USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted December 26, 2018 Share Posted December 26, 2018 Just now, SnoSki14 said: The tellies aren't really signalling any big upcoming shift yet. AO/NAO/EPO looks to be mainly positive. What source do you use? I use CPC, they tend to differ on that stance with a +PNA/-NAO/neutral AO Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 26, 2018 Share Posted December 26, 2018 1 hour ago, Typhoon Tip said: It's fascinating how that... in turn triggers defensive attempts to abase by laughter and chiding ...because laughers and chiders know inside, the truth is a representation of them. i didn't read anything you wrote, my phone can't handle soliloquies 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 26, 2018 Share Posted December 26, 2018 You need to look at more than text data from so called tellies Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 26, 2018 Share Posted December 26, 2018 Models bringing back NYE or trying at least. CMC is a dank rain event actually. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 26, 2018 Share Posted December 26, 2018 3 minutes ago, weathafella said: Models bringing back NYE or trying at least. CMC is a dank rain event actually. Like the “Chronic”? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 26, 2018 Share Posted December 26, 2018 42 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said: The tellies aren't really signalling any big upcoming shift yet. AO/NAO/EPO looks to be mainly positive. Look at ens upper air not charts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted December 26, 2018 Share Posted December 26, 2018 There is a large +PNA spike in the ensembles just before and after New Year's Day, that could signify that the models are mishandling the presence of cold air and a snowstorm threat, right now there is nothing on the models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 26, 2018 Share Posted December 26, 2018 Just now, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: There is a large +PNA spike in the ensembles just before and after New Year's Day, that could signify that the models are mishandling the presence of cold air and a snowstorm threat, right now there is nothing on the models. Indices are just one more piece of guidance to look at. You still need to look at the 500mb to get a better idea. We may very well whiff or we could still get a cutter just as much as we get a snowstorm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 26, 2018 Share Posted December 26, 2018 Please be right para Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Greg Posted December 26, 2018 Share Posted December 26, 2018 12 minutes ago, Snow88 said: Oh I see. I wish. CMC is rain. Para is a very nice NYE snow storm outside the outer Cape, Nantucket. Like I said, "I wish." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 26, 2018 Share Posted December 26, 2018 2 minutes ago, Greg said: The Para is stuck on hour 96 where I am what do you see? Snow for NYC. A wee bit different from the gfs op. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 26, 2018 Share Posted December 26, 2018 7 minutes ago, dendrite said: Snow for NYC. A wee bit different from the gfs op. Just looked at who made the comment and knew where the snow was falling..................... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 26, 2018 Share Posted December 26, 2018 Gets shunted east pretty quickly on the para gfs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted December 26, 2018 Share Posted December 26, 2018 2 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: Gets shunted east pretty quickly on the para gfs I have better things to smoke than cirrus! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 26, 2018 Share Posted December 26, 2018 4 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: I have better things to smoke than cirrus! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Greg Posted December 26, 2018 Share Posted December 26, 2018 7 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: I have better things to smoke than cirrus! Nah, "If" it came together correctly, you would definately get a few inches. You wouldn't be left in the dust per se. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted December 26, 2018 Share Posted December 26, 2018 2 hours ago, ORH_wxman said: BOS actually had 0.3" in 2014. Not that it's much different but technically if you want a trace for December the last time was 2011. They had more than a trace in 15? I remember 15 was a complete shut out here and around +8 to +10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 26, 2018 Share Posted December 26, 2018 Paranormal GFS anecdotally seems worse than the gfs op for these parts. I’m mobile but wonder how it’s doing around the northern hemisphere. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Greg Posted December 26, 2018 Share Posted December 26, 2018 Euro will show which model Para or CMC seems to be on to something very soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted December 26, 2018 Share Posted December 26, 2018 2 hours ago, CoastalWx said: That was the easiest call ever. Every piece of guidance just said futility. We had one period of cold and a big snow on the south coast, but that was it. I do remember the tropics forcing become more favorable, but all the cold went to Europe where they had extreme and record breaking cold and snow. Even Northern Africa got snow. Lol. This is just 100% completely different. It’s not even a debate. Even there it was only about a 20 day period if I remember right maybe around 1/25 to 2-10 or so. The rest of the winter was a torch there as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 26, 2018 Share Posted December 26, 2018 8 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said: They had more than a trace in 15? I remember 15 was a complete shut out here and around +8 to +10 There was a SWFE on 12/29/15 that trended north at the last second but it did still give BOS 0.9" to avoid getting shut out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted December 26, 2018 Share Posted December 26, 2018 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: There was a SWFE on 12/29/15 that trended north at the last second but it did still give BOS 0.9" to avoid getting shut out. ah, i remember that, thanks. i just went back and read some of the posts/threads from 11/12, that was entertaining. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavisStraight Posted December 26, 2018 Share Posted December 26, 2018 12 minutes ago, SnowGoose69 said: Even there it was only about a 20 day period if I remember right maybe around 1/25 to 2-10 or so. The rest of the winter was a torch there as well. And march was shorts and tank tops Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 26, 2018 Share Posted December 26, 2018 “ Just now, DavisStraight said: And march was shorts and tank tops May have been the best spring ever. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted December 26, 2018 Share Posted December 26, 2018 4 minutes ago, DavisStraight said: And march was shorts and tank tops If I remember right 01-02 was similar in that many kept saying watch us pay for this big time in March April May and we torched most of the time. I think late April 2002 we got close to 100 a few days. It used to be those torch winters seemed to always have miserable springs when you were outside of your snow window but 01-02 and 11-12 were very mild in the spring Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted December 26, 2018 Share Posted December 26, 2018 Euro looks just a bit different for NYE/NYD Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted December 26, 2018 Share Posted December 26, 2018 1 minute ago, SnowGoose69 said: If I remember right 01-02 was similar in that many kept saying watch us pay for this big time in March April May and we torched most of the time. I think late April 2002 we got close to 100 a few days. It used to be those torch winters seemed to always have miserable springs when you were outside of your snow window but 01-02 and 11-12 were very mild in the spring IIRC, there were a couple snow events in late March 2002 and then freak snow in May 2002. Got 1” in Woburn on like the 22nd or some late date. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 26, 2018 Share Posted December 26, 2018 3 minutes ago, Bostonseminole said: Euro looks just a bit different for NYE/NYD Looks like an inch or two n of the pike to me....not that interested. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted December 26, 2018 Share Posted December 26, 2018 4 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Looks like an inch or two n of the pike to me....not that interested. Yeah, nothing great, but at least it's snow.. I'm interested to see how it plays out. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted December 26, 2018 Share Posted December 26, 2018 I’d take a couple inches to kick off the snow season. The half inch that melted before sunrise on 11/15 doesn’t count IME. Let’s inaugurate this winter finally. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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