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Wow

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Everything posted by Wow

  1. Wow

    Mid to Long Term Discussion 2019

    Sigh... I even got a little excited when the FV3 spit out single digit highs for this time period.
  2. Wow

    Mid to Long Term Discussion 2019

    Where's my snow??
  3. Wow

    Mid to Long Term Discussion 2019

    Want to see the PV trend west like the FV3 is doing. If this wave is going to dig this far south, we're going to need a full throttle phase earlier.. but not too early! Wish cast for me is a redux of March 93 dropping the whole motherlode but shifted east.
  4. Wow

    Mid to Long Term Discussion 2019

    996mb low crossing N FL. Cold air absent.
  5. Wow

    January 2019 Observations

    Nice to watch a big cold front sweep in during the day. Seems like they mostly come in overnight. Temps have been drifting down since early morning. Impressive wind gusts.
  6. Wow

    Mid to Long Term Discussion 2019

    Ain't no cold air being driven in on this one. HP is absent. THis is a manufactured cold air storm. Would like to see more separation of the s/w to get a decent confluence zone built in.
  7. Wow

    Mid to Long Term Discussion 2019

    Agree.. 850 freezing line is west of I-77. Based on the trough axis, it wouldn't be moving much further east unless is bombs out fast enough to pull the 850 low toward the sfc low center quickly enough. Even then it's still a W NC/SC/GA event.
  8. Wow

    Mid to Long Term Discussion 2019

    Wow the Euro is going for it at 168. Bombing out in the NE gulf
  9. Wow

    Mid to Long Term Discussion 2019

    Gonna need a strong PNA ridge to build to force that wave to dig that far south. This isn't like a weak STJ wave rolling through.
  10. Wow

    Mid to Long Term Discussion 2019

    Yes, for our parts, this is one where we will need some good phasing to pull it negative. This is Jan '96 style with a wave diving south from MT all the way to the GOM.
  11. Wow

    Mid to Long Term Discussion 2019

    effects of the shutdown... the NOAA daily wx map archive is down due to "lapse in appropriation"
  12. Wow

    Mid to Long Term Discussion 2019

    Too lazy to research but has there ever been recorded single digit highs for the piedmont area of NC?
  13. Wow

    Mid to Long Term Discussion 2019

    Looks like that awesome FV3 run from several days ago during end of the run was onto something! Same time period
  14. Wow

    Mid to Long Term Discussion 2019

    Good things are coming
  15. Wow

    Mid to Long Term Discussion 2019

    Yeah, there's a s/w moving through right after the big cold bombs starts to lift, leaving the 850mb 0 line over the FL panhandle. Then another big arctic high with -40C air moves south from the N plains. That's how you get a big snow from New Orleans to Savannah, 1899 style. C'mon, let's make it happen!
  16. Wow

    Mid to Long Term Discussion 2019

    Verbatim, the FV3 cold would beat the Jan '85 outbreak. Greater area under -30 or lower 850 temps (Sorry, I'm slightly bored this morning :D) FV3 forecast Jan 21, 1985, 0z
  17. Wow

    Mid to Long Term Discussion 2019

    FV3 has been consistent of a very deep trough setting up.. a PV displacement into the NE... with a full scale -NAO block. The temps are likely overblown of course, given climo, but looking more and more likely of a serious below avg period in temps will be setting up, starting next week.
  18. Wow

    January 12-13th Winter Storm Obs

    We are below freezing.. 31.9/30 WB 31.01 Sig precip closing in
  19. Wow

    January 12-13th Winter Storm Obs

    32.3/30 : 31.3 WB at 1026.9 mb
  20. Wow

    January 12-13th Winter Storm Obs

    32.5/30 31.5 WB rain Here's my PWS https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=KNCMOORE24&cm_ven=localwx_pwsdash
  21. Wow

    January 12-13th Winter Storm Obs

    WB finally below freezing at 31.88 ... 33.1/30.0
  22. Wow

    Mid to Long Term Discussion 2019

    Wow the 18z FV3 puts us in the freezer after next weekend. The climax is in 2 weeks from Sunday with widespread highs in the teens and 20s. LOL. Last sub-20 high here was in Feb '96. Here is the 18z (2pm) temp forecast for Jan 27:
  23. Wow

    January 12-13th Winter Storm Obs

    rain... 33.4/30dp with 87% humidity. wet bulb 32.05
  24. Wow

    January 12-13th Winter Storm Obs

    dew point actually dropped a bit... now 35.3/28 calc web bulb is 32.69
  25. Wow

    Mid to Long Term Discussion 2019

    The mid to long term is looking good for threats of winter wx over the next 3+ weeks. Definitely below normal with temps.
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