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November 2022 OBS/DISC


Baroclinic Zone
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3 minutes ago, jbenedet said:

It’s really quite hilarious that +20 not continuing indefinitely represents a pattern shift. Those are odds for chimps. Get it?

Your non-weather nerd friends—whoever that may be—must really hate this aspect of your personality. For all intents and purposes this above metric of being right turned out to be meaningless for everyone, including the major resorts. Breton woods looks like the most depressing place on earth right now. Well done. Taking the world down with your clown forecasts.
 

 

 

It’s not just that +20 didn’t continue, we reversed the departures and were below normal for the better part of 2 weeks. I’m not sure how Bretton Woods not being buried by the end of November is relevant to the discussion outside of ski enthusiasts who were planning a trip for 11/28-30 when we warmed back up.
 

There were already plenty of ski resorts opening during that pattern shift posted in the ski thread so they took advantage for sure. 
 

Let’s not play the anecdotal game where any of us can write a narrative. Sticking to empirical metrics, the pattern was very different on a large scale than the beginning of the month. The numbers are what they are. 

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11 minutes ago, jbenedet said:

It’s really quite hilarious that +20 not continuing indefinitely represents a pattern shift. Those are odds for chimps. Get it?

Your non-weather nerd friends—whoever that may be—must really hate this aspect of your personality. For all intents and purposes this above metric of being right turned out to be meaningless for everyone, including the major resorts. Breton woods looks like the most depressing place on earth right now. Well done. Taking the world down with your clown forecasts.

See here’s the difference… prior to the pattern change, no ski resort could even think about making snow.  If the pattern didn’t change, ski areas would still be closed.  That is a fact.

But they are open.  Why?  Because it got cold enough to make snow.  Places made snow for a good 10-12 days after not being able to make snow the first half of the month.  That is a change.  It wasn’t meaningless, places opened for skiing and riding.  Had natural snow to boot.

Sure, it still rains but good grief a one day snapshot of Bretton Woods looking depressing is a sign the pattern didn’t change?

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3 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

It’s not just that +20 didn’t continue, we reversed the departures and were below normal for the better part of 2 weeks. I’m not sure how Bretton Woods not being buried by the end of November is relevant to the discussion outside of ski enthusiasts who were planning a trip for 11/28-30 when we warmed back up.
 

There were already plenty of ski resorts opening during that pattern shift posted in the ski thread so they took advantage for sure. 
 

Let’s not play the anecdotal game where any of us can write a narrative. Sticking to empirical metrics, the pattern was very different on a large scale than the beginning of the month. The numbers are what they are. 

Nothing changed. All-time record highs and we still aren’t skiing.

48F07AFA-8BEA-4298-B54F-03454C96E087.jpeg.cd2b23d5375878b0f14e427418d53167.jpeg
AABD6541-C979-4EB9-934A-FB2DE27C0C93.jpeg.db3eac1b078d721c89274576a9b03d3c.jpeg

0EFE6B8D-4029-42A4-81BE-B7BA59E88D14.jpeg.36d86cc35624e00e512aec169092e7c3.jpeg

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16 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

It’s not just that +20 didn’t continue, we reversed the departures and were below normal for the better part of 2 weeks. I’m not sure how Bretton Woods not being buried by the end of November is relevant to the discussion outside of ski enthusiasts who were planning a trip for 11/28-30 when we warmed back up.
 

There were already plenty of ski resorts opening during that pattern shift posted in the ski thread so they took advantage for sure. 
 

Let’s not play the anecdotal game where any of us can write a narrative. Sticking to empirical metrics, the pattern was very different on a large scale than the beginning of the month. The numbers are what they are. 

 

bill 2.jpg

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34 minutes ago, jbenedet said:

It’s really quite hilarious that +20 not continuing indefinitely represents a pattern shift. Those are odds for chimps. Get it?

Your non-weather nerd friends—whoever that may be—must really hate this aspect of your personality. For all intents and purposes this above metric of being right turned out to be meaningless for everyone, including the major resorts. Breton woods looks like the most depressing place on earth right now. Well done. Taking the world down with your clown forecasts.
 

 

 

At this point I want to see a screen shot of your degree. 

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7 minutes ago, Cold Miser said:

recent pics?

During the pattern change. I know no one wants to hear it but we had snow cover down in the valley for almost two weeks during the pattern change that never happened.

Today was freezing rain upper mountain with 80mph gusts and a very cold rain down low.

If there was no change, it would still be November 2006 with no ski areas operating right now.

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11 minutes ago, powderfreak said:

During the pattern change. I know no one wants to hear it but we had snow cover down in the valley for almost two weeks during the pattern change that never happened.

Today was freezing rain upper mountain with 80mph gusts and a very cold rain down low.

If there was no change, it would still be November 2006 with no ski areas operating right now.

Serious drugs

Screenshot_20221130-175248_Chrome.jpg

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1 hour ago, jbenedet said:

It’s really quite hilarious that +20 not continuing indefinitely represents a pattern shift. Those are odds for chimps. Get it?

Your non-weather nerd friends—whoever that may be—must really hate this aspect of your personality. For all intents and purposes this above metric of being right turned out to be meaningless for everyone, including the major resorts. Breton woods looks like the most depressing place on earth right now. Well done. Taking the world down with your clown forecasts.
 

 

 

Jesus dude, talk about moving the goalpost. Take that L, holy father.

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Severe Thunderstorm Warning
MEC001-005-017-023-031-NHC001-003-017-010100-
/O.NEW.KGYX.SV.W.0116.221201T0007Z-221201T0100Z/

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Warning
National Weather Service Gray ME
707 PM EST Wed Nov 30 2022

The National Weather Service in Gray Maine has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Warning for...
  Northern York County in southwestern Maine...
  Southern Oxford County in western Maine...
  Androscoggin County in southwestern Maine...
  Cumberland County in southwestern Maine...
  West central Sagadahoc County in south central Maine...
  Northwestern Strafford County in central New Hampshire...
  Eastern Belknap County in central New Hampshire...
  Southeastern Carroll County in northern New Hampshire...

* Until 800 PM EST.

* At 706 PM EST, a line of severe storms was located near Effingham,
  or 7 miles east of Ossipee, moving northeast at 50 mph.

  HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts.

  SOURCE...Radar indicated.

  IMPACT...Expect damage to roofs, siding, and trees.

* Locations impacted include...
  Portland, Lewiston, South Portland, Brunswick, Westbrook, Conway,
  Bridgton, Fryeburg, Mechanic Falls, Alfred, Ossipee, Naples,
  Topsham, Turner, Cumberland, Gorham, Falmouth, Buxton, Freeport and
  Gray.

This includes the following highways...
 Interstate 295 between mile markers 4 and 29.
 Interstate 95 between mile markers 45 and 88.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

Wind damage with this storm will occur before any rain or lightning.
Do not wait for the sound of thunder before taking cover. SEEK
SHELTER IMMEDIATELY inside a sturdy structure and stay away from
windows.

Torrential rainfall is occurring with this storm, and may lead to
flash flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 4347 7118 4394 7108 4411 7064 4424 7018
      4409 7001 4400 7003 4399 7005 4391 6998
      4392 6996 4392 6994 4368 7010
TIME...MOT...LOC 0006Z 240DEG 44KT 4372 7097

TORNADO...POSSIBLE
HAIL THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX HAIL SIZE...<.75 IN
WIND THREAT...RADAR INDICATED
MAX WIND GUST...60 MPH
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