phase 2 at an amplitude of 1.587 (RMM). The June 30-adjusted amplitude was 1.397 (RMM). 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted July 4, 2023 Share Posted July 4, 2023 44 minutes ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said: Pretty much. However the water temps have gone up significantly in the last week. That generally helps with convection. Sometimes you will see cells fire once they get 150 miles or so offshore and hit the Gulf Stream. We still need some kind of trigger for convection here like a front. The sea breeze front can work when we have a humid airmass and we start with a westerly flow so there’s a wind shift boundary, but those aren’t usually widespread. So we wait for a larger front or overnight luck with a dying MCS/elevated convection. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted July 4, 2023 Share Posted July 4, 2023 21 minutes ago, jm1220 said: We still need some kind of trigger for convection here like a front. The sea breeze front can work when we have a humid airmass and we start with a westerly flow so there’s a wind shift boundary, but those aren’t usually widespread. So we wait for a larger front or overnight luck with a dying MCS/elevated convection. It’s pretty spectacular how pronounced this pattern has been. The current radar shows it perfectly. Flooding issues pretty much surrounding the metro, but absolutely nothing survives. I’m not sure if this is a recent thing, or this has been going on forever and we are only just noticing (in my cases because I constantly check the radars from my phone) I think it’s a little bit of both. I remember plenty of good summer storms on the island that were the result of MCS systems that did make it all the way to the beaches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
the_other_guy Posted July 4, 2023 Share Posted July 4, 2023 The storms in CT near BDR are crazy! The view across the water is insane 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted July 4, 2023 Share Posted July 4, 2023 That gap again right across central NJ , si, .... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Picard Posted July 4, 2023 Share Posted July 4, 2023 2 hours ago, snywx said: Up to 2.15” and currently pouring I figured people up your way were doing well. Been watching radar all afternoon skip off to the north of me by ~25-30 miles and now to the south and east too. I can see the billowing cumulonimbus all around me. It's quite a sight, but not a drop here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Intensewind002 Posted July 4, 2023 Share Posted July 4, 2023 24 minutes ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said: It’s pretty spectacular how pronounced this pattern has been. The current radar shows it perfectly. Flooding issues pretty much surrounding the metro, but absolutely nothing survives. I’m not sure if this is a recent thing, or this has been going on forever and we are only just noticing (in my cases because I constantly check the radars from my phone) I think it’s a little bit of both. I remember plenty of good summer storms on the island that were the result of MCS systems that did make it all the way to the beaches. I believe summer 2019 was a good recent storm season for the island, but nearly every year surrounding that has been mediocre Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rmine1 Posted July 4, 2023 Share Posted July 4, 2023 Skunked yet again Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted July 4, 2023 Share Posted July 4, 2023 ripping rain here coming to an end, finally got a decent drink. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted July 4, 2023 Share Posted July 4, 2023 35 minutes ago, the_other_guy said: The storms in CT near BDR are crazy! The view across the water is insane Wild storm with incredible CTG lightning with that. Not much rain but the 9pm batched dumped buckets on us... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted July 4, 2023 Share Posted July 4, 2023 36 minutes ago, the_other_guy said: The storms in CT near BDR are crazy! The view across the water is insane Just saw a flash of lightning to my north from that storm, and the outflow boundary just came through. Too bad here it means dog dung for making anything happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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