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August Discussion/Obs


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1 hour ago, Damage In Tolland said:

I think it’s more Wednesday pm and night if we get anything other than a shower. NNE will get quite a bit tomorrow. This front is going to move exceedingly slow across the region . There will be haves and have nots in relative terms 

Tuesday night. The real ènd of Heat waves end with a bang.

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6 minutes ago, dendrite said:

There's some, but not much, CAA with this Tue front for SNE. Thu PM is the stronger front. We're talking 850s of 19C tomorrow versus about 16C Wed. So still warm to hot, but not record breaking.

Looks more contaminated too. Probably won't be mixing out the 850s Wed/Thurs

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5 minutes ago, dendrite said:

PWM 95 to 77 in 25 minutes.

Just a wild boundary to be honest.

Baking here in mid-80s with dews of 70F.  Meanwhile one county northwest along the Canadian border is low 60s.

Widespread low to mid 60s like 30 miles north.  This is like a winter-time low level CAA coming down the Champlain Valley.  Northern CPV colder than the 2,000ft site by Jay Peak.  Even Picnic Tables on Mansfield are hotter than the northern Lake basin.

T.thumb.jpg.290a4faba73b983f4fd9216052e474f8.jpg

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8 minutes ago, dendrite said:

PWM 95 to 77 in 25 minutes.

It's super shallow judging by these hi res vis features... There's a tiny fog front bowing along the boundary there skirting the coast but the CU field is floating over top without decay - it quite shallow, otherwise it'd likely abase those CU.   But like we said it's probably just going to extinguish some momentum.. 

It's an easy corrective guess though.  Are pressures rising up the Maine coast?  If so, it may continue to creep.  

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Actually ..I took a second look and it appears there is more scouring. 

There's two features criss-crossing though.  There's bowing punch toward the SW along the coast, which tend to be more west moving inland - that appears to be the 'front' BD.  But then there is a bowing S of a [probable] region of rain cooled pooling. There a clumb of more aggressive CU where the nexus - kind of interesting meso features. 

Anyway, we'll see how far that all gets SW.  I wouldn't be surprised if it exceeds guidance by 50 miles though... whatever the standard error for BL blindness is...

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2 minutes ago, powderfreak said:

A/C humming along while folks are wearing hoodies and pants like a county to the north.

... I'm so sick of the heat right now if we crashed to 58 I'd be dancing through the fields naked like Sound Of Music

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If the NAM is wrong about the clouds but right about the thermal plumb, it's 101 tomorrow in Metro west/Logan...

You can see it at LGA ...

 30000504928 -0996 112414 81332415

The aggregate ceiling RH's are all < 50%, with a WSW trajectory and a T1 of 33 C ... The 2-meter is likely 37 or 38 in that.  The only difference between BOS and LGA is that the RH levels are > 50% in the NAM solution, which probably atones for the T1 "ONLY" being 32C up this way.

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25 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Those showers could possibly make it here today. Trajectory seems decent 

There's more than one street of TCU ...the first of which may skirt S of you. But you can see on sat/rad that the patterns loading up with new one up stream - that may have a better chance.   Notwithstanding any rogues in between. 

These are not corrective though.  In fact, they are fast moving and perhaps adding fresh additional theta e to an underwear already sticking to the back of ballz

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Just now, Typhoon Tip said:

There's more than one street of TCU ...the first of which may skirt S of you. But you can see on sat/rad that the patterns loading up with new one up stream - that may have a better chance.   Notwithstanding any rogues in between. 

These are corrective though.  In fact, they are fast moving and perhaps adding fresh additional theta e to an underwear already sticking to the back of ballz

We love sticky drawers 

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1 minute ago, donsutherland1 said:

As of 1 PM EDT, Boston has a high temperature of 97. That breaks the daily record of 96 from 1983. It is also Boston’s 5th consecutive 95 or above reading, which is tied for second place with July 2-6, 1911.

Aug 1944 had 7 straight of 97+ Don. (although maybe that's what you mean by tied for 2nd place)

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