dendrite Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 4 minutes ago, dryslot said: I stole that somewhere else but weather models still had more to the west then that wxbell map. The JB algorithm always keeps the I95 cities in it. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 7 minutes ago, JC-CT said: are there two different GEFS? Maybe that’s the Ginxy Ensemble Forecast System. It does bias cold. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 14 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: Actually taking the GFS verbatim for the concerns of snow going over to rain...in the GFS scenario we may actually dry slot before any transition to rain can happen lol. With H7 tracking that far west and as developed as it is there would certainly be a mean dry slot. That’s a very possible scenario . You grab 6-9” and then drizzle , fropa , glacier. I favor that as a SNE outcome 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 13 minutes ago, dryslot said: Less to the west it seems. Yes.. lean there is a of LI and then NE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 31 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said: Those off hour runs tend to be a lot wonkier. 18z GFS is usually more progressive so I'd like to see a continuation at 0z to see if there's any hope. Good to see the GEFS trend east though. Up to this point the GFS op has led the ensembles. Maybe starting with the 18z the ensembles are going to show the op the way forward. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 10 minutes ago, JC-CT said: are there two different GEFS? There’s one with beer and there’s one with weed . Different outcomes 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 3 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: That’s a very possible scenario . You grab 6-9” and then drizzle , fropa , glacier. I favor that as a SNE outcome That’s my take right now. I think we see subtle shift east over the next 24 hours. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: That’s a very possible scenario . You grab 6-9” and then drizzle , fropa , glacier. I favor that as a SNE outcome Certainly a plausible scenario at this stage. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 15 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Maybe there is a secret gefs on wxbell. Like a Bastardi filter that automatically generates the snowiest/most wrong solution possible? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 We await the 18z Euro and EPS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 2 minutes ago, Hoth said: Like a Bastardi filter that automatically generates the snowiest/most wrong solution possible? Put the “big dog” hat on! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 People should like GEFS mean snowfall 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: People should like GEFS mean snowfall Have you ever posted a GEFS mean clown map 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 18z Euro at 90 doesnt look as amped to me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 2 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: Have you ever posted a GEFS mean clown map Yes about 2 minutes ago. Since the FV3 took over and the Euro downgrade.. it’s usable Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 1 hour ago, dryslot said: I'm going to enjoy my skunk stripe. Okay, I’ll take that, what the hell, why not Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BombsAway1288 Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 36 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: Well, in all fairness, there could still be a monster snowstorm somewhere in New England out of this system, it just might not meet blizzard criteria. Exactly what I was trying to say. Really big snowstorm? Maybe. Blizzard? Not happening and shouldn't be thrown around here like it's even a 50/50 chance of happening at this point 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 10:1 maps were garbage last storm b/c ratios were obviously going to be much higher and 10:1 maps are going to be garbage this storm b/c ratios probably going to be less than 10:1 (except maybe the farther north you go). Too worry to really worry about ratios but something to start considering soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 This place.....lol. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: This place.....lol. Yeah, if that SV snow map goes viral on Twitter, they will be flooding the supermarkets tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 6 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: This place.....lol. Cuckoo for Cocoa Puffs. Some good entertainment though! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 5 minutes ago, 78Blizzard said: Yeah, if that SV snow map goes viral on Twitter, they will be flooding the supermarkets tomorrow. Its to late, Hyperbole started days ago for this, The supermarkets are already empty without a snow storm...... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George001 Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 1 hour ago, BombsAway1288 said: My god with the ridiculous hyperbole. There is not going to be a "monster blizzard" anywhere in NE. Give it rest already. You must be like 13 y/o or something Go ahead and keep looking at the GFS, it’s full of shit. There can and will be a monster blizzard somewhere in New England with a low that powerful. Liking big blizzards doesn’t make me a goddamn infant, idk what to tell you. Also remember last December? The same storm that was modeled to cut into Wisconsin ended up at roughly this lead time ended up giving Boston a foot? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 28 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: 18z Euro at 90 doesnt look as amped to me It had the same trend as the 18z GFS with lower heights out ahead of it over New England. I think that would help the front end even if it tries to track west. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 2 hours ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Are you new here? This is hilarious considering I usually just browse your subforum to get some good insights from you all...and I know exactly what, or whom, you're referring to here... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: It had the same trend as the 18z GFS with lower heights out ahead of it over New England. I think that would help the front end even if it tries to track west. Fridays being further west is compressing the flow over the northeast in canada. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 8 minutes ago, dryslot said: Fridays being further west is compressing the flow over the northeast in canada. I will gladly sacrifice myself for 3-6" on Friday so everyone can have a snowier Monday. If that's what it takes, I will do it. 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BombsAway1288 Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 12 minutes ago, George001 said: Go ahead and keep looking at the GFS, it’s full of shit. There can and will be a monster blizzard somewhere in New England with a low that powerful. Liking big blizzards doesn’t make me a goddamn infant, idk what to tell you. Also remember last December? The same storm that was modeled to cut into Wisconsin ended up at roughly this lead time ended up giving Boston a foot? Thank you, I will keep looking at the GFS. Pretty good model. You know damn well that if it did show a BM track with a "blizzard" to the coast you would be all over posting about how good it's been since its upgrade and how that'll be the final solution. You're right, liking them doesn't make you child but saying that they're gonna happen with EVERY SINGLE piece of energy that exits the east coast, just like you do, does in fact make you a child. I remember being in middle school too, hearing a storm of some sort was on the horizon and thinking "wow! major blizzard!!!!!" These were my thoughts as a 12 y/o and obviously this is how you think now at whatever age you're at. Sad. Here's some advice for you, grow up and get a grip! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 Bombs away dropping bombs on George! 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 Just now, BombsAway1288 said: Thank you, I will keep looking at the GFS. Pretty good model. You know damn well that if it did show a BM track with a "blizzard" to the coast you would be all over posting about how good it's been since its upgrade and how that'll be the final solution. You're right, liking them doesn't make you child but saying that they're gonna happen with EVERY SINGLE piece of energy that exits the east coast, just like you do, does in fact make you a child. I remember being in middle school too, hearing a storm of some sort was on the horizon and thinking "wow! major blizzard!!!!!" These were my thoughts as a 12 y/o and obviously this is how you think now at whatever age you're at. Sad. Here's some advice for you, grow up and get a grip! WinterWolf? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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