Powerful Multi-regional/ multi-faceted east coastal storm now above medium confidence: Jan 29 -30th, MA to NE, with snow and mix combining high wind, and tides. Unusual early confidence ...

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

5 minutes ago, weathafella said:

You abandoned  early but I think you’ll be nicely surprised.    You’re probably not getting 20 but 12 ain’t hay.

Doubt it but it’s possible. Seems like we are in an east then west seesaw of cycles. Net result won’t deviate much from an middle compromise.

[weathafella]

Just now, JC-CT said:

I've been dry all month. It's been brutal.

Dry January.   It’s gaining traction 

[dendrite]

1 minute ago, Chrisrotary12 said:

I’ve never actually looked at the icon before. Does it typically come out in non-sequential order? On TropicalTidbits, hr 66 is randomly available.

It’s all on there. It’s how they preload the images.

[JC-CT]

Just now, weathafella said:

Dry January.   It’s gaining traction 

I dont even know why. My girlfriend wanted to, I was like yeah I guess.

[Snowcrazed71]

47 minutes ago, CT Rain said:

Well that's a weird evolution but damn close to a monster hit in SNE.

Have you ever seen the models be at such odds like this ( and the back and forth ) 3 days before a storm?

 

[JC-CT]

Just now, dendrite said:

It’s all on there. It’s how they preload the images.

Yeah, SV it's in order. But TT always loads images randomly for it. And the ggem.

[WeatherWilly]

Let's hope this thread doesn't look like Nathan MacKinnon's face tomorrow. 

[WxFreak11]

Wow! This storm takes up a huge amount of real estate! It’s huge!

[CT Rain]

Just now, Snowcrazed71 said:

Have you ever seen the models be at such odds like this ( and the back and forth ) 3 days before a storm?

 

Yes but this is definitely more uncertain than most.

The 10th/90th percentile NWS forecasts tell the story well with 0" to 18" in Hartford.

[dryslot]

3 minutes ago, WeatherWilly said:

Let's hope this thread doesn't look like Nathan MacKinnon's face tomorrow. 

Well it was self inflicted.

[Henry's Weather]

3 minutes ago, Snowcrazed71 said:

Have you ever seen the models be at such odds like this ( and the back and forth ) 3 days before a storm?

 

Yeah like every time

[WeatherWilly]

Just now, dryslot said:

Well it was self inflicted.

As is most of our misery here.

[DavisStraight]

4 minutes ago, WxFreak11 said:

Wow! This storm takes up a huge amount of real estate! It’s huge!

It's snowing in Delaware and Nova Scotia at the same time.

[ineedsnow]

Icon

[The 4 Seasons]

2 minutes ago, Snowcrazed71 said:

Have you ever seen the models be at such odds like this ( and the back and forth ) 3 days before a storm?

 

Yes. Jan 23rd 2016. 10%/90% the day before from the NWS

[tunafish]

8 minutes ago, weathafella said:

Dry January.   It’s gaining traction 

Between Dry January and No Nut November, December must be very, umm, wet.

 

Onto the GFS...

[STILL N OF PIKE]

I just want the gf’s to tickle west again , give us something .  

[NotSureWeather]

TWC has me back up to 20” max. Guess we can adjust up from there.

[ice1972]

30 minutes ago, CT Valley Dryslot said:

RGEM @ 48.

Does anyone know how to read the damn Canadian maps lol

[PhineasC]

11 minutes ago, JC-CT said:

I've been dry all month. It's been brutal.

A worthy goal for sure. I go back and forth. Drink too much and then go dry for a while. Rinse and repeat.

[IowaStorm05]

This is crazy to me. 

It could place central CT right into the bullseye. It could mix areas SE. It is no certainty, but this is showing that anything is possible.

[PhineasC]

2 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said:

I just want the gf’s to tickle west again , give us something .  

The GFS has been awful looking for several cycles now.

[Spanks45]

20 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

To be fair, I abandoned after 12z so I was the first to go and I’m proud of it.

I was going to give up after 12z tomorrow....so there is still time. Although I was pretty much dangling by a thread after the 18z GEFS. Let's do this, Reggie has some nice banding out here

[IowaStorm05]

1 minute ago, PhineasC said:

A worthy goal for sure. I go back and forth. Drink too much and then go dry for a while. Rinse and repeat.

I was not an alcohol guy for the majority of my life... save for 18 months in the late 2010s when I got alcoholic. If I dont treat my ADHD I become very vulnerable to alcohol and anything. But treating it, I am able to lightly imbibe very infrequently without getting pulled in because I dont have the same affinity for it.

[ineedsnow]

Just now, PhineasC said:

The GFS has been awful looking for several cycles now.

I think 0z will go west everything else is so far

[Snowcrazed71]

So the icon shifted West ( yes.. I know, it not the most reliable ). Also .. The RGEM also looks amazing ( is that a viable option to use and trust? )

[Hoth]

Just now, Snowcrazed71 said:

So the icon shifted West ( yes.. I know, it not the most reliable ). Also .. The RGEM also looks amazing ( is that a viable option to use and trust? )

No.

[jcwxguy]

6 minutes ago, ice1972 said:

Does anyone know how to read the damn Canadian maps lol

 

[CT Valley Dryslot]

Just now, jcwxguy said:

 

WAK: Wet azz Kuchie.

[George001]

18 minutes ago, Snowcrazed71 said:

Have you ever seen the models be at such odds like this ( and the back and forth ) 3 days before a storm?

 

Oh yeah this happens all the time especially with big ones. The Dec 2020 storm was way south and crushed DC like 3 days out, and then the low moved like 500 miles NW, NYC went from being on the NW edge to mixing with sleet after like 10 inches of snow. My area ended up with around 15, and NNE really got hammered, I remember areas in NNE were forecast like 2-4 THE DAY BEFORE the storm and got 40 inches. It’s usually not that extreme, but big changes happen even in the short range.