Powerful Multi-regional/ multi-faceted east coastal storm now above medium confidence: Jan 29 -30th, MA to NE, with snow and mix combining high wind, and tides. Unusual early confidence ...

[40/70 Benchmark]

Just now, Ginx snewx said:

My wife wishes she had heard the word elongated as much as I have seen it today.

You have 12 kids, how much did she need to hear it?

[40/70 Benchmark]

1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Jan 7 storm had a lot of elongated talk.. and folks ended up with 7-15”.. from a fast moving wave 

The fact that it was elongated mitigated it for a lot of folks, which is the concern here.

[Damage In Tolland]

Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said:

The fact that it was elongated mitigated it for a lot of folks, which is the concern here.

It hit the areas it was progged to hit 

There is no concern 

[Ginx snewx]

1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

You have 12 kids, how much did she need to hear it?

Brady bunch though only 3 were a product of my offerings. lol. UK is a bomb. Expect the Euro to hold serve

[mattm4242]

Beautiful weenie 24-30 for Cape Ann.

[RI Rob]

Just now, mattm4242 said:

Solid map. 

[STILL N OF PIKE]

Ukie looked pretty good EOR , it was a bit slower and those mid levels blew up sat pm

[Ginx snewx]

Queens queenin

Jackpots  jacking

Sitting smilin

[PhineasC]

Always crazy to see 24-30 on an official map like that. It takes a lot to go that big for a single event. 18-24 is more typical with a hedge in the write up. 

[40/70 Benchmark]

Just now, Damage In Tolland said:

It hit the areas it was progged to hit 

It one narrow band, which was not the upside. I'm sure you won't mind if E MA still scores a HECS while western areas get a middling event, as some of the data suggests.

[LaGrangewx]

The HREF probability matched mean is 3 feet for the south shore. Does anyone know when the IBM-GRAF runs and is it useful? 

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

That’s an excellent map from BOX IMO

[JC-CT]

2 minutes ago, mattm4242 said:

now BOX has become the hunter and OKX has become the hunted

[Damage In Tolland]

1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

It one narrow band, which was not the upside. I'm sure you won't mind if E MA still scores a HECS while western areas get a middling event, as some of the data suggests.

Who is the western zone?

[Go Kart Mozart]

Interesting snow total for Islip, and especially south of LI.  Is that LBSW, or OES?

[IowaStorm05]

2 minutes ago, mattm4242 said:

Thats the most beautiful official snowfall map i have ever seen regardless of where I am in it 

[40/70 Benchmark]

Just now, Damage In Tolland said:

Who is the western zone?

West of ORH.

[ROOSTA]

Official outlets (the ones everyone should heed) amounts are going up, UP, UP...

[MarkO]

Not too worried about the CMC. It was outside the benchmark, and this shift is similar but maybe another 25 mi SE.

[Damage In Tolland]

Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said:

West of ORH.

Lol 

[JC-CT]

1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Who is the western zone?

Columbia, CT, of course

[STILL N OF PIKE]

Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said:

West of ORH.

Oh goodie , kev will like that 

[Cold Miser]

1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

West of ORH  CT River.

FYP

[wx2fish]

3 minutes ago, LaGrangewx said:

The HREF probability matched mean is 3 feet for the south shore. Does anyone know when the IBM-GRAF runs and is it useful? 

Runs every 6hr. It can be useful, but I treat it like the nam. It can do funky things at times. 12z run is a massive hit.  

[PhineasC]

UK cut back precip everywhere for sure. Same deal we have seen with the other major runs today aside from GFS. 

[Baroclinic Zone]

I'll be pissed with less than 24" 

[ORH_wxman]

2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

West of ORH I-395

 

[40/70 Benchmark]

Just now, Cold Miser said:

FYP

No, ORH....good amount of guidance tapers west of ORH.

[TalcottWx]

Just now, PhineasC said:

UK cut back precip everywhere for sure. Same deal we have seen with the other major runs today aside from GFS. 

[dendrite]

Ukie slicin' and dicin' the QPF up here.