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Wow

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Everything posted by Wow

  1. 18z GFS precip axis shifted NW over the gulf coast with the sharper trough. Still east of everyone else but giving it an A for effort.
  2. Definintely agreement on the leading wave for Friday to put down a light stripe from S MS thru CLT. Question is if the southern wave axis starts to turn more neutral and bring in a continuing slug of precip for most of Saturday like the NAM/CMC/UKMET/NAVGEM
  3. Yeah, the 9z run really deepening the southern wave. Trend is clear that this thing is getting juiced up.
  4. Still a big question with the progression of the s/w in the southern jet and it's interaction with the polar jet as to how it plays out with the LP and precip. Need a few more runs. It's tricky.
  5. NAM is going to run a southern s/w low from the GOM. It's seperated and pulling in the precip shield. IF this is true, it would be more of a Saturday event with a singular low travelling up the coast than a zipper low on Friday. This is better for more W areas given the lack of HP.
  6. No it's just delayed.. it's putting more stock in the s/w back in TX.
  7. There's more separation with the southern wave.. could be interesting.. Still too early to figure this one out
  8. It's a very small window for the southern energy lagging back over Texas to hold its own to later enhance precip over our area on Saturday.
  9. 18z GFS still trending more separation with the southern wave by 45
  10. It was about to do this on the 12z run as well. The lagging southern wave is given enough separation to develop. Interesting but unsupported as of now.
  11. The slower and stronger it is with the southern energy, the better chance for it to swing neutral, but not too much or else you'll scout out the cold air in place. We won't have much of a HP in place for this one.
  12. The AC is currently running upstairs. Can't say I've ever done that in the middle of winter before.
  13. The DGEX isn't a reliable model, just known for showing fantasy snow maps.
  14. Extremely upsetting that we don't have the MA forum on board.
  15. Welp I just ginxed it. Just ordered a couple bags of ice melt from Lowe's to pick up. I've got 4 days to do so.
  16. With the 50/50 low trending stronger as the low moves toward the GOM, I'm a little skeptical of that. but we'll see.
  17. GFS looks great. Plenty of cold and now our western wave is nearly on its own. Now it's just waiting until the GFS can get the wave vort energy phasing correct. 0z had it right, 6z shot the sheared some of the energy out, 12z less so but didn't get it the vorts phased well enough. This is normal progression of the models. Enjoy!
  18. GFS shears out the collection of shortwaves. Suppressed and cold. Not bad to see at this time. Got the Greenland ridge back.
  19. 0z GFS bringing the Greenland block back by 160 hrs
  20. Trough just east of HI - no SW mean trough. It'll force it east.
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