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June 2022


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17 hours ago, bluewave said:

This was one of the greatest temperature drops on record for JFK in late June. The chart below only uses hourly temperatures. So add another degree since the high at JFK was 94° between hours.

https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/plotting/auto/?_wait=no&q=169&network=NY_ASOS&zstation=JFK&hours=39&month=jun&dir=cool&_r=t&dpi=100&_fmt=png

BDC8FCA4-9295-40EA-9E23-E1B012CC75AD.thumb.png.819bb142eb8a511b57c9ff7535041f84.png

 

Also came close to a record low this morning!

I wonder what the shortest interval is going from a record high to a record low?
 

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The next 8 days are averaging  74degs.(66/81) or about Normal.

Month to date is  70.5[+0.1].       Should be  71.4[near Normal] by the 28th.

Reached 78 here yesterday.

Today: 77-81, wind nw., m. clear, some clouds late, 62 tomorrow AM.

60*(50%RH) here at 7am.       63* at 8am.       66* at 9am.        70* at Noon.       71* at 1pm.       75* at 3pm.        78* at 4pm.       80* at 4:30pm.      Reached 82* around 6:30pm.

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It looks like the 95° last week at Newark has a good chance of being the warmest high of the month. This is a continuation of past years when Newark reached 98°or warmer in May. All the June maximum temperatures in those years were lower.The May high temperature was actually the warmest of the entire season. But that was in a cooler climate era. So it will be interesting to see what the maximum temperature is this year.

 

Monthly Highest Max Temperature for NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP, NJ
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
Year
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Season
1996 99 92 91 92 92 99
2022 98 95 M M M 98
1992 98 90 97 95 90 98
1987 98 96 97 97 87 98
1962 98 94 96 93 87 98
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Morning thoughts…

Today will be mostly sunny and somewhat warmer. High temperatures will reach the upper 70s and lower 80s in most of the region. Likely high temperatures around the region include:

New York City (Central Park): 78°

Newark: 83°

Philadelphia: 81°

Tomorrow will see a return of cooler air.

Normals:

New York City: 30-Year: 81.1°; 15-Year: 81.0°

Newark: 30-Year: 83.4°; 15-Year: 83.4°

Philadelphia: 30-Year: 84.7°; 15-Year: 84.9°

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Down t 48 last night here and some streaming fast moving clouds NNW to SSE this morning.  Warmer / unsettled starting Tuesday pm (6/21) through the week and into this weekend perhaps Sat (6/25).  Euro has the cut off backing into the area this weekend while the gfs a bit less impactful.  Either way the furnace reached the onshore wall and is halted Tue - Thu, although should we get any clearing 850 temps are in the >16C for a period Wed (6/22) and Thu (6/23) but it looks cloudy.  Weekend a bit unknown pending on cut off and any continued unsettledness.  

Longer range into the close of the month and July - we'll see how it evolves and if the tendencies for ridge being centered too west for any longer blasts of heat or eastward expansion of an overall warm to hot pattern commences and if the W.A.R can hook at some point in July as in prior recent years.

 

http://synoptic.envsci.rutgers.edu/site/imgs/vis_nj_anim.gif

 

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32 minutes ago, Wxoutlooksblog said:

Cool/wet pattern continues with no signs of heat in the northeast on any of the overnight operational model runs.

WX/PT

I guess it depends on what you define as heat as things will definitely get muggy and warm. 

However heat waves and 90+ temps look uncommon for now. 

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19 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said:

I guess it depends on what you define as heat as things will definitely get muggy and warm. 

However heat waves and 90+ temps look uncommon for now. 

Heat is generally considered to be 90+ temps. There are lots of problems with getting that right now particularly in NYC. The heat ridge is out west and there's an absence of WAR. There will also be a stationary front or trough setting up somewhere near the eastern seaboard acting as a conduit for waves of low pressure  and/or possibly some tropical cyclone development down the road. All in all it's a pretty bleak picture for heat at this point in time. Yes there could be some briefly warm/muggy conditions over the next week or so but it won't last.

WX/PT

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If long range is right time is gonna start slipping away on this summer. 72 at 1pm full sun in late June. Not heat next couple weeks puts us well into July. By August it obviously can be hot but some of the sting is taken out and thoughts turn towards school and fall. Heat has about a 6-7 week window right now and it don’t look great. 

