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December 8-10, 2018 Winter Storm


Orangeburgwx
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1 minute ago, Queencitywx said:

Like the euro PBP last night? :blink:

You can say what you want Jeremy but the EURO was much further north and 4-5 degrees warmer across the board. It was 3am and I was squinting at a cellphone. Totals cut, temps higher, more phasing. It was "OK" but it wasn't pretty or a continuation of our "southern slider" it'd previously been showing.

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FV3 is fine, the low is going to gravitate towards the Huntsville/Knoxville area a little before the transfer because of the CAD forming lower pressures on the OTHER side of the Apps...

 

One more thing to think about is the overall pressure field remains similar, but that little "L" icon is going to shift. It's there because Levi's or whoever's code puts that L at every local minimum... and in a transfer like this, that could be a lot of areas! Run to run, the "L" could jump by hundreds of miles, but in the grand scheme of things, it's probably not a big shift. It's a psychological thing! Be careful!

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1 minute ago, ILMRoss said:

FV3 is fine, the low is going to gravitate towards the Huntsville/Knoxville area a little before the transfer because of the CAD forming lower pressures on the OTHER side of the Apps... One more thing to think about is the overall pressure field remains similar, but that little "L" icon is going to shift. It's there because Levi's or whoever's code puts that L at every local minimum... and in a transfer like this, that could be a lot of areas! Run to run, the "L" could jump by hundreds of miles, but in the grand scheme of things, it's probably not a big shift. It's a psychological thing!

Good point, sir. I am guilty of "quickly" rushing through surface output rather than MSLP anomalies, etc.

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