Jump to content
  • Member Statistics

    19,002
    Total Members
    49,013
    Most Online
    loganboehmewx
    Newest Member
    loganboehmewx
    Joined

August 2021


wdrag
 Share

Recommended Posts

26 minutes ago, gpsnavigator said:

Anyone know what the highest dewpoints ever recorded in this area are?  Not that we are going to break any records, but I was curious.

84° is the highest on record at JFK and EWR. The JFK record was set in 2016 and Newark in 1995. While the Sussex County records only go back to 2000, your record is 79°set  in 2016. You can see how many hourly records there have been at our stations in the last 6 years.

A32DB3B5-6564-44C7-B181-F2C9D3518408.thumb.png.3dfa726cb3401c44e1705f0f22dfa2ec.png
CCCD584C-F47B-48FC-A8F3-D9367CE59419.thumb.png.ed338cff0040e58bb99a7166eabf2c58.pngE6CAE126-1D26-473E-B14B-4FBD616F63A8.thumb.png.42568b89045fd67a2b2f2238974297bc.png

  • Thanks 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites

2 hours ago, LibertyBell said:

Some amazing years on that list!  The only one of the 40+ group after 2010 is 2016.  Shows how our truly hot summers have become endangered by all this humidity and rain :(

 

How? 

Our average summer temperatures have been near or in the top 5-10 since 2010. 

Also the higher dews lead to higher heat indices which is what affects people the most rather than raw temps. 

This summer will be in the upper echelon with 100+ recorded at several locations this June and possibly this Thursday-Friday. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Miami dew points across the region.

MIAMI          PTSUNNY   91  75  59 E10G22    30.09F HX 101
Poughkeepsie   MOSUNNY   90  76  63 S7        29.94  HX 101
Newark/Liberty MOSUNNY   93  75  55 SW14      29.96  HX 104
Somerville     MOSUNNY   91  77  63 VRB3      29.96  HX 104
Kennedy Intl   MOSUNNY   83  75  77 S10       30.00  HX  90
Link to comment
Share on other sites

We could see the svr tstorm watch expanded into parts of the area

DISCUSSION...A cluster of thunderstorms with a history of wind
   damage across southern PA will continue to pose a risk for damaging
   wind gusts this evening. Ongoing within an unstable (2000-3000 J/kg
   of MLCAPE) but weakly sheared environment (<20 kts of effective
   shear), convection has remained marginally organized in several
   bands of multicell storms. Recent radar trends show additional
   convective development ahead of the main band across northwestern NJ
   suggesting storms will likely continue to the Atlantic coast. With
   strong instability in place robust updrafts capable of strong
   outflow winds appear likely. A local watch extension across NJ may
   be required as storms approach the eastern edge of WW427 in the next
   hour or two. 

mcd1490.gif

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

24 minutes ago, forkyfork said:

lol

 

The NWS really needs to address the situation with the trees blocking the sensor. They didn’t seem to take it into account with the official forecast for today. Notice how the forecast did very well for all the other stations. But it was 4° too high for NYC.


31943C3C-54F8-49AE-935C-4C8EB831A05B.jpeg.3e182e1b844750705f4902eea3fb03cd.jpeg

 

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Temperatures rose into the upper 80s and lower 90s in the northern Middle Atlantic region and middle 90s elsewhere in the Middle Atlantic region. High temperatures included:

Allentown: 92°
Baltimore: 98°
Boston: 93°
Burlington: 90°
Danbury: 91° (tied record set in 2016)
Harrisburg: 94°
Hartford: 93°
Islip: 85°
New York City-JFK: 85°
New York City-LGA: 92°
New York City-NYC: 89°
Newark: 94°
Philadelphia: 95°
Providence: 90°
Scranton: 91°
Washington, DC: 96°

90° Days for Select Cities (through August 11):

Albany: 4 (2020: 13 days; 5-Year Average: 13.6 days)
Allentown: 19 (2020: 24 days; 5-Year Average: 27.6 days)
Baltimore: 38 (2020: 46 days; 5-Year Average: 44.6 days)
Boston: 17 (2020: 14 days; 5-Year Average: 17.2 days)
Bridgeport: 8 (2020: 11 days; 5-Year Average: 13.4 days)
Burlington: 8 (2020: 20 days; 5-Year Average: 13.0 days)
Harrisburg: 26 (2020: 35 days; 5-Year Average: 30.6 days)
Hartford: 18 (2020: 39 days; 5-Year Average: 29.0 days)
Islip: 3 (2020: 8 days; 5-Year Average: 9.4 days)
New York City-JFK: 6 (2020: 12 days; 5-Year Average: 10.2 days)
New York City-LGA: 18 (2020: 34 days; 5-Year Average: 29.4 days)
New York City-NYC: 12 (2020: 20 days; 5-Year Average: 18.2 days)
Newark: 30 (2020: 31 days; 5-Year Average: 31.2 days)
Philadelphia: 26 (2020: 36 days; 5-Year Average: 34.6 days)
Scranton: 14 (2020: 25 days; 5-Year Average: 16.4 days)
Washington, DC: 35 (2020: 46 days; 5-Year Average: 50.8 days)

New York City-Newark Average: 17 (2020: 22 days)
...Expected: 18 (based on regression equation tied to JFK-LGA-EWR data)

Extreme heat descended onto the Pacific Northwest today. High temperatures included:

Dallesport, WA: 110° (old record: 109°, 1981)
Eugene, OR: 102°
Medford, OR: 104°
Pendleton, OR: 101°
Portland: 102° (tied record set in 1977)
Richland, WA: 107° (tied record set in 1958)
Salem, OR: 103°
Seattle: 91°

As a result of the ongoing bout of extreme heat, Portland will likely experience its second extreme heat event of the year, making 2021 the first year on record with two such events. Portland could also experience 2 or more 100° high temperatures, allowing 2021 to tie or break the all-time record for most such days. There remains a possibility that Seattle could also experience its second extreme heat event of the year.

In some of the long-range guidance that heat could later be followed by another round of heat in the Northern Plains a week or so later. If so, one will see a similar sequence of events as occurred from late June to mid-July.

The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +0.7°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was -0.3°C for the week centered around August 4. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +0.48°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged -0.23°C. Neutral ENSO conditions will likely prevail into mid-September.

The SOI was +10.26 today.

The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) figure was +0.229 today.

On August 9 the MJO was in Phase 2 at an amplitude of 1.433 (RMM). The August 8-adjusted amplitude was 1.134 (RMM).

Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied 51% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal August (1991-2020 normal). August will likely finish with a mean temperature near 76.1° (0.1° above normal).

 

  • Like 1
  • Thanks 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.

Sign In Now
 Share

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    • No registered users viewing this page.
×
×
  • Create New...