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8 minutes ago, greenmtnwx said:

If long range is right time is gonna start slipping away on this summer. 72 at 1pm full sun in late June. Not heat next couple weeks puts us well into July. By August it obviously can be hot but some of the sting is taken out and thoughts turn towards school and fall. Heat has about a 6-7 week window right now and it don’t look great. 

 I'd wait till mid July With no heat waves on guidance To feel like we beat the heat this summer.  Plus September can be hot I do agree it doesn't have the same sting as July.  Anyway astronomical Spring March 21st through June 20th will end up about negative .5 for New York City Central Park.  A cold late March but plenty of beautiful days with very little heat

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It’s pretty rare to tie a record high and low only a few days apart.

 

RECORD EVENT REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND, OH
0535 PM EDT WED JUN 15 2022
A RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURE OF 94 WAS SET AT AKRON CANTON OH TODAY.
THIS TIES THE OLD RECORD OF 94 SET IN 1925.

 

RECORD EVENT REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND, OH
835 AM EDT SUN JUN 19 2022

...RECORD LOW TEMPERATURES TIED AT AKRON-CANTON 
AT 607 AM EDT, AKRON-CANTON REGIONAL AIRPORT REACHED A MINIMUM 
TEMPERATURE OF 46 DEGREES. THIS TIES THE DAILY MINIMUM TEMPERATURE 
RECORD PREVIOUSLY SET IN 1947.

 

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48 minutes ago, greenmtnwx said:

If long range is right time is gonna start slipping away on this summer. 72 at 1pm full sun in late June. Not heat next couple weeks puts us well into July. By August it obviously can be hot but some of the sting is taken out and thoughts turn towards school and fall. Heat has about a 6-7 week window right now and it don’t look great. 

We get heat into October these days.  I'm not worried at all.  We wouldn't say winter is starting to slip away a day before the solstice in December.

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55 minutes ago, greenmtnwx said:

If long range is right time is gonna start slipping away on this summer. 72 at 1pm full sun in late June. Not heat next couple weeks puts us well into July. By August it obviously can be hot but some of the sting is taken out and thoughts turn towards school and fall. Heat has about a 6-7 week window right now and it don’t look great. 

Most people will be perfectly happy with mid to upper 80s this summer. Very few actually prefer 90+ conditions

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A kind of shriveled up shrunken ridge and low pressure off the Carolinas does not bode well for heat. Just days ago the heat ridge on the models stretched from coast to coast and up at least to the US/Canadian border. Now it's a mini ridge over the nations' mid section.

WX/PT

ec-fast_z500_mslp_us_4.png

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The stationary front will serve as a focus for the convection this week. So a continuation of the wet June pattern for parts of the region. Several spots are already in excess of 4-5”.

 

B2EF0572-308F-4E93-90D4-BC2CF6BA6B8D.gif.c0ebbb475868265c2c9d5098f28fa31b.gif

 

Monthly Data for June 2022 for Upton NY NWS CWA
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
State
Name
Station Type
Total Precipitation 
NY ELMSFORD 0.8 SSW CoCoRaHS 5.32
NJ HAWTHORNE 1.0 SSE CoCoRaHS 4.32
NJ TENAFLY 1.3 W CoCoRaHS 4.29
NJ WEST MILFORD TWP 2.5 SSE CoCoRaHS 4.29
NJ CHARLOTTEBURG RESERVOIR COOP 4.28
NJ RIVER EDGE 0.4 NNE CoCoRaHS 4.25
CT TRUMBULL 0.9 W CoCoRaHS 4.20
CT DANBURY MUNICIPAL AP WBAN 4.19
CT NORWALK 2.9 NNW CoCoRaHS 4.18
NJ GLEN ROCK 0.7 SSE CoCoRaHS 4.17
NJ GLEN ROCK 0.4 WNW CoCoRaHS 4.14

 

