stormtracker Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 CMC is a powerful 2-4 inches here in the metro area. I guess. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 Just now, Zdudswx said: CMC at hr 72 its weird. On TT---the 72 map looks like this when it shows qpf. but then Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 Just now, stormtracker said: CMC is a powerful 2-4 inches here in the metro area. I guess. lol thats barely an advisory Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaydreb Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 Just now, stormtracker said: CMC is a powerful 2-4 inches here in the metro area. I guess. Yeah, the 0z runs have definitely tempered my expectations. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
batmanbrad Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 Just now, losetoa6 said: Many ensembles have it in that general area. But tomorrow night mesos should start to hone in on banding an subsequent lollies thanks - I deleted my post after I saw I was beaten to it (ninja'd?) by jaydreb, LOL... also saw that 20 of that 29" spot occurs in 6 hours between 66 and 72, LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
high risk Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 FWIW, and I am not saying that it's right, the CMC evolution/track is more similar to the 00z NAM than to the 00z GFS.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 That mega band in SoPA is the TROWAL I've been mentioning. Absolute classic and can confirm when I look at the 7H Theta-E's 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baltosquid Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 CMC is strange, very strong but one of the most pronounced snow-rain cutoffs yet. It really wants to tuck the storm into Ocean City/Delaware. I'm skeptical of that. Very different track to the GFS. Give me the GFS track and CMC rates, please! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 3 minutes ago, high risk said: FWIW, and I am not saying that it's right, the CMC evolution/track is more similar to the 00z NAM than to the 00z GFS.... It's def closer in the SLP track, but still not as amped. Agreed. GFS was a bit flat comparing. Probably just GFS being GFS 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaydreb Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 Lol, GFS gives Boston 2” and CMC gives them 12”. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AllWeather Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 Just now, MillvilleWx said: That mega band in SoPA is the TROWAL I've been mentioning. Absolute classic and can confirm when I look at the 7H Theta-E's Yupp. And does naughty things. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HKY1894 Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 Just now, AllWeather said: Yupp. And does naughty things. I want to chase this but it’s gonna be stressful trying to plan ahead to setup near best banding. Will have to make a decision by Tuesday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 Everyone south of the far northern MD tier better hope this storm doesn't become dependent on backlash snow after hours of heavy rain to work out... that will be a fail. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PivotPoint Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 10 minutes ago, yoda said: CCB is noice on the 00z CMC at 72... mauling everyone I95 and west What are you talking about. A) not a mauling for most the sub forum, b) cuts total from previous run significantly. Honestly, close to banter man 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 Not surprisingly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzardmeiser Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 23 minutes ago, osfan24 said: I get that, but with such huge totals being shown on many models not that far away and within striking distance, this scenario would be a bit disappointing. I guess it's all about expectations. Had this not been showing such big potential for days on end with big totals hanging around, 6-10 or whatever would sound amazing for December. But that run almost cut my recent GFS run totals in half. 6-10 is amazing for December Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaydreb Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 GEFS cut back somewhat. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 Going to be a fun 6 hrs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
caviman2201 Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 1 minute ago, Snowchaser said: Liking the looks of this This is 24hrs old... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 17 minutes ago, HKY1894 said: I want to chase this but it’s gonna be stressful trying to plan ahead to setup near best banding. Will have to make a decision by Tuesday. I’m chasing from Philly. I can’t turn down an hour drive to see 2 feet 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 Checking in from your north in Harrisburg - feel like I’m in the best spot aside from the coal region of of Pennsylvania. Feel few to come visit n 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 UKIE at 72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
32º Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 NAM showing serious ICE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 Ukie at 72,looks good when compared to cmc for example. Not 100% sure since it seems slower as well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 UKIE at 72 That looks good I think Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 Not shocked to the see the meh reception to the CMC from those outside the uber-favored areas but that is a cold run at the surface. I'll take my chances with wintry soup at 29. Don't even think DCA breaches 32 verbatim. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 1 minute ago, Ji said: 2 minutes ago, nj2va said: UKIE at 72 That looks good I think I agree that looks perfect in my eyes. On precip maps va getting crushes on that frame Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 3 minutes ago, Ji said: That looks good I think Yeah, I’m personally rooting for higher QPF further west so that LP looks good to me. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowchaser Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted December 14, 2020 Share Posted December 14, 2020 10 hours ago, Scraff said: Jebwalks will be had by all. Hope you are in good jebwalkin' shape. Don't look now, but ANOTHER weather system is gonna smash into y'all later, as a storm passes off the NC Coast later this week. This will be a snowy FRIGID Winter long remembered throughout the Washington DC Metropolitan region! The Reaper is definitely gonna retire. He's gonna be fresh out of work. There's going to be way too much snow, for him to even have a hope of Reapin' anyone. 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts