Watching closely .. February 1-3rd for moderate to major coastal event

[PhineasC]

4 minutes ago, Hoth said:

Dude, don't forget Reggie!

The UKMET would suddenly transform into a helicopter and fly away from the race. 

[Damage In Tolland]

What was that storm that dumped 36” around Allentown and Harrisburg? It was maybe 8-10 years ago. Does this resemble that at all?

[TheSnowman]

The Reliant Robin!!  Really that’s the NAM more than 60 hours out.  

[STILL N OF PIKE]

1 hour ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

Yeah... we’ll see. I’m not holding my breath... we’ve seen this movie a lot down here 

SE mass has a few re-runs every year. It's part of the Climo.  

This thing is looking Jacked over PA. geezus. 

[JC-CT]

Brutal

[40/70 Benchmark]

1 minute ago, TheSnowman said:

The Reliant Robin!!  Really that’s the NAM more than 60 hours out.  

 

[CoastalWx]

Just now, STILL N OF PIKE said:

SE mass has a few re-runs every year. It's part of the Climo.  

That’s the thing, they haven’t had that, me included. Time for movies. 

[40/70 Benchmark]

Just now, STILL N OF PIKE said:

SE mass has a few re-runs every year. It's part of the Climo.  

This thing is looking Jacked over PA. geezus. 

This is why you almost never want to see PA and MD get crushed....just immediately begin to think about how that porks you here....because it usually will 8/10 times.

[CoastalWx]

It’s too bad it doesn’t deepen because a track like that shouldn’t bring milder air near 495 at all. It’s just a stumbling drunk of a low wobbling all over.

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

@MJO812 Still ‘unreal’ about the north trend when you’re ground zero?

[PhineasC]

I make fun of the UKMET and the thing still has the decency to jackpot Randolph. 

[HIPPYVALLEY]

Looks good for 6”+  back here.  

[40/70 Benchmark]

12z GFS drops about 3' in S PA.

Writing is on the wall here....mediocrity.

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

Just now, HIPPYVALLEY said:

Looks good for 6”+  back here.  

We’ll be AN snow YTD for sure. 

[HoarfrostHubb]

1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

12z GFS drops about 3' in S PA.

Writing is on the wall here....mediocrity.

Yeah. I have been thinking a moderate event for a day or two for most.  

[40/70 Benchmark]

1 minute ago, HoarfrostHubb said:

Yeah. I have been thinking a moderate event for a day or two for most.  

I have always throught that.

[Typhoon Tip]

  I start to wonder at times if this engagement is really about wanting or seeking an arena that enables one to be where they truly want to be: in a neurotic crisis mode - ...something like that. 

I mean, we pine and hand-ring for fun in the models, "fun" shows up on the models. Then it's 10X's more energy expended nit-picking reasons to go, "OH god! not again "

Hey, that JMA solution was insane ... It has a 20 dm of height reduction spanning 24 hours, and parks the nucleus over Worcester 12z Wed morning... If that happens, that low it has 983 outer GOM is actually going to be southwest where those isobars are stressed/oblong, and that's a raging choke blizzard.

Course...the JMA -

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

Eps follows the op. 

[HIPPYVALLEY]

Still thinking we get a few tics E before go time.  
 

...a few more tics W and it will be like a morgue in here. 

[40/70 Benchmark]

EPS like the OP, a hair warmer/west than 00z.

 

[40/70 Benchmark]

2 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

  I start to wonder at times if this engagement is really about wanting or seeking an arena that enables one to be where they truly want to be: in a neurotic crisis mode - ...something like that. 

I mean, we pine and hand-ring for fun in the models, "fun" shows up on the models. Then it's 10X's more energy expended nit-picking reasons to go, "OH god! not again "

Hey, that JMA solution was insane ... It has a 20 dm of height reduction spanning 24 hours, and parks the nucleus over Worcester 12z Wed morning... If that happens, that low it has 983 outer GOM is actually going to be southwest where those isobars are stressed/oblong, and that's a raging choke blizzard.

Course...the JMA -

ICON looks great...ticker-tape parade for of misfit toys-

I still think this will tick back east before go-time.....much of eastern Mass can probably approach a foot.

[NorEastermass128]

If this turns into a 2-5” slop fest that turns to liquid, Mother Nature can keep it. Just about time to check out on the season at that point. 

[STILL N OF PIKE]

24 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said:

Looks good for 6”+  back here.  

looking at the mid level track and lift I think Western New England and Vermont will have nice totals as well. Somewhat Patchy perhaps but that was very telling (you would think) seeing the Euro do that W slowing and deepening ULL while its Over DE/ ACY. 

Also by 18z Tuesday.. that Mid level low is getting pretty stretched to the North ...you have good lift well North of that thru C NY and NNE

[ORH_wxman]

2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

ICON looks great...ticker-tape parade for of misfit toys-

I still think this will tick back east before go-time.....much of eastern Mass can probably approach a foot.

The fast flow off the PAC may certainly help this time around to try and nudge it east and northeast. 

OTOH, maybe it’s just going to deepen enough that it doesn’t matter and form a black hole southwest of us. 

 

[IowaStorm05]

I appear to be quite close to the southwestern edge of predictions of the eastern jackpot that shows up on some of these model runs.

 

[Bostonseminole]

catching up and reading sounds like the storm shifted SE and we are getting a whiff lol.. then I opened the models..

[weathafella]

The euro run was disappointing.

[Damage In Tolland]

What was the problem with the EPS?

[Go Kart Mozart]

This is the time frame when NAM will lurch hard to the left.

[Bostonseminole]

hopefully the NAM turns that frown upside down around here.