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  • Birthday 05/10/1984

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    Mooresville, NC

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  1. This is what I'm afraid of. I can't disclose this to my wife, the peach lover.
  2. CFS was right on the money with the Feb outlook. This is April weather.
  3. The AC is currently running upstairs. Can't say I've ever done that in the middle of winter before.
  4. Cold air source is MIA. Feb is cooked.
  5. I don't care what the surface temps are. It's 8 to 9 days away.
  6. I think there's a 2nd wave travelling very close behind the main wave that it mucks up the sfc reflection. It's what throws some snow at the end. Doubtful scenario - it'll be one big low with cold air crashing fast behind it.
  7. Sfc output is nothing but rain but the upper level setup is well close enough for this range.
  8. Scratch that.. there is a storm but too warm.
  9. I still really like the Feb 7-9 range.
  10. nope.. no storm on this run
  11. GEFS mean snow much improved 12z: 18z
  12. This reminds me of how the early Jan storm was looking at this range and how we hoped it would have turned out with the HP really building ahead of it , then allow for the southern wave to develop a gulf low. 18z has it go neutral over the TN valley which really pumps up the precip. It also iniitally looked like a 2 part event as I remember. Great look. Let's hope we can pull it off.
  13. We're still quite a bit out from this one but the setup looks enticing. Regardless, for this to work the PNA ridge MUST be in place and the PV over SE Canada. Got to have well established cold air in place. That was our issue with the early Jan event for those S of 85