Monthly Data for June 2022 for Mount Holly NJ NWS CWA
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
State
Name
Station Type
Total Precipitation 
NJ PHILADELPHIA/MT. HOLLY WFO COOP 5.85
NJ TOMS RIVER TWP 3.1 SSE CoCoRaHS 5.77
PA MOUNT POCONO 0.7 N CoCoRaHS 5.63
NJ CHESTER TWP 0.6 ENE CoCoRaHS 5.46
NJ MOORESTOWN TWP 0.6 SE CoCoRaHS 5.23
NJ SOUTH JERSEY REGIONAL AIRPORT WBAN 5.22
PA JIM THORPE 1.1 NNE CoCoRaHS 5.20
NJ ROXBURY TWP 1.2 ESE CoCoRaHS 5.18
PA CANADENSIS EAST COOP 5.16
NJ MOUNT OLIVE TWP 0.6 W CoCoRaHS 5.16
NJ SOUTHAMPTON TWP 1.6 SE CoCoRaHS 5.09
NJ MANSFIELD TWP 1.9 SW CoCoRaHS 5.00
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17 minutes ago, bluewave said:

The stationary front will serve as a focus for the convection this week. So a continuation of the wet June pattern for parts of the region. Several spots are already in excess of 4-5”.

 

B2EF0572-308F-4E93-90D4-BC2CF6BA6B8D.gif.c0ebbb475868265c2c9d5098f28fa31b.gif

 

Monthly Data for June 2022 for Upton NY NWS CWA
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
State
Name
Station Type
Total Precipitation 
NY ELMSFORD 0.8 SSW CoCoRaHS 5.32
NJ HAWTHORNE 1.0 SSE CoCoRaHS 4.32
NJ TENAFLY 1.3 W CoCoRaHS 4.29
NJ WEST MILFORD TWP 2.5 SSE CoCoRaHS 4.29
NJ CHARLOTTEBURG RESERVOIR COOP 4.28
NJ RIVER EDGE 0.4 NNE CoCoRaHS 4.25
CT TRUMBULL 0.9 W CoCoRaHS 4.20
CT DANBURY MUNICIPAL AP WBAN 4.19
CT NORWALK 2.9 NNW CoCoRaHS 4.18
NJ GLEN ROCK 0.7 SSE CoCoRaHS 4.17
NJ GLEN ROCK 0.4 WNW CoCoRaHS 4.14

 

Monthly Data for June 2022 for Mount Holly NJ NWS CWA
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
State
Name
Station Type
Total Precipitation 
NJ PHILADELPHIA/MT. HOLLY WFO COOP 5.85
NJ TOMS RIVER TWP 3.1 SSE CoCoRaHS 5.77
PA MOUNT POCONO 0.7 N CoCoRaHS 5.63
NJ CHESTER TWP 0.6 ENE CoCoRaHS 5.46
NJ MOORESTOWN TWP 0.6 SE CoCoRaHS 5.23
NJ SOUTH JERSEY REGIONAL AIRPORT WBAN 5.22
PA JIM THORPE 1.1 NNE CoCoRaHS 5.20
NJ ROXBURY TWP 1.2 ESE CoCoRaHS 5.18
PA CANADENSIS EAST COOP 5.16
NJ MOUNT OLIVE TWP 0.6 W CoCoRaHS 5.16
NJ SOUTHAMPTON TWP 1.6 SE CoCoRaHS 5.09
NJ MANSFIELD TWP 1.9 SW CoCoRaHS 5.00

If the extended HRRR is right Wed could be mainly dry and it pushes fairly far east.  The RGEM/Euro are furthest west overall.  

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4 hours ago, Wxoutlooksblog said:

Cool/wet pattern continues with no signs of heat in the northeast on any of the overnight operational model runs.

WX/PT

People have been saying wet pattern for a month now but in central jersey we have had below normal rainfall and the lawns are beginning to dry out

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15 minutes ago, winterwarlock said:

People have been saying wet pattern for a month now but in central jersey we have had below normal rainfall and the lawns are beginning to dry out

We're actually a tad BN in the precip department so some rain would be welcomed. 

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Winters are super warm and summers are cloudy and cold. Really bizarre situation but kind of fits the bill of what to expect. When your air-mass is constantly advecting from the ocean there is no chance of massive heat domes. That means the Northeastern US is one of the most resilient in the world towards climate change.

But we will pay the price in other areas like the precipitation and tropical cyclone department.

 

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