moneypitmike Posted December 25, 2018 Share Posted December 25, 2018 4 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: 12z NAM is trending much colder for the Thursday/ Friday deal Let's hope that low trends weaker. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 25, 2018 Share Posted December 25, 2018 Euro shows that too. Might mean a colder rain. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 25, 2018 Share Posted December 25, 2018 Man pattern looks active regardless of outcomes. That’s nice to see. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 25, 2018 Share Posted December 25, 2018 Turning into more of a showery front from a cutter, small victory. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 25, 2018 Share Posted December 25, 2018 Lt snow to lt ice to dz Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 25, 2018 Share Posted December 25, 2018 Missed the Christmas snow, But the Friday system becoming more favorable for CNE/NNE, CAD ftw Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hazey Posted December 25, 2018 Share Posted December 25, 2018 Merry Christmas from north of the border. Just a trace of snow otg but some currier and Ives flakes falling makes it festive none the less. Here’s hoping for better times ahead. Cheers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted December 25, 2018 Share Posted December 25, 2018 Merry Christmas all Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 25, 2018 Share Posted December 25, 2018 We Take 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted December 25, 2018 Share Posted December 25, 2018 CPC teleconnections are favorable for a major winter storm sometime around New year's, latest guidance supports two storms in a 5 day period. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
scoob40 Posted December 25, 2018 Share Posted December 25, 2018 1 minute ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: CPC teleconnections are favorable for a major winter storm sometime around New year's, latest guidance supports two storms in a 5 day period. Book it. Merry Christmas to all ! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted December 25, 2018 Share Posted December 25, 2018 Just now, scoob40 said: Book it. Merry Christmas to all ! Big storm signal at least on half the guidance, the EURO is suppressed, I need to check the EPS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted December 25, 2018 Share Posted December 25, 2018 Timing of southern stream and northern stream shortwaves will determine the strength, phasing, and timing of the next storm system for SNE, after the Friday/Saturday ordeal, this one looks to be a rather colder storm, perhaps a big potential one, considering we have blocking and a +PNA ridging. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 25, 2018 Share Posted December 25, 2018 Warmest weather may be post storm. Quite a lag with the cold. Torch if sun appears Saturday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted December 25, 2018 Share Posted December 25, 2018 GFS is moving the southern stream out ahead of a digging northern stream, this could be a big storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 25, 2018 Share Posted December 25, 2018 1 minute ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: GFS is moving the southern stream out ahead of a digging northern stream, this could be a big storm. See ya 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 25, 2018 Share Posted December 25, 2018 41 minutes ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: CPC teleconnections are favorable for a major winter storm sometime around New year's, latest guidance supports two storms in a 5 day period. The first 5 days of 2019 appear rather hostile to a large event as depicted on the EPS....very pronounced se ridge. Perhaps some progressive, SWFE...but good luck phasing with that compressed medium. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted December 25, 2018 Share Posted December 25, 2018 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: The first 5 days of 2019 appear rather hostile to a large event as depicted on the EPS....very pronounced se ridge. Perhaps some progressive, SWFE... CPC teleconnections don't support that though, +PNA/-NAO/neutral AO, then we get a moderate event, but the models are split between the American models and the rest of the suite, whom to believe, we will determine this in about two days time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 25, 2018 Share Posted December 25, 2018 Just now, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: CPC teleconnections don't support that though, +PNA/-NAO/neutral AO, then we get a moderate event, but the models are split between the American models and the rest of the suite, whom to believe, we will determine this in about two days time. 80% of the time we know who to believe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 25, 2018 Share Posted December 25, 2018 Just now, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: CPC teleconnections don't support that though, +PNA/-NAO/neutral AO, then we get a moderate event, but the models are split between the American models and the rest of the suite, whom to believe, we will determine this in about two days time. Ray is right. A larger event may have to wait. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted December 25, 2018 Share Posted December 25, 2018 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: 80% of the time we know who to believe. You going with the foreign guidance, but I figured the GFS does better with northern stream systems. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted December 25, 2018 Share Posted December 25, 2018 Just now, CoastalWx said: Ray is right. A larger event may have to wait. I just want more than a few inches right now, my dad and I need to plow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 25, 2018 Share Posted December 25, 2018 You’re better off plowing sand 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 25, 2018 Share Posted December 25, 2018 Just now, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: You going with the foreign guidance, but I figured the GFS does better with northern stream systems. GFS does better with cleansing your anus. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted December 25, 2018 Share Posted December 25, 2018 Just now, CoastalWx said: Your better off plowing sand Come on, all the big storm potentials in the past, you have acted the same way, pessimistic. So we have a chance, the EPS always changes, it is never consistent. At least hasn't been the last three days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted December 25, 2018 Share Posted December 25, 2018 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: GFS does better with cleansing your anus. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 25, 2018 Share Posted December 25, 2018 Just now, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: Come on, all the big storm potentials in the past, you have acted the same way, pessimistic. So we have a chance, the EPS always changes, it is never consistent. At least hasn't been the last three days. How did the several inches work out? No offense James, but you need to reel it in sometimes. I appreciate your enthusiasm, but it clouds your judgement. If I thought like you, I’d be scraping gum off the subway platforms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted December 25, 2018 Share Posted December 25, 2018 2 minutes ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: Come on, all the big storm potentials in the past, you have acted the same way, pessimistic. So we have a chance, the EPS always changes, it is never consistent. At least hasn't been the last three days. And you've predicted 45 out of the last 3 HECS. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 25, 2018 Share Posted December 25, 2018 The 11-15 day look is defintely better than the look near NY. Fact not opinion. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted December 25, 2018 Share Posted December 25, 2018 Just now, CoastalWx said: How did the several inches work out? No offense James, but you need to reel it in sometimes. I appreciate your enthusiasm, but it clouds your judgement. If I thought like you, I’d be scraping gum off the subway platforms. I can afford to be optimistic, no one relies on my thoughts, if I was a professional meteorologist like I wanted to be since I was young, my thoughts would be different. I love the blizzards we get, but they are few and far between. